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Central PA Autumn 2024

Itstrainingtime
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Summit Snow
Summit Snow

31 and moderate snow still falling. Great start to the year up here. Elk Mountain got smoked so great for them not too far away. I am just under 1500'.  

MAG5035
MAG5035

The 30 minute trip up to the 3100’ summit at Blue Knob certainly did not disappoint. Got an 11 and a 12” measurement. Drifting had been pretty significant up there during the height of the event.

NepaJames8602
NepaJames8602

Good late morning everyone. My house in the Poconos. Newfoundland Pa, Wayne county. 2,075' elevation. Haven't measured, but I'd say atleast a foot. Its still snowing as well. Will measure and take mor

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WmsptWx

WmsptWx

Posted
Posted

Awfully quiet on here today. It's a short week. Let's not pretend we're busy working. Everybody has already checked out and is mentally putting together a schematic diagram of their performance at the table on Thursday. Maybe some of you are stretching in preparation for a Turkey Bowl. No pencils are being pushed, no beans are being counted, what's with the silence?

 

Stop that.

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sauss06

sauss06

Posted
Posted
  On 11/25/2024 at 4:38 PM, WmsptWx said:

Awfully quiet on here today. It's a short week. Let's not pretend we're busy working. Everybody has already checked out and is mentally putting together a schematic diagram of their performance at the table on Thursday. Maybe some of you are stretching in preparation for a Turkey Bowl. No pencils are being pushed, no beans are being counted, what's with the silence?

 

Stop that.

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I'm usually off this entire week. it sucked coming in at 5am this morning

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paweather

paweather

Posted
Posted
  On 11/25/2024 at 4:38 PM, WmsptWx said:

Awfully quiet on here today. It's a short week. Let's not pretend we're busy working. Everybody has already checked out and is mentally putting together a schematic diagram of their performance at the table on Thursday. Maybe some of you are stretching in preparation for a Turkey Bowl. No pencils are being pushed, no beans are being counted, what's with the silence?

 

Stop that.

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shhhhhhhh...........

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pasnownut

pasnownut

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Posted

I'm not at all bothered by nooner trends.  GFS/CMC/ICON/GEM not too far off, and ticked in the right direction.  Wouldnt be too surprised if we back into a little sumthin for turk day for true CTP'rs.  Regardless I'm headed to cabin Friday morning and looks like it'll be just in time for first notable LES event of the season.

 

Happy short week to all, and to those already on PTO....enjoy.

 

 

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pasnownut

pasnownut

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Posted
  On 11/25/2024 at 6:33 PM, paweather said:

I figured it would. Hope we can keep the cold in place for the 2 part of December. 

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I'm not sure what you are looking for, but most guidance (both Op and ENS), have predominant troughing here in the east w/ cold close enough to get it done with the right timing (as always).  

Personally i dont need northern FL under freeze warnings.  Just need it cold enough to snow....and I see heights largely supportive of a workable regime.  Of course there can be a relaxation here and there, and the only one that I saw was followed by deep blues returning or rather constant at 850mb and this oozes something we havent had for a while....clippers as its largely norther stream driven.  

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paweather

paweather

Posted
Posted
  On 11/25/2024 at 7:03 PM, pasnownut said:

I'm not sure what you are looking for, but most guidance (both Op and ENS), have predominant troughing here in the east w/ cold close enough to get it done with the right timing (as always).  

Personally i dont need northern FL under freeze warnings.  Just need it cold enough to snow....and I see heights largely supportive of a workable regime.  Of course there can be a relaxation here and there, and the only one that I saw was followed by deep blues returning or rather constant at 850mb and this oozes something we havent had for a while....clippers as its largely norther stream driven.  

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Just the GFS is dry through the 11th. 

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pasnownut

pasnownut

Posted
Posted
  On 11/25/2024 at 7:10 PM, paweather said:

And I am not an ensemble guy so that is something I don't look for.  

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Well I'm in the all guidance camp as one has not been proven to be empirical in verification vs others, and IF one looks at ALL model guidance (OP/ENS) and couples that with tellies, once again the word workable comes to mind.  Based on current Enso and influence of MJO possibly being a bit muted, I'll take a

- AO/ + PNA and roll w/ it as long as we can.  Deep winter it may not be, but workable IMO.  

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paweather

paweather

Posted
Posted
  On 11/25/2024 at 7:25 PM, pasnownut said:

Well I'm in the all guidance camp as one has not been proven to be empirical in verification vs others, and IF one looks at ALL model guidance (OP/ENS) and couples that with tellies, once again the word workable comes to mind.  Based on current Enso and influence of MJO possibly being a bit muted, I'll take a

- AO/ + PNA and roll w/ it as long as we can.  Deep winter it may not be, but workable IMO.  

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AGREE! Let's do it an early winter and then a superstorm in March! :snowman:

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Yardstickgozinya

Yardstickgozinya

Posted
Posted
  On 11/25/2024 at 7:03 PM, pasnownut said:

I'm not sure what you are looking for, but most guidance (both Op and ENS), have predominant troughing here in the east w/ cold close enough to get it done with the right timing (as always).  

Personally i dont need northern FL under freeze warnings.  Just need it cold enough to snow....and I see heights largely supportive of a workable regime.  Of course there can be a relaxation here and there, and the only one that I saw was followed by deep blues returning or rather constant at 850mb and this oozes something we havent had for a while....clippers as its largely norther stream driven.  

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My best worms say southern stream comes into play around  December 6th, and the big dog bites around the tenth if something big  is going to happen early. 

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Yardstickgozinya

Yardstickgozinya

Posted
Posted
  On 11/25/2024 at 9:38 PM, Yardstickgozinya said:

It's been so long since I have had anything remotely that deep in my backyard . It might be really painful if it happens to quick. 

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Look here, Mr. Bubbles!!!  It might be funny to you, but not everyone can handle 12+ like a pro. Last nime I got  a big one  I couldn't walk for a week and my mother had to apply the topical to the deep inflammation I just couldn't reach.

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