Mount Joy Snowman Posted October 31 Share Posted October 31 On 10/24/2024 at 11:41 AM, Mount Joy Snowman said: Since it's being bantered about, I don't think this month will end up as anything too special (probably ~2 degrees AN). I did my end-of-month chicken scratch and have us ending October with a mean temp of 58.1, which would be tied with 1990 for 22nd place all-time. The extent of the warmth on the last couple of days could throw a wrench into things but I'm pretty comfortable with that number. Book it. Confession: When I did the above calculation, I overdid the temperature for the very first day (last Thursday) by almost 6 degrees, due to a sneaky midnight temp that I missed. That, along with a few other days coming in cooler than expected, is going to lead to this calculation being off by a solid half degree. Unacceptable on my part, and I swear to never let this happen again. Well, at least until the next time it happens. In closing, with one day left in the month (bold I know haha), I can now confidently say that the final mean monthly temp for October will be 57.6 degrees, good for a T-28th place with 1975. I humbly ask for your forgiveness. Ciao. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted October 31 Author Share Posted October 31 MU Weather Center @MUweather The current visible satellite suggests that very few cirrus clouds will stream across the LSV until the mid-to-late afternoon hours. Thus, I now expect the #Halloween record high of 81°F from 1946 at@millersvilleu to be tied or broken! SW flow and high mid-level temps will help. #October2024 will conclude as the 2nd-driest on record at@millersvilleu with a measly 0.04" of rain. Only October 1963 was drier due to there being a trace of rain that month. Today will be the 26th-straight day with no measurable rain at the 'Ville. Phew! We need rain.. #pawx 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted October 31 Share Posted October 31 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: MU Weather Center @MUweather The current visible satellite suggests that very few cirrus clouds will stream across the LSV until the mid-to-late afternoon hours. Thus, I now expect the #Halloween record high of 81°F from 1946 at@millersvilleu to be tied or broken! SW flow and high mid-level temps will help. #October2024 will conclude as the 2nd-driest on record at@millersvilleu with a measly 0.04" of rain. Only October 1963 was drier due to there being a trace of rain that month. Today will be the 26th-straight day with no measurable rain at the 'Ville. Phew! We need rain.. #pawx TCC will open his arms to this! Congrats TCC! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted October 31 Author Share Posted October 31 1 minute ago, paweather said: TCC will open his arms to this! Congrats TCC! Congrats @Mount Joy Snowman if this indeed happens. He's been all over this for at least the past 7-10 days. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted October 31 Share Posted October 31 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Congrats @Mount Joy Snowman if this indeed happens. He's been all over this for at least the past 7-10 days. Now that is a real congrats! Great job MJS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted October 31 Share Posted October 31 14 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Congrats @Mount Joy Snowman if this indeed happens. He's been all over this for at least the past 7-10 days. 11 minutes ago, paweather said: Now that is a real congrats! Great job MJS. Let's not count our chickens just yet! Still has to happen ha. But things are looking up. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted October 31 Share Posted October 31 53 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: MU Weather Center @MUweather The current visible satellite suggests that very few cirrus clouds will stream across the LSV until the mid-to-late afternoon hours. Thus, I now expect the #Halloween record high of 81°F from 1946 at@millersvilleu to be tied or broken! SW flow and high mid-level temps will help. #October2024 will conclude as the 2nd-driest on record at@millersvilleu with a measly 0.04" of rain. Only October 1963 was drier due to there being a trace of rain that month. Today will be the 26th-straight day with no measurable rain at the 'Ville. Phew! We need rain.. #pawx Going to be alot of warm records broken this coming winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted October 31 Share Posted October 31 Going to be another run for 80F next week. More record breaking heat.November looks like an absolute torch. Warmest November ever? Possibly.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted October 31 Share Posted October 31 Now, let's talk about those record highs for next Tuesday and Wednesday -- 79 and 77. A couple of more Indian summer days on tap. Keep your ear to the ground. National high of 98 at Rio Grande Village, TX and low of -1 near Wahsatch, ID. A couple of days ago, Berlin, NH snagged the low with a 14, and prior to that Mt. Washington came in with a 4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted October 31 Share Posted October 31 2 minutes ago, Superstorm said: Going to be another run for 80F next week. More record breaking heat. November looks like an absolute torch. Warmest November ever? Possibly. . Good timing on this post ha. Agree about next week but I'm not ready to go there yet on the monthly, even though CPC is hinting at it. Last time someone did that I believe was @canderson and if I'm not mistaken we ended up with a BN month haha. I know he remembers it well! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted October 31 Author Share Posted October 31 13 minutes ago, Superstorm said: Going to be alot of warm records broken this coming winter. Last year MU released his Winter Outlook on 11/3 so his 2024-25 Forecast should be out in the next week or so. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 31 Share Posted October 31 MDT sitting at 66/67 4-10 behind all the other stations but only 67 at rou. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted October 31 Share Posted October 31 It's 69 here and considering it jumped 22 degrees from noon to 2 pm yesterday ... I have faith we can tie or set a record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted October 31 Share Posted October 31 21 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Last year MU released his Winter Outlook on 11/3 so his 2024-25 Forecast should be out in the next week or so. inside rumor has the forecast being 50-75" of the white stuff. Just a rumor for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted October 31 Author Share Posted October 31 17 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: MDT sitting at 66/67 4-10 behind all the other stations but only 67 at rou. MDT SHOULD be a bit lower today than areas like where I live - SW winds typically chill their temp since the river temp is now lower than it was over the summer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted October 31 Author Share Posted October 31 5 minutes ago, paweather said: inside rumor has the forecast being 50-75" of the white stuff. Just a rumor for now. That rumor has no legs...I have a better chance of joining the Embiid fan club before that happens. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted October 31 Share Posted October 31 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: That rumor has no legs... Its an attention seeker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted October 31 Author Share Posted October 31 1 minute ago, paweather said: Its an attention seeker. I edited my post to further explain my position on this topic. LOL You certainly got my attention! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted October 31 Author Share Posted October 31 All of you people reporting temps in the 60s - currently at home it's 75.4! (and 75.2 at the airport) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 31 Share Posted October 31 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: I edited my post to further explain my position on this topic. LOL You certainly got my attention! Me thinks he just gave up that his insider info comes from direct messages originating in Marysville. 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted October 31 Author Share Posted October 31 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Me thinks he just gave up that his insider info comes from direct messages originating in Marysville. If true...surprised that the source didn't go higher. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted October 31 Author Share Posted October 31 76 at MU currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 31 Share Posted October 31 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: All of you people reporting temps in the 60s - currently at home it's 75.4! (and 75.2 at the airport) CXY jumped to 70 mid morning but has only gone up 3 since then slowing down when their wind took on an Easterly component which is surprising. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted October 31 Share Posted October 31 11 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: 76 at MU currently. Record incoming? Seems likely. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 31 Share Posted October 31 "Official" noon run down THV 79 AOO 79 CXY 74/75 LNS 73/74 HGR 73 MUI 73 MDT 69/70 ROU 69 IPT 62/63 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted October 31 Share Posted October 31 29 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Me thinks he just gave up that his insider info comes from direct messages originating in Marysville. Bingo! LOL. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted October 31 Share Posted October 31 56 minutes ago, Superstorm said: Going to be another run for 80F next week. More record breaking heat. November looks like an absolute torch. Warmest November ever? Possibly. . The potential of that is on the table. Certainly the opening 10+ days of the month look very warm…probably to the point where it’ll be hard to reverse what will likely be sizeable + departures even if we have a normal or colder than normal regime set up later on in November. We need a major shakeup in things to get the ball rolling toward some kind of a different pattern. We’ve had frontal passages and such but not any kind of major systems so far this fall that could be a catalyst to driving a more meaningful pattern change.. hence the persistent lack of rainfall here and the relatively stagnant pattern. Not really seeing a change in that status quo on modelling currently. MJO poised to make an 8-1-2 run, which figures to keep the tropics alive for potential late season activity in close near the US from that realm. Even with that, the mid latitude pattern doesn’t really look too conducive to yanking something like that up to juice up some kind of major system either. Eventually that change will come, but how long it takes will determine whether a really warm front part of November turns into the warmest one overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted October 31 Share Posted October 31 77 now at 12:40. It’s also humid. It’s like June. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 31 Share Posted October 31 25 minutes ago, paweather said: Bingo! LOL. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted October 31 Share Posted October 31 5 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I just love it!!!!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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