Bubbler86 Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: PSUHoffman reporting 3" and counting. We are up to 2-3" on the areas of grass that is has acummed from the start. Still nothing on the roads despite it being 28-29ish. Snow + right now. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 Never know how valid these radar estimates are but this one is showing the snow collapsing quickly as some layers warm enough to change to rain OR rates slow down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 Mulch is caving 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 11 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: We are up to 2-3" on the areas of grass that is has acummed from the start. Still nothing on the roads despite it being 28-29ish. Snow + right now. Nice Was in Waynesboro earlier and just white rain there. Drive up to the top of rt 77. Several inches of snow and roads covered. 30 degrees up there Back in Smithsburg it's been white rain all day but in the last 30 minutes it's starting to stick to the deck and grass Temp dropped to 32 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 1 minute ago, Chris78 said: Nice Was in Waynesboro earlier and just white rain there. Drive up to the top of rt 77. Several inches of snow and roads covered. 30 degrees up there Back in Smithsburg it's been white rain all day but in the last 30 minutes it's starting to stick to the deck and grass Temp dropped to 32 Yea, we are right on the cusp of accums. Nothing 1/2 mile away. I bet some roads are covered in Blue Ridge as well. Not sure why the roads here are not caving at all. Roofs started when the sun lessened as the suns was pushing through a bit earlier. Grass has been picking up from the start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 Rain now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 22 Author Share Posted November 22 All rain here. Finished with a T. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 @mitchnick you are off your ensemble game. A lot of the GEFS runs must have snow for the median to look like it does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 16 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: All rain here. Finished with a T. Without getting into details the models that showed the retrograde and snow changing to rain this afternoon did a pretty good job. Accums were always overstated for marginal areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 The changeover to rain. It just hasn't happened here. Still coming down quite heavily. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 22 Author Share Posted November 22 @Mount Joy Snowman in my quest to see snow on the ground, I made the short 15 minute drive to Sam Lewis. It did not disappoint. It's a winter wonderland up here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 If you see snowflakes in the air but of course nothing sticks to anything, is that measurable? Edit: To be more precise, can I say that today was a trace and the first snowfall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 Pretty good snow in Carroll Valley again 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 2 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: Pretty good snow in Carroll Valley again Any accumulations in carrol valley? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 Rain is starting to mix in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 17 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: @Mount Joy Snowman in my quest to see snow on the ground, I made the short 15 minute drive to Sam Lewis. It did not disappoint. It's a winter wonderland up here. Oh wow I was curious myself if that would be enough to do the trick. Glad to hear it came through! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 This is a win even though no accums it was great to hear others with a significant event! HH GFS don’t disappoint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 1 minute ago, paweather said: This is a win even though no accums it was great to hear others with a significant event! HH GFS don’t disappoint. The moisture itself is a win. It's rained basically constant (even if lightly) since 7 am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 Disregard. Heavy snow again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 6 minutes ago, canderson said: The moisture itself is a win. It's rained basically constant (even if lightly) since 7 am. Agreed. I didn’t have rain until 2. it was snowing moderately and heavy at times here. But definitely getting into a more active pattern. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 Still snow here and some driveway stickage. This qualifies as a snow storm now despite no roads. Blue Ridge probably has 6-10" now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: @mitchnick you are off your ensemble game. A lot of the GEFS runs must have snow for the median to look like it does. There's an inch over central and southern PA at 42 hrs on the mean and 2" at 198 hrs. So a mean of 1" for next weekend potential is not great. But I did just check for the first time this winter the AIEuro and it misses is pretty far south, further than the Ukie. So it's just wait and see until Monday when we have a little better consensus. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
philliesmd Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 Just went for a drive to DG to pick up light bulbs. 322 is just wet. PennDot has done a spectacular job. I think if the ground were just a smidge colder going into this, this is probably a foot plus up here. This has been a great November event. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 Just checked Icon at 120 hrs and it's colder, but stops early this run. Maybe a nod to Ukie and AIEuro, idk. That 50/50 Low is growing into a monster, so maybe it is a crusher. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 Heaviest rates of the day, right now. I think this is the fifth time I have said that, but every time it has been accurate. It just keeps coming. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 7 minutes ago, mitchnick said: There's an inch over central and southern PA at 42 hrs on the mean and 2" at 198 hrs. So a mean of 1" for next weekend potential is not great. But I did just check for the first time this winter the AIEuro and it misses is pretty far south, further than the Ukie. So it's just wait and see until Monday when we have a little better consensus. The precip maps on the GEFS looked better than that but again it is all a guising game of which members did what until you look member to member. Several members could be 2' of rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 1 minute ago, WmsptWx said: Heaviest rates of the day, right now. I think this is the fifth time I have said that, but every time it has been accurate. It just keeps coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Winter Storm Gaetz continues to deliver in West-Central Pennsylvania. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 41 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Any accumulations in carrol valley? Insane honestly. Bottom of the neighborhood wet grass and rain snow mix. 2 miles from there at my house probably 1.5” at least and roads pretty snow covered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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