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Central PA Autumn 2024


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1 minute ago, mitchnick said:

For next week, we just need minor trends run to run to cash in. We got one of those with the 18z Eps vs 12z Eps. 850 temps pressing further south.

trend-epsens-2024112118-f144.850tw-mean.conus.gif

How did we get that? Stronger 50/50 and slightly weaker wave out west.

trend-epsens-2024112118-f144.500h_anom-mean.conus.gif

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15 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service State College PA
741 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

PAZ026>028-035-036-050-056-057-059-063>066-221430-
Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Fulton-Franklin-Snyder-Perry-Dauphin-
Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
741 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

...SLIPPERY TRAVEL POSSIBLE EARLY FRIDAY FOR THE
MORNING COMMUTE TO WORK AND SCHOOL...

A several hour period of wet snow is likely early Friday
as surface low pressure strengthens off the New Jersey
Coast and upper level low pressure with cooling temperatures
aloft moves east across Pennsylvania.

Snow accumulations will be light and generally less than one
inch. However, with forecast low temperatures between 30 and 34
degrees, some untreated roads and bridges could develop a light
coating of slush creating slick travel conditions.

Plan for the possibility of variable travel conditions and
allow a little extra time for travel, especially if your route
takes you over some of the ridge tops.

I am fired up for first flakes tomorrow!

Me too man! 

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37 minutes ago, GrandmasterB said:

I don’t care if it’s just some light snow that doesn’t stick tomorrow. Flakes in the air and a threat to track this early feels like a winter paradise compared to the dumpster fire of the last two years. 

Last year wasn’t a dumpster fire to me.

5 plowable storms that gave my yard 25 inches for the season.

MDT only had 18, but easily should crossed 20 if that death band didn’t rob the turnpike corridor with that last February event.

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8 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Last year wasn’t a dumpster fire to me.

5 plowable storms that gave my yard 25 inches for the season.

MDT only had 18, but easily should crossed 20 if that death band didn’t rob the turnpike corridor with that last February event.

Haha, figured you’d object to that Blizz!

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So 1,000ft seems to be somewhat key at the moment. At 825ft at my house, a 50-50 rain/snow mix. On a 1,025ft ridge, nearly all snow. At work, which is 620ft, about 75-25 rain/snow.

Nowhere, though, was there any accumulation yet.

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21 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

The 0z Canadian for Thanksgiving was the best if you want Turkey day snow.

IMG_7624.png

IMG_7626.png

 

22 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

The Thanksgiving chance showed a growing consensus with the 0z & 6z model runs.

The 6z GFS & 0z Euro have the low tracking under us, but are only cold enough to bring snow to mainly northern PA as depicted on these runs.

IMG_7628.png

IMG_7629.png

6z Euro went way warm for everybody.  Don't trust it yet, but trend hasn't been great since Wednesday's jackpot runs of Gfs and Euro.

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