Bubbler86 Posted October 15 Share Posted October 15 GFS has hints of real fall kicking in in 2 weeks/14 days. A couple of countrywide troughs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted October 15 Share Posted October 15 No report out of York airport. Went down to 33 at my house in York County. I’m about 15 minutes from the airport. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 15 Share Posted October 15 Just now, mitchnick said: No report out of York airport. MIA as of 10:10 yesterday AM though barometer is still working. Cannot blame Allegiant for it either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted October 15 Share Posted October 15 23 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Gorgeous sunrise. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted October 15 Share Posted October 15 Low of 40. Back to the grind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted October 15 Share Posted October 15 Most spots in the county reached the 30's for lows with the coldest being our normal coldest spot Warwick Township with 32.7 degrees. The next few days will run almost 10 degrees below normal for mid-October with highs only in the mid 50's. By the weekend we warm to almost 10 degrees above normal with high approaching 70 degrees. Of course no rain for at least the next week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 15 Share Posted October 15 Approx mid-way through this 31-day month and MDT stands at 1.7AN. I am not going to try any MJS Little Professor like attempts at guessing what it will be in 2 plus weeks but going to say it will end the month well AN based on the MR and LR models as of now although progged coolish nights should keep it from going too high. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted October 15 Share Posted October 15 39 was my low. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted October 15 Author Share Posted October 15 41 was the morning low in Maytown. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted October 15 Share Posted October 15 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: Approx mid-way through this 31-day month and MDT stands at 1.7AN. I am not going to try any MJS Little Professor like attempts at guessing what it will be in 2 plus weeks but going to say it will end the month well AN based on the MR and LR models as of now although progged coolish nights should keep it from going too high. Haha thanks. No calculations for me yet, maybe next week. But yeah, AN for the month seems like a safe bet. We should be back close to normal by the weekend and then the ridging being progged should have us safely AN heading into the final stretch. Might get another cold shot or two before the month is out, hard to say, but AN seems like the wise play. Perhaps even comfortably AN, as you say. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 15 Share Posted October 15 19 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Haha thanks. No calculations for me yet, maybe next week. But yeah, AN for the month seems like a safe bet. We should be back close to normal by the weekend and then the ridging being progged should have us safely AN heading into the final stretch. Might get another cold shot or two before the month is out, hard to say, but AN seems like the wise play. Perhaps even comfortably AN, as you say. I wonder if MDT is going to need to do better with their lows for us to cut all the way into the AN number right now. Their 42 this AM was only 4BN. Progs have highs being Normal or above again starting Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted October 15 Share Posted October 15 Low this morning was 36.9 at 3:45 am. Then some wind came in and ruined the radiational cooling. Not quite low enough to verify the Frost Advisory. A couple more nights to try again over the next 3 days before the warmup. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted October 15 Share Posted October 15 12 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I wonder if MDT is going to need to do better with their lows for us to cut all the way into the AN number right now. Their 42 this AM was only 4BN. Progs have highs being Normal or above again starting Friday. Yeah they'll probably still be a few tenths AN after this week. We'll see how low they can go (hint: not as low as everyone else ha). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 15 Share Posted October 15 4 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: Low this morning was 36.9 at 3:45 am. Then some wind came in and ruined the radiational cooling. Not quite low enough to verify the Frost Advisory. A couple more nights to try again over the next 3 days before the warmup. We had clouds that put the kybosh on the cooling. Still a nip in the air at 50. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 15 Share Posted October 15 Slow rise over here today. Only 45 and up just 5 degrees since 6:45. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted October 15 Author Share Posted October 15 15 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Slow rise over here today. Only 45 and up just 5 degrees since 6:45. 15 minutes later and it's already up to 54 at home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 15 Share Posted October 15 15 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: 15 minutes later and it's already up to 54 at home. Yea, it appears some in the LSV are going to go past their forecast highs unless it just stops rising. Looks like you were forecast 55 or close. Models do show a level off, but HRRR gets you into the upper 50's. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 15 Share Posted October 15 11 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Yea, it appears some in the LSV are going to go past their forecast highs unless it just stops rising. Looks like you were forecast 55 or close. Models do show a level off, but HRRR gets you into the upper 50's. 2nd'ary front coming thru so cold will be resupplied. Temps should hold steady then start dropping. That's my story and I'm sticking to it! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 15 Share Posted October 15 12 minutes ago, mitchnick said: 2nd'ary front coming thru so cold will be resupplied. Temps should hold steady then start dropping. That's my story and I'm sticking to it! Always a good line to end your closing arguments with. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted October 15 Share Posted October 15 5 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Always a good line to end your closing arguments with. "Everything that guy just said is bullshit. That's my story and I'm sticking to it." 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted October 15 Share Posted October 15 20 hours ago, sauss06 said: i've never been the type to be cold. but one of these meds i'm on, i get cold easily now. as i know we've both lost weight/fluff...I'd say that factors in as well. From 239 to 206 with little padding around the middle has made me cold real quick. Not a complaint, but something I also notice. Gettin old probly plays in a tad as well... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 15 Share Posted October 15 Considerable cloudiness and 46 nooners with a few rain drops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted October 15 Share Posted October 15 54 minutes ago, pasnownut said: as i know we've both lost weight/fluff...I'd say that factors in as well. From 239 to 206 with little padding around the middle has made me cold real quick. Not a complaint, but something I also notice. Gettin old probly plays in a tad as well... probably right. I know you and some others have kinda followed along in my journey of being sick, as of noon today i have been fully released to return to the fire Dept, long journey its been 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted October 15 Share Posted October 15 Nooners: 49°F with sunshine for moral support. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted October 15 Share Posted October 15 7 minutes ago, sauss06 said: probably right. I know you and some others have kinda followed along in my journey of being sick, as of noon today i have been fully released to return to the fire Dept, long journey its been Congrats friend! Good on you for pressing through and hitting your goal. i'll have 1 Miller lite in celebration for ya tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted October 15 Author Share Posted October 15 22 minutes ago, sauss06 said: probably right. I know you and some others have kinda followed along in my journey of being sick, as of noon today i have been fully released to return to the fire Dept, long journey its been Very happy to hear, Jon! Continued best wishes to you going forward! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 15 Share Posted October 15 29 minutes ago, sauss06 said: probably right. I know you and some others have kinda followed along in my journey of being sick, as of noon today i have been fully released to return to the fire Dept, long journey its been Great news. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted October 15 Share Posted October 15 Temps shot up around noon but have actually lowered since then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 15 Share Posted October 15 6 minutes ago, Superstorm said: Temps shot up around noon but have actually lowered since then. CXY up to 58 or 59 as they try to surprise with a 60's day....LNS 56 to 57. MDT lagging like usual at 55 or 56. Up to 51 over here. Edit-THV is back! They are up to 57 as of now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted October 15 Share Posted October 15 It's sleeting here. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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