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Central PA Autumn 2024


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Awfully quiet on here today. It's a short week. Let's not pretend we're busy working. Everybody has already checked out and is mentally putting together a schematic diagram of their performance at the table on Thursday. Maybe some of you are stretching in preparation for a Turkey Bowl. No pencils are being pushed, no beans are being counted, what's with the silence?

 

Stop that.

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20 minutes ago, WmsptWx said:

Awfully quiet on here today. It's a short week. Let's not pretend we're busy working. Everybody has already checked out and is mentally putting together a schematic diagram of their performance at the table on Thursday. Maybe some of you are stretching in preparation for a Turkey Bowl. No pencils are being pushed, no beans are being counted, what's with the silence?

 

Stop that.

I'm usually off this entire week. it sucked coming in at 5am this morning

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38 minutes ago, WmsptWx said:

Awfully quiet on here today. It's a short week. Let's not pretend we're busy working. Everybody has already checked out and is mentally putting together a schematic diagram of their performance at the table on Thursday. Maybe some of you are stretching in preparation for a Turkey Bowl. No pencils are being pushed, no beans are being counted, what's with the silence?

 

Stop that.

shhhhhhhh...........

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I'm not at all bothered by nooner trends.  GFS/CMC/ICON/GEM not too far off, and ticked in the right direction.  Wouldnt be too surprised if we back into a little sumthin for turk day for true CTP'rs.  Regardless I'm headed to cabin Friday morning and looks like it'll be just in time for first notable LES event of the season.

 

Happy short week to all, and to those already on PTO....enjoy.

 

 

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22 minutes ago, paweather said:

I figured it would. Hope we can keep the cold in place for the 2 part of December. 

I'm not sure what you are looking for, but most guidance (both Op and ENS), have predominant troughing here in the east w/ cold close enough to get it done with the right timing (as always).  

Personally i dont need northern FL under freeze warnings.  Just need it cold enough to snow....and I see heights largely supportive of a workable regime.  Of course there can be a relaxation here and there, and the only one that I saw was followed by deep blues returning or rather constant at 850mb and this oozes something we havent had for a while....clippers as its largely norther stream driven.  

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5 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

I'm not sure what you are looking for, but most guidance (both Op and ENS), have predominant troughing here in the east w/ cold close enough to get it done with the right timing (as always).  

Personally i dont need northern FL under freeze warnings.  Just need it cold enough to snow....and I see heights largely supportive of a workable regime.  Of course there can be a relaxation here and there, and the only one that I saw was followed by deep blues returning or rather constant at 850mb and this oozes something we havent had for a while....clippers as its largely norther stream driven.  

Just the GFS is dry through the 11th. 

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7 minutes ago, paweather said:

And I am not an ensemble guy so that is something I don't look for.  

Well I'm in the all guidance camp as one has not been proven to be empirical in verification vs others, and IF one looks at ALL model guidance (OP/ENS) and couples that with tellies, once again the word workable comes to mind.  Based on current Enso and influence of MJO possibly being a bit muted, I'll take a

- AO/ + PNA and roll w/ it as long as we can.  Deep winter it may not be, but workable IMO.  

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27 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

Well I'm in the all guidance camp as one has not been proven to be empirical in verification vs others, and IF one looks at ALL model guidance (OP/ENS) and couples that with tellies, once again the word workable comes to mind.  Based on current Enso and influence of MJO possibly being a bit muted, I'll take a

- AO/ + PNA and roll w/ it as long as we can.  Deep winter it may not be, but workable IMO.  

AGREE! Let's do it an early winter and then a superstorm in March! :snowman:

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