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Central PA Autumn 2024


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2 minutes ago, Voyager said:

My confidence level on the current storm is diminishing. All the good radar returns are north and east. Unless it pivots southwest, I don't see my area getting much.

The main pivot to the south west isn’t supposed to take place until tomorrow am as currently modeled.

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3 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

18z GFS has a cold pattern after the Thanksgiving chance.
The rest of the 16 day run has more chances of light snow from northern stream Clipper systems.

I was just going to post how incredibly stable the cold pattern is. Absolute opposite of every winter since 13/14, though 14/15 was chilly.

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3 minutes ago, Voyager said:

My confidence level on the current storm is diminishing. All the good radar returns are north and east. Unless it pivots southwest, I don't see my area getting much.

 

Just now, Blizzard of 93 said:

The main pivot to the south west isn’t supposed to take place until tomorrow am as currently modeled.

Agreed, the snow is not until tomorrow IF the storm can move SW as SOME models prog.  Some models say it does not happen. 

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15 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

The main pivot to the south west isn’t supposed to take place until tomorrow am as currently modeled.

Ah, I see. I've been working 12 hour days all week and had errands after work, so I've not looked at a model. I've been living through you guys for my weather info.

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service State College PA
741 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

PAZ026>028-035-036-050-056-057-059-063>066-221430-
Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Fulton-Franklin-Snyder-Perry-Dauphin-
Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
741 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

...SLIPPERY TRAVEL POSSIBLE EARLY FRIDAY FOR THE
MORNING COMMUTE TO WORK AND SCHOOL...

A several hour period of wet snow is likely early Friday
as surface low pressure strengthens off the New Jersey
Coast and upper level low pressure with cooling temperatures
aloft moves east across Pennsylvania.

Snow accumulations will be light and generally less than one
inch. However, with forecast low temperatures between 30 and 34
degrees, some untreated roads and bridges could develop a light
coating of slush creating slick travel conditions.

Plan for the possibility of variable travel conditions and
allow a little extra time for travel, especially if your route
takes you over some of the ridge tops.

I am fired up for first flakes tomorrow!

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