Bubbler86 Posted November 20 Share Posted November 20 7 minutes ago, mitchnick said: 18z Gfs has another big snow, this run starting on Thanksgiving Day. Incredible cold to follow it. Thus is crazy.... crazy good that is. Let's keep the snows to shopping time! T-Day is for family. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted November 20 Share Posted November 20 11 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Let's keep the snows to shopping time! T-Day is for family. I love my family, but I’ll take snow whenever I can get it, Lol! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 20 Share Posted November 20 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: I love my family, but I’ll take snow whenever I can get it, Lol! I have not heard that phrase since an episode of Breaking Bad. Verbatim the GFS gets you good Turkey day. More of a sloppy poppy down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted November 20 Share Posted November 20 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: I have not heard that phrase since an episode of Breaking Bad. Verbatim the GFS gets you good Turkey day. More of a sloppy poppy down here. Very long duration storm as depicted with precip not ending until Friday am. Long way to go, but something to monitor at this range. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 20 Share Posted November 20 3 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Very long duration storm as depicted with precip not ending until Friday am. Long way to go, but something to monitor at this range. A loaded for bear run especially for early Dec. Just missed twice (Miller A) in early Dec. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted November 20 Share Posted November 20 Getting nasty out this way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted November 20 Share Posted November 20 1 hour ago, canderson said: I’ll be happy just seeing snowflakes. Low low expectations for the first event down this way. Completely agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted November 20 Share Posted November 20 Wind advisories up for gusts to 50 mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 35 minutes ago, WmsptWx said: Getting nasty out this way Just tell her you love her and everything will be fine. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service State College PA 653 PM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 PAZ019-026>028-035-036-056-057-059-063>066-220000- Southern Centre-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Fulton-Franklin-Perry- Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster- 653 PM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. The first snow accumulation of the season is possible Thursday night through Friday night. A wet, slushy snow accumulation ranging from a coating to an inch or two is most likely at elevations near and above 1500 feet and limited to grassy and elevated surfaces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 The southern part of the line has absolutely bc collapse. Be lucky to get more than .2” it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 1 hour ago, mitchnick said: Just tell her you love her and everything will be fine. I'm not a liar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 Harrisburg Split? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 Pouring, windy, and thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 21 Author Share Posted November 21 Heavy rain in Maytown. .23" in 8 minutes. Even heavier rain on the doorstep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 Up to .08” - all very light stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 As I say that, it’s now raining nicely now and looks like back building will provide some heavier rates relatively soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 Wind here is insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 Anyone E of HBG will be tonight’s winner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 3 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Very long duration storm as depicted with precip not ending until Friday am. Long way to go, but something to monitor at this range. Superstorm 2024! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 Been a minute since I’ve heard the sound of pounding rain on the siding, and what a glorious sound it is. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 0z NAMS for Friday -Kuchera 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 21 Author Share Posted November 21 2 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Been a minute since I’ve heard the sound of pounding rain on the siding, and what a glorious sound it is. Up to .41" here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: Up to .41" here now. Looks like over a third of an inch here already and just had some thunder and lightning. #Winning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 0z ICON for Friday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 10 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: 0z NAMS for Friday -Kuchera That hole directly over Harrisburg is freaking hilarious. It’s like it is watching tonight’s radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 Just hit .15” and very light rain ahead it seems - congrats to those E that hit the jackpot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 .47 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 21 Author Share Posted November 21 Steady rain and 53 degrees. Rainfall at .62" and counting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 Temp is down to 40ºF here with 0.43” of rainfall and a high gust as measured by my weather station at 33.3mph. Things definitely are still are track for this Thurs night/Friday event. Timing seems to be Friday morning to later Friday afternoon for the non upslope enhanced precipitation associated with the low itself. All things considered computer models have been very consistent with each other the last few days with the evolution of this system. What I’ve noticed with the latest couple runs is the surface low is now being progged to backtrack all the way around the ring to make it into eastern PA, with the very deep 500mb low basically centered on PA for a time now. Basically this lends more support to potentially seeing a period of snow even into most/all of the Sus Valley now.. with elevation driving the level of success of any accums. The main part of this event as mentioned likely centers on Fri morning-afternoon as modelling has been progging the main wave of precip as a sort of spiral arm off the backtracking low pressure. It’s going to be interesting to see this unfold, as it’s a bit of a unique setup. The backtracking nature of this system lends to an actual example of a fujiwhara effect. Looking beyond, yes Thanksgiving/Thanksgiving Weekend has my attention. A storm had been showing up on op models in this timeframe in various forms more often than not on despite the range the last couple days even before today. So storm signal was already there, but they really upped the ante today. Ensembles are starting to see it a bit too. System progged for mid-week looks to be a key to maybe setting the boundary as well so we’ll see where things head the next few days with this. There should be plenty of cold on the playing field with the right setup. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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