Central Park (CP) snowfall outlook 2024-25 winter (above or below normal?)-deadline Oct 31, 2024 (if interested)

[uofmiami]

20-30" is my range, 24" is my call for NYC

[wdrag]

Thank you for posting your numbers.  We'll check in on finals this April 2025. Hopefully there is a bit of winter. 11/1/24 537A EDT.

[NEG NAO]

NYC CP 45.1

LGA 48.5

JFK 34.0

KEWR 50.5

Just remember all time record of 79 this date in 2003 and December 2003 NYC had 19 inches and January 2004 17 inches snowfall..........this current pattern of warm and drought dry with cold shots in between is getting long in the tooth and all that snow cover up north and cold is building fast.........combined with a weaking La Nina later this year and early next year........

Snow and ice storm, December 5-6, 2003 - Storm Summary

Also used analog years with a weak to moderate La Nina that followed a EL Nino Winter

66 -67- 51.5 Inches  Snow NYC Cp

2013 -14 - 57.4 Inches NYC CP

2020 -21 - 38.6 NYC CP

1995 -1996 - 75.6 NYC CP

[MJO812]

On 11/3/2024 at 2:32 PM, NEG NAO said:

NYC CP 45.1

LGA 48.5

JFK 34.0

KEWR 50.5

Just remember all time record of 79 this date in 2003 and December 2003 NYC had 19 inches and January 2004 17 inches snowfall..........this current pattern of warm and drought dry with cold shots in between is getting long in the tooth and all that snow cover up north and cold is building fast.........combined with a weaking La Nina later this year and early next year........

Snow and ice storm, December 5-6, 2003 - Storm Summary

Also used analog years with a weak to moderate La Nina that followed a EL Nino Winter

66 -67- 51.5 Inches  Snow NYC Cp

2013 -14 - 57.4 Inches NYC CP

2020 -21 - 38.6 NYC CP

1995 -1996 - 75.6 NYC CP

I love it

[wdrag]

Now you can look back at your post last fall and know how you did at CP, as it's not likely we'll get much past the 12.9 for the winter so far at CP.

Looks like this group of participant memories (age under 35) has gotten used to snowier winters and is/feels deprived.

At least we did a little better than the past 2 winters.  Still this winter seems to be averaging roughly 15" or more below normal seasonal snowfall.