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Major Hurricane Helene


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17 minutes ago, wthrmn654 said:

31? Which buoy is that by chance the one that's less then 31 miles away is showing 20 feet now

I thought it was 42036 but that one is coming up now. I haven’t been able to cross reference the image. 

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Pressure down but they lowered winds at 6PM update? Interesting

000
WTNT64 KNHC 262200
TCUAT4

Hurricane Helene Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092024
600 PM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

...HELENE CONTINUES HEADING FOR THE FLORIDA BIG BEND...
...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SPREADING NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST
COAST OF FLORIDA...

A slightly elevated Weatherflow station at the Skyway Fishing Pier
near the entrance to Tampa Bay recently measured a sustained wind
of 50 mph (80 km/h) and a gust to 69 mph (111 km/h).

SUMMARY OF 600 PM EDT...2200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.0N 84.5W
ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM W OF TAMPA FLORIDA
ABOUT 210 MI...335 KM SW OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB...28.05 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Bucci


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Wow satellite pressure estimates were 930 or 940 something and I thought they were crazy.. but recon finding 946... matches the recon findings fairly well. 

Current Analysis ----- 
     Date :  26 SEP 2024    Time :   211020 UTC
      Lat :   27:33:35 N     Lon :   84:25:48 W

     
                CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
                6.2 / 931.5mb/119.8kt

     
             Final T#  Adj T#  Raw T# 
                6.2     6.1     6.1

 Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR :N/A km

 Center Temp : -21.9C    Cloud Region Temp : -69.7C

 Scene Type : EYE

 
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5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

This may come in comparable to Hugo in both intensity, size and speed of movement.

Hugo was what came to mind for me too. Let's hope that Atlanta doesn't get hit as hard as Charlotte did. I had family there and it took a long time to recover, there were some 90+ mph gusts.

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This is one of those times where the intensity rapidly blows up the information cannot be given quick enough. 

What I don’t understand is that we have seen this the last few years in the “new climate” but people don’t understand (or believe) it can happen. We have warmer waters that will equal bigger storms. Easy.


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1 minute ago, kat5hurricane said:

Hugo was what came to mind for me too. Let's hope that Atlanta doesn't get hit as hard as Charlotte did. I had family there and it took a long time to recover, there were some 90+ mph gusts.

Hugo got a nice boost from the gulf stream on its way in, so it's similar with respect to the fact it was intensifying as well....it was a cat 2 after interaction with PR.

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2 minutes ago, Superstorm said:


What I don’t understand is that we have seen this the last few years in the “new climate” but people don’t understand (or believe) it can happen. We have warmer waters that will equal bigger storms. Easy.


.

Not always that simple, especially along the N Gulf coast.

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