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Central PA Autumn 2024


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(1/3) Here you go, snow fans! The moment you've been waiting for has arrived: my 2024-2025 Winter Outlook! Two primary winter-season influences will be our first-year, weak La Niña & strongly-negative Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO)..

2/3) The #PolarVortex should also be stronger than last winter, frequently keeping Arctic air "locked up" in Canada/Alaska & limiting high-latitude (NAO/AO) blocking from Dec-Feb. However, analogs suggest the coldest/snowiest part of winter could be right around the holidays..

(3/3) Despite a lack of snow & predominance of mild air this winter, odds of a #WhiteChristmas may be the highest in years. From Dec-Feb, aggregate temps should be above normal (+2-4°F) with snowfall well below avg (10-20"). I expect "all-rain" & "changeover" events to be common.

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17 minutes ago, ChescoWx said:

Happy Election Day! No weather excuses for not getting out there and voting today across the area! Yet another beautiful day in our new California-like climate!! We warm to the low 70's today and the upper 70's tomorrow. We then start a cooling trend that will last through the weekend. We also look to have our best chances at rain in over a month by later in the weekend...if we do get the rain on Sunday we will see temperatures struggling to escape the 50's for high temperatures.

AKA, struggling to stay near normal. 

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On 11/3/2024 at 7:15 PM, Itstrainingtime said:

I start screaming obscenities every time this comes up. 

I'm sort of serious.

As promised, I have not mentioned “yearly surplus” or commented on a drought map in several weeks.

Also, the yearly surplus is now gone, so I am officially on “team drought”, especially with no rain in about 1 month.

Everyone Please post all of the drought maps possible, until snow map season begins of course.

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19 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

As promised, I have not mentioned “yearly surplus” or commented on a drought map in several weeks.

Also, the yearly surplus is now gone, so I am officially on “team drought”, especially with no rain in about 1 month.

Everyone Please post all of the drought maps possible, until snow map season begins of course.

You have a better chance of reaching D3 than you do of needing the shovel this winter. 

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1 hour ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

As promised, I have not mentioned “yearly surplus” or commented on a drought map in several weeks.

Also, the yearly surplus is now gone, so I am officially on “team drought”, especially with no rain in about 1 month.

Everyone Please post all of the drought maps possible, until snow map season begins of course.

image.png.01217d518ba73602ce7c1d45eebf7262.png

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5 minutes ago, canderson said:

It might actually rain Sunday night? Really, really hoping that comes to fruition. 

Yeah seems like a decent chance.  We can hope.  I've been keeping an eye on that because we'll be heading back from the Poconos.  Sharing a lake house with three other couples and eight toddlers for the weekend ha.  Should be........fun.

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17 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

Yeah seems like a decent chance.  We can hope.  I've been keeping an eye on that because we'll be heading back from the Poconos.  Sharing a lake house with three other couples and eight toddlers for the weekend ha.  Should be........fun.

We fly to Boston Friday for a long weekend - they have a bunch of fires in eastern Mass and could really use it but bummer if so for us. 

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20 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

Yeah seems like a decent chance.  We can hope.  I've been keeping an eye on that because we'll be heading back from the Poconos.  Sharing a lake house with three other couples and eight toddlers for the weekend ha.  Should be........fun.

You will NOT be having camp fires. They are now verboten.

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6 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said:

Nearing 80 here in Pittsburgh. Unreal. At this rate, we're more apt to have a heat advisory than an extreme cold advisory this winter. :P

I can all but guarantee you that you will NOT have a heat advisory this winter. (12/1 - 2/28) But that doesn't diminish the obvious trolling you love to do. 

Why is it such a thrill for you to piss so many people off? I honestly don't understand that. 

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30 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

I can all but guarantee you that you will NOT have a heat advisory this winter. (12/1 - 2/28) But that doesn't diminish the obvious trolling you love to do. 

Why is it such a thrill for you to piss so many people off? I honestly don't understand that. 

Heat Wave?  :-)

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42 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

I can all but guarantee you that you will NOT have a heat advisory this winter. (12/1 - 2/28) But that doesn't diminish the obvious trolling you love to do. 

Why is it such a thrill for you to piss so many people off? I honestly don't understand that. 

It was obviously a joke. Just commenting on the absurdity of 80F in November, which is much closer to heat advisory criteria of 100F than it is to extreme cold advisory criteria of -10F.

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14 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said:

It was obviously a joke. Just commenting on the absurdity of 80F in November, which is much closer to heat advisory criteria of 100F than it is to extreme cold advisory criteria of -10F.

Yes and your nose is much closer to your colon than than your lips.

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38 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said:

It was obviously a joke. Just commenting on the absurdity of 80F in November, which is much closer to heat advisory criteria of 100F than it is to extreme cold advisory criteria of -10F.

Stay focused on pissing people off because a career in comedy isn't happening. 

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