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Major Hurricane Helene


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Just now, andyhb said:

image.png.3ad6e6e3aab0466742a680e1ac6d57cc.png

 

The French Broad River (river that flows through Asheville NC) is forecast to crest more than 10 feet above the previous record at Fletcher, which is in the eastern part of the metro.

Those warnings the GSP NWS Office was providing were something. I don't recall ever seeing language quite like that out of the NWS, at least to the public. 

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Just now, USCG RS said:

Those warnings the GSP NWS Office was providing were something. I don't recall ever seeing language quite like that out of the NWS, at least to the public. 

We are talking about Agnes in PA level flooding here.

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2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I’m still surprised because the eye is not really impressive at all. But she seems to still be strengthening I guess.

Huh?

2/3 of the eyewall is enveloped in some really intense convection right now. That's still going to drop the pressure even if one quad is a bit ragged.

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2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I’m still surprised because the eye is not really impressive at all. But she seems to still be strengthening I guess.

Sometimes storms get that way. I remember Harvey had a messy ragged eye, Irma after leaving Cuba, but as long as those pressures are falling and the winds respond, sometimes the strongest ain't the prettiest. 

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4 minutes ago, USCG RS said:

A poster (I can't remember/find it a few pages back) literally just posted this link about a Hurricane Hunter in Hurricane Hugo - https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/articles/hunting-hugo-part-5

 

Uncanny. 

Mentioned it a few pages ago in response to the flight path when people were speculating that they were just doing continuous fixes to find the center and it got deleted.

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2 minutes ago, Radtechwxman said:

On radar it's even less impressive in the southern eyewall. Kind of open and not much precip. Wonder if we have hit our max winds despite pressure drops. 

Intense storms always give radar shadows and this comes up every landfalling hurricane.

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7 minutes ago, andyhb said:

Huh?

2/3 of the eyewall is enveloped in some really intense convection right now. That's still going to drop the pressure even if one quad is a bit ragged.

For a strengthening cat 4 like that and a ragged 40% or so of the eyewall, it’s surprising to me it intensified like that. In the following post, I mentioned the intense convection. 

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1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

For a strengthening cat 4 like that and a ragged 40% or so of the eyewall, it’s surprising to me it intensified like that. In the following post, I mentioned the intense convection. 

The bumpiness of the eye on radar now and lightning is still indicating those rotating mesovortices. Looking at velocities we definitely have some impressive #’s on the radar out of TLH. 

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2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

For a strengthening cat 4 like that and a ragged 40% or so of the eyewall, it’s surprising to me it intensified like that. In the following post, I mentioned the intense convection. 

Radar attenuation. Those towers are very large and blocking view of the west and south side of the storm. Reason why the intensification is surprising to you because you didn’t account for such.

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