NorthHillsWx Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 7 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: A bit concerning with respect to surge potential especially if this thing comes in a little stronger. Thankfully, for the most part, coastal LA does not build in the flood zones. As we saw with Laura- though a lot of the coast there is susceptible to surge, most of that area isn’t built up besides small towns and hunting and fishing camps. Definitely a “good” spot to avoid a ton of human property loss. FYI I’ve fished in vermillion bay and outside of one point that is developed, there aren’t many structures period around the entire bay. Very cool spot and an awesome state park 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 Eyewall looks to be forming with some lightning strikes around the center. May not matter downstream but seems to be ahead of schedule. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 Another view… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 So any debate about center is squashed. This thing looks good in a hurry 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 52 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: That’s a ready for liftoff look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doc Jon Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 Evening everyone. Anyone noticing all the lightning North of the core all day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 2 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said: So any debate about center is squashed. This thing looks good in a hurry The next 24-36 Hrs look rather conducive for strengthening. LA should watch out. That withstanding, I do wonder if a quicker intensification pulls this West. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 Starting to look like its going to be a struggle once again this season. Maybe it can do something tonight and tomorrow am. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 Is that dry air getting wrapped into it on the bottom right? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 Sat intensities hint/ suggest some weaker winds 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 So far nothing exciting on recon but the first planes close now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 997.9 mb so far 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : 0.5T/hour Weakening Flag : ON Rapid Dissipation Flag : FLAG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 Barney turn around, you missed the exit! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted September 10 Share Posted September 10 The weather Channel right now.... my gosh makes it sound like it's becoming a hurricane right now really getting it's act together... A weee bit overkill at this moment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
konksw Posted September 10 Share Posted September 10 4 minutes ago, wthrmn654 said: The weather Channel right now.... my gosh makes it sound like it's becoming a hurricane right now really getting it's act together... A weee bit overkill at this moment They haven’t had much to talk about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted September 10 Share Posted September 10 Sat estimate was 988 pressure, plane shows 988 pressure impressive ----- Current Analysis ----- Date : 09 SEP 2024 Time : 234020 UTC Lat : 24:14:55 N Lon : 96:09:58 W CI# /Pressure/ Vmax 3.4 / 988.6mb/ 53.0kt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted September 10 Share Posted September 10 Both planes were in the eye at the exact same time/ location both doing low altitude recon, talk about ballsie! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted September 10 Share Posted September 10 Correction recon drops suggest 993-999 pressure so well wait to see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted September 10 Share Posted September 10 AS of now winds are piss poor boring 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted September 10 Share Posted September 10 What is with all of the trolling in this thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted September 10 Share Posted September 10 Max winds found so far about 45knts south east section Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted September 10 Share Posted September 10 The potential for arid stable airmass due to flow off the Mexican landmass is going to be something that Francine (or any TC regardless of year in this location) has to deal with. The steering layer is no longer easterly but from an arid source. That being said, Francine does presently have a nice structure with a healthy spiral band. If a core does complete into an eyewall tonight, more significant intensification can ensue. That would allow Francine to better shield itself off from the arid southwesterly steering flow as the TC turns NE within it. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted September 10 Share Posted September 10 Looking at water vapor and satellite some dry air entrainment definitely got into core. Curious if this will have major impacts on intensification or if the high octane ocean will help compensate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted September 10 Share Posted September 10 One planes using SFMR the other isn't. The one using has not seen good winds at all yet.. interesting as of right now, winds measured so far suggest 51 mphs max Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted September 10 Share Posted September 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted September 10 Share Posted September 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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