Central PA Autumn 2024

[Bubbler86]

5 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Already ruled out again for Sunday. 

I honestly feel bad for people who invested a crap ton of money on this team.

Meanwhile, Caleb Martin is out there running his ass off with a hand on his injured back.

They look to win tonight. 

[Blizzard of 93]

31 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Already ruled out again for Sunday. 

I honestly feel bad for people who invested a crap ton of money on this team.

Meanwhile, Caleb Martin is out there running his ass off with a hand on his injured back.

McCain looked really good again tonight.

This guy can play & should only get better.

[Itstrainingtime]

30 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

McCain looked really good again tonight.

This guy can play & should only get better.

He has been amazing. Incredible poise and confidence for a 20 year old. 

My biased disdain for Embiid aside, it's interesting how much more confident that McCain is in crunch time compared to Embiid. McCain wants the ball AND delivers.

[canderson]

Really nice rain right now. Radar is empty lol 

[MAG5035]

The 30 minute trip up to the 3100’ summit at Blue Knob certainly did not disappoint. Got an 11 and a 12” measurement. Drifting had been pretty significant up there during the height of the event.

[Blizzard of 93]

0z GFS has a moderate wave bringing snow Thanksgiving night to eastern PA.

[Bubbler86]

34 this Am.  The temp crested at 32 yesterday making it the first fully subfreezing day of the season in Rou.   Nothing like that  in the near future now as the upper 40's-60's prevail for several days.   6Z GFS has a rain/snow mix late Turkey into BF then real cold settles over the area.   If we miss out on precip Thanksgiving the drought maps may start getting darker.   All my snow is gone :(.

[Blizzard of 93]

The 6z GFS & 0z Euro are starting to agree on the general idea for late this week.

Both have a weak lead wave that brings some rain & snow on Thanksgiving. Then a stronger wave right behind it brings heavier precip mostly in the form of snow. The low then jumps to the coast Friday am as it heads northeast.

The GFS overall has a more minor system that brings a stripe of Advisory snow to mainly southeast PA. 
The Euro brings Warning level snow to most of CTP, with Advisory amounts in the LSV.

Either way at this point, it appears that a system is likely over the Thanksgiving period, but impacts still need resolved.

[Blizzard of 93]

Just now, Blizzard of 93 said:

The 6z GFS & 0z Euro are starting to agree on the general idea for late this week.

Both have a weak lead wave that brings some rain & snow on Thanksgiving. Then a stronger wave right behind it brings heavier precip mostly in the form of snow. The low then jumps to the coast Friday am as it heads northeast.

The GFS overall has a more minor system that brings a stripe of Advisory snow to mainly southeast PA. 
The Euro brings Warning level snow to most of CTP, with Advisory amounts in the LSV.

Either way at this point, it appears that a system is likely over the Thanksgiving period, but impacts still need resolved.

0z Euro

[Blizzard of 93]

Just now, Blizzard of 93 said:

The 6z GFS & 0z Euro are starting to agree on the general idea for late this week.

Both have a weak lead wave that brings some rain & snow on Thanksgiving. Then a stronger wave right behind it brings heavier precip mostly in the form of snow. The low then jumps to the coast Friday am as it heads northeast.

The GFS overall has a more minor system that brings a stripe of Advisory snow to mainly southeast PA. 
The Euro brings Warning level snow to most of CTP, with Advisory amounts in the LSV.

Either way at this point, it appears that a system is likely over the Thanksgiving period, but impacts still need resolved.

6z GFS

[pasnownut]

38 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

The 6z GFS & 0z Euro are starting to agree on the general idea for late this week.

Both have a weak lead wave that brings some rain & snow on Thanksgiving. Then a stronger wave right behind it brings heavier precip mostly in the form of snow. The low then jumps to the coast Friday am as it heads northeast.

The GFS overall has a more minor system that brings a stripe of Advisory snow to mainly southeast PA. 
The Euro brings Warning level snow to most of CTP, with Advisory amounts in the LSV.

Either way at this point, it appears that a system is likely over the Thanksgiving period, but impacts still need resolved.

Plenty enough of a signal to keep our interest. 6z GFS again shows the dual wave solution so those who want turk day snow get it, and those who want to wait till black friday....get their chance too .  Overnights def show the event, but diverge which one and when as icon is thurs and CMC is Friday.  To me its them trying to figure out which wave to focus on, as you can see 2 areas of energy on maps.  plenty of time to sort out, but fun to watch.

 

[mahantango#1]

.34 precipitation yesterday. No snowfall (snow in the air here) top of mountain has snow on it that elevation is around 1100ft. Temp never got out of the 30's yesterday. With yesterdays precip. that gives me 1.06 for the week and 1.67 for the month and 42.20 for the year.

[pawatch]

35 degrees this morning. We picked up .22” of rain yesterday with a trace of snow.

Some nice pictures Mag!

[mitchnick]

54 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

6z GFS

Sorta losing hope down here. 13/14 winter was the only winter I  can remember going back through my mental records starting the winter of 72/73, that storms progged to hit, then modeled to come north, ended up coming back south. Iow, they almost always trend north and this one is no different so far. So unless we can pull a 13/14 winter miracle, it's looking like mainly a cold rain or yesterday redux imby.

Obviously, weenie hope springs eternal, so I'll keep following it until the hopefully not bitter end, but odds ain't good right now imho.

[Voyager]

Ended up with an event total of 1.76" of which, one inch fell as snow, at least what had accumulated. It may have been more before and after.

[mahantango#1]

16 minutes ago, Voyager said:

Ended up with an event total of 1.76" of which, one inch fell as snow, at least what had accumulated. It may have been more before and after.

Wow you cashed in good on precip. Now there should be a little more water available to get a tanker load down to the 'ville before the ground freezes. 

[Bubbler86]

7 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

Wow you cashed in good on precip. Now there should be a little more water available to get a tanker load down to the 'ville before the ground freezes. 

Watching 3+" of snow melt in the middle of the night has me in good shape right now. 

[mahantango#1]

1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said:

Watching 3+" of snow melt in the middle of the night has me in good shape right now. 

Glad to see you cash in on the snow. Was Blizz down last night trying to preserve your snowpack?

[Blizzard of 93]

46 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Sorta losing hope down here. 13/14 winter was the only winter I  can remember going back through my mental records starting the winter of 72/73, that storms progged to hit, then modeled to come north, ended up coming back south. Iow, they almost always trend north and this one is no different so far. So unless we can pull a 13/14 winter miracle, it's looking like mainly a cold rain or yesterday redux imby.

Obviously, weenie hope springs eternal, so I'll keep following it until the hopefully not bitter end, but odds ain't good right now imho.

There is likely going to be a solid stripe of snow in our region.

As always, who wins is still to be determined.

On to 12z we go…

[mitchnick]

3 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

There is likely going to be a solid stripe of snow in our region.

As always, who wins is still to be determined.

On to 12z we go…

Yep...and that's what worries me. 

[mitchnick]

6z Eps got a touch warmer and snowfall line shifted north again. Trend needs to stop and start turning the other way.

[Bubbler86]

Plows down and snowblowers actively running in Blue Ridge Summit even now.  3-5" here now so guessing they had 6-yesterday.  By the time I was 10 min down the road in Fairfield there was no snow.

[paweather]

33 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

There is likely going to be a solid stripe of snow in our region.

As always, who wins is still to be determined.

On to 12z we go…

2-4” is my best guess right now but the game is on for turkey and Friday to be white!

[mitchnick]

48 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Plows down and snowblowers actively running in Blue Ridge Summit even now.  3-5" here now so guessing they had 6-yesterday.  By the time I was 10 min down the road in Fairfield there was no snow.

It was really a neat storm with probably one of the sharpest elevation cutoffs you're going to see.

[Mount Joy Snowman]

.27” total liquid here, with 90% of that falling as snow.  No accumulation of any sort.  Low of 35.  Nice little snow globe event.  Onward. 

[ChescoWx]

A nice weekend ahead although a bit breezy both today and tomorrow. Temperatures will be about where they should be for late November at near 50 degrees for the high temperature both days. Monday should be our warmest day of the week with mid to upper 50's across the area. We start chilling down through the rest of the week and will be keeping a close eye on a potential developing nor’easter that could impact the area as soon as Thanksgiving Day. Depending on the storm track we could see all rain, snow or a mix of both - stay tuned!

[philliesmd]

1 hour ago, mitchnick said:

It was really a neat storm with probably one of the sharpest elevation cutoffs you're going to see.

..Frederick County...
  Thurmont 3 WNW          6.8   710 PM 11/22  Trained Spotter
  Fort Ritchie 1 SSE      6.3   624 PM 11/22  Trained Spotter
  Sabillasville 1 N       5.0   710 PM 11/22  Trained Spotter
  Sabillasville 2 SSE     2.5   600 PM 11/22  Trained Spotter

Couldn't find any reports for Franklin or Adams. 

[Itstrainingtime]

35 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

.27” total liquid here, with 90% of that falling as snow.  No accumulation of any sort.  Low of 35.  Nice little snow globe event.  Onward. 

Same sensible weather here as your report, with .36" of total QPF.

[Blizzard of 93]

12z ICON tracks the late week low under us & has a good stripe of precip in southern PA.

[canderson]

Finished with .4 - mostly all nice soaking rain. 
 

Real nice morning too - 51 at 11. Pretty breezy - gusts into the upper 20s every once in a while.