paweather Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 That is pretty close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 Awfully quiet on here today. It's a short week. Let's not pretend we're busy working. Everybody has already checked out and is mentally putting together a schematic diagram of their performance at the table on Thursday. Maybe some of you are stretching in preparation for a Turkey Bowl. No pencils are being pushed, no beans are being counted, what's with the silence? Stop that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 54 nooners Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 20 minutes ago, WmsptWx said: Awfully quiet on here today. It's a short week. Let's not pretend we're busy working. Everybody has already checked out and is mentally putting together a schematic diagram of their performance at the table on Thursday. Maybe some of you are stretching in preparation for a Turkey Bowl. No pencils are being pushed, no beans are being counted, what's with the silence? Stop that. I'm usually off this entire week. it sucked coming in at 5am this morning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 38 minutes ago, WmsptWx said: Awfully quiet on here today. It's a short week. Let's not pretend we're busy working. Everybody has already checked out and is mentally putting together a schematic diagram of their performance at the table on Thursday. Maybe some of you are stretching in preparation for a Turkey Bowl. No pencils are being pushed, no beans are being counted, what's with the silence? Stop that. shhhhhhhh........... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 I'm not at all bothered by nooner trends. GFS/CMC/ICON/GEM not too far off, and ticked in the right direction. Wouldnt be too surprised if we back into a little sumthin for turk day for true CTP'rs. Regardless I'm headed to cabin Friday morning and looks like it'll be just in time for first notable LES event of the season. Happy short week to all, and to those already on PTO....enjoy. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 Cold and dry first 11 days in December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 14 minutes ago, paweather said: Cold and dry first 11 days in December. No surprise, the EC backed off the PV into PA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: No surprise, the EC backed off the PV into PA I figured it would. Hope we can keep the cold in place for the 2 part of December. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 I hope the Clipper comes in soon. Oh, it did already by 26. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 25 Author Share Posted November 25 14 minutes ago, paweather said: I hope the Clipper comes in soon. Oh, it did already by 26. It was harden to watch, as sixers fans we know how to maxeymize suckage. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: It was harden to watch, as sixers fans we know how to maxeymize suckage. Terrible. I really hope this is it for the "Trust the Process" era. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 22 minutes ago, paweather said: I figured it would. Hope we can keep the cold in place for the 2 part of December. I'm not sure what you are looking for, but most guidance (both Op and ENS), have predominant troughing here in the east w/ cold close enough to get it done with the right timing (as always). Personally i dont need northern FL under freeze warnings. Just need it cold enough to snow....and I see heights largely supportive of a workable regime. Of course there can be a relaxation here and there, and the only one that I saw was followed by deep blues returning or rather constant at 850mb and this oozes something we havent had for a while....clippers as its largely norther stream driven. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 5 minutes ago, pasnownut said: I'm not sure what you are looking for, but most guidance (both Op and ENS), have predominant troughing here in the east w/ cold close enough to get it done with the right timing (as always). Personally i dont need northern FL under freeze warnings. Just need it cold enough to snow....and I see heights largely supportive of a workable regime. Of course there can be a relaxation here and there, and the only one that I saw was followed by deep blues returning or rather constant at 850mb and this oozes something we havent had for a while....clippers as its largely norther stream driven. Just the GFS is dry through the 11th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 And I am not an ensemble guy so that is something I don't look for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 6 minutes ago, paweather said: And I am not an ensemble guy so that is something I don't look for. What your posts would look like if you were an ensemble guy. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 I'll take the 12z Euro run and be happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 https://home.pivotalweather.com/subscriptions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: What your posts would look like if you were am ensemble guy. Ok LOL. These emojis are killing me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 7 minutes ago, paweather said: And I am not an ensemble guy so that is something I don't look for. Well I'm in the all guidance camp as one has not been proven to be empirical in verification vs others, and IF one looks at ALL model guidance (OP/ENS) and couples that with tellies, once again the word workable comes to mind. Based on current Enso and influence of MJO possibly being a bit muted, I'll take a - AO/ + PNA and roll w/ it as long as we can. Deep winter it may not be, but workable IMO. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 27 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Well I'm in the all guidance camp as one has not been proven to be empirical in verification vs others, and IF one looks at ALL model guidance (OP/ENS) and couples that with tellies, once again the word workable comes to mind. Based on current Enso and influence of MJO possibly being a bit muted, I'll take a - AO/ + PNA and roll w/ it as long as we can. Deep winter it may not be, but workable IMO. AGREE! Let's do it an early winter and then a superstorm in March! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yardstickgozinya Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 1 hour ago, pasnownut said: I'm not sure what you are looking for, but most guidance (both Op and ENS), have predominant troughing here in the east w/ cold close enough to get it done with the right timing (as always). Personally i dont need northern FL under freeze warnings. Just need it cold enough to snow....and I see heights largely supportive of a workable regime. Of course there can be a relaxation here and there, and the only one that I saw was followed by deep blues returning or rather constant at 850mb and this oozes something we havent had for a while....clippers as its largely norther stream driven. My best worms say southern stream comes into play around December 6th, and the big dog bites around the tenth if something big is going to happen early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 13 minutes ago, Yardstickgozinya said: My best worms say southern stream comes into play around December 6th, and the big dog bites around the tenth if something big is going to happen early. Can I place a wager? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yardstickgozinya Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 43 minutes ago, paweather said: Can I place a wager? Get back to me about that on the ninth. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 1 minute ago, Yardstickgozinya said: Get back to me about that on the ninth. Will do! 12 plus guaranteed! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yardstickgozinya Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 5 minutes ago, paweather said: Will do! 12 plus guaranteed! It's been so long since I have had anything remotely that deep in my backyard . It might be really painful if it happens to quick. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 Think I’m heading to Altmar, NY Thursday night.Do some Lake Effect chasing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 HH is starting to question whether our northern posters see much snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yardstickgozinya Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 9 minutes ago, Yardstickgozinya said: It's been so long since I have had anything remotely that deep in my backyard . It might be really painful if it happens to quick. Look here, Mr. Bubbles!!! It might be funny to you, but not everyone can handle 12+ like a pro. Last nime I got a big one I couldn't walk for a week and my mother had to apply the topical to the deep inflammation I just couldn't reach. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 9 minutes ago, Superstorm said: Think I’m heading to Altmar, NY Thursday night. Do some Lake Effect chasing. Pick. Me. Up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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