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Central PA Autumn 2024


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5 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

6z GEFS gets the 2” snow line all the way down to Fredericksburg by day 16.

The trend is our friend.

The 3" line gets past me by the 13th but doesn't budge much farther after that. We start to moderate after the 15th but never gets too bad and yesterday's weekly run shows a cool down now for the Conus on the last week.

Yesterday's weeklies temps here:

https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/extended-anomaly-2t?base_time=202411280000&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202412090000

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Chilly today but turning colder tomorrow with a reinforcing cold front later today. We could see a couple light snow flurries today. High temperatures both Saturday and Sunday are just a few degrees above freezing. Temperatures will remain well below normal all week with snow chances increasing by Wednesday night into Thursday morning with the approach of an Alberta Clipper system.

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16 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

The 3" line gets past me by the 13th but doesn't budge much farther after that. We start to moderate after the 15th but never gets too bad and yesterday's weekly run shows a cool down now for the Conus on the last week.

Yesterday's weeklies temps here:

https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/extended-anomaly-2t?base_time=202411280000&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202412090000

There's basically a 3- 4 " snow mean for Southern PA and along the M/D line and all of it  falls between day 8 and day 14. Definitely shows where the opportunity is for the next 16 days. 

On the GEFS

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37 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

You would think they would start tonight.   42 here right now.

With the cold in place the next few weeks you would think they would be able to open 2 weeks from today. Last year was the first week of January.  They should get an earlier start this year 

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7 minutes ago, Chris78 said:

With the cold in place the next few weeks you would think they would be able to open 2 weeks from today. Last year was the first week of January.  They should get an earlier start this year 

The 50 or so golfers who just came in off the course, at the bar, are going to be disappointed their season may be over.

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