Central PA Autumn 2024

[Bubbler86]

Some progs are just an all-out rainy weekend starting afternoon Saturday through all of Sunday....as the LSV gets into the periphery of the influence from the coastal low.   Other are more convection based.    Fingers crossed our dry spell ends this weekend. 

 

MDT has been on a heater of late with 7 of the last 8 days AN and the current monthly average has dipped down to just -1/1 BN after the chilly start to the month.   Still only .16 of qpf for the month.  Only 1.21" here since August 9th which I believe makes this the second driest period for my area since the drought of 2020. 

[Mount Joy Snowman]

On my way to PHL en route to Bethel, AK. Will provide weather updates from The Last Frontier. Cheers boys! 

[mahantango#1]

50 this morning.

[mahantango#1]

2 hours ago, Bubbler86 said:

Some progs are just an all-out rainy weekend starting afternoon Saturday through all of Sunday....as the LSV gets into the periphery of the influence from the coastal low.   Other are more convection based.    Fingers crossed our dry spell ends this weekend. 

 

 

Voyager tanker canceling rains approaching?

[Bubbler86]

Just now, mahantango#1 said:

Voyager tanker canceling rains approaching?

He stated that he cannot spare a drop. The Great Fall Drought of 2024 has hammered him too 

[mahantango#1]

4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

He stated that he cannot spare a drop. The Great Fall Drought of 2024 has hammered him too 

Hopefully we get some rain later tomorrow. Then it looks like we get a cooldown in temps.

[Bubbler86]

5 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

Hopefully we get some rain later tomorrow. Then it looks like we get a cooldown in temps.

Yea, though there are still plenty of days in the lows 80's on the GFS and CMC MR and LR so may not be frost on the early pumpkin yet. 

[mahantango#1]

Weather World

  · 

 

The next 4 weeks still lean mild and dry for Pennsylvania. Our Climate Watch fearless forecast calls for at least 18 of the next 28 days to feature high temperatures above average.

 

[ChescoWx]

Today and tomorrow look like our last above normal temperature days for a while with highs both days well into the 70's at higher spots with low 80's at some of the valley locales. Highs starting Sunday through Thursday will mostly remain in the 60's. Rain chances finally look more likely by later Tuesday through Wednesday.

Chester County Records for today: High 97 degrees at Kennett Square (1895) / Low 32 degrees at Coatesville 1SW (1956) / Rain 4.40" at West Chester (1989)

[Atomixwx]

Goddamnit, Sixers.

[paweather]

14 minutes ago, Atomixwx said:

Goddamnit, Sixers.

Embiid the KING! 

[Itstrainingtime]

3 minutes ago, paweather said:

Embiid the KING! 

Indeed - the King of disappearing when it matters. 

[paweather]

11 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Indeed - the King of disappearing when it matters. 

EXACTLY!

[Itstrainingtime]

Pretty much every time I post a WPC rainfall map it looks drier than the previous one that they issued - but not this time! Much wetter than 24 hours ago: (#mumightnotberightthistime)

[Itstrainingtime]

Here's the 5 day map - a lot of what we get doesn't fall until next week: (#mumightstillberightforthisweekendafterall)

[pasnownut]

20 hours ago, canderson said:

For some reason I thought he was behind that new venue in Millersville. 

Im not really up on what he does, but it wouldnt surprise me. 

I read this in the newspaper in the break room, and thought it worth sharing.  Dunno.

 

[Itstrainingtime]

1 minute ago, pasnownut said:

Im not really up on what he does, but it wouldnt surprise me. 

I read this in the newspaper in the break room, and thought it worth sharing.  Dunno.

 

I remember fondly reading the paper in our break room. We're too chea...

I miss having the print version of the news. 

[pasnownut]

2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

I remember fondly reading the paper in our break room. We're too chea...

I miss having the print version of the news. 

Like you...I prefer traditional media...guess we are old.  

[sauss06]

35 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

I remember fondly reading the paper in our break room. We're too chea...

I miss having the print version of the news. 

 

31 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

Like you...I prefer traditional media...guess we are old.  

Add me to the i miss reading a newspaper ever day. 

[paweather]

38 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

Like you...I prefer traditional media...guess we are old.  

Add me as well. The good ole days!

[mitchnick]

Never read a newspaper article in my life, paper or virtual...seriously.

[Mount Joy Snowman]

Safely in Salt Lake City, where the pilot says it is 63 and sunny. Next stop: Seattle. 

[canderson]

18 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

Safely in Salt Lake City, where the pilot says it is 63 and sunny. Next stop: Seattle. 

Don’t ask to the special underwear while in SLC. 

[Bubbler86]

Just hit 80 here.  MDT may make mid 80's today. 

[paweather]

79 and partly sunny. Next week looks cool and a bit wet. 

[Itstrainingtime]

83 here in Maytown. Not going to reach 89 most likely but it's plenty warm enough. 

[Bubbler86]

1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said:

83 here in Maytown. Not going to reach 89 most likely but it's plenty warm enough. 

You are one of the cooler temps around your hood.  90 bagger on there though I suspect that is too warm...87 I believe though.   CXY got to 87 or 88. 

[Bubbler86]

My NWS zone has .75-1.25" possible tomorrow.  That is gung ho. 

 

The approach of the left exit region of a relatively strong
upper level jet on Saturday will combine with moderately high
sfc dewpoints in the low to mid 60s (with corresponding PWAT of
around 1-1.25 inches) to spark an area of showers/scattered
embedded TSRA that could bring localized damaging straight-line
wind gusts and hail, mainly in the late afternoon/early evening
hours across much of Central PA and the Susq Valleys per
clustering/mean of high res models.

[Mount Joy Snowman]

Safely in Seattle where you’ll be shocked to learn it’s 55 and cloudy. Next stop: Anchorage. 

[canderson]

1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said:

My NWS zone has .75-1.25" possible tomorrow.  That is gung ho. 

 

The approach of the left exit region of a relatively strong
upper level jet on Saturday will combine with moderately high
sfc dewpoints in the low to mid 60s (with corresponding PWAT of
around 1-1.25 inches) to spark an area of showers/scattered
embedded TSRA that could bring localized damaging straight-line
wind gusts and hail, mainly in the late afternoon/early evening
hours across much of Central PA and the Susq Valleys per
clustering/mean of high res models.

Interesting. That doesn't match the current zone forecasts. Here's mine for Saturday: 

A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. Patchy fog before 10am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 80. Calm wind becoming southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. 

Saturday Night

A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 8pm and 2am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.