Bubbler86 Posted October 4 Share Posted October 4 The variability of the run-to-run issues/changes in dealing with the gulf is making it tough to forecast. Now GFS has a Cat 1 or Trop Storm right into Tampa Bay. Fairly decent agreement on the Icon with double digit rains in Central Florida. CMC again holds the energy back for a Trop Storm later in the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 4 Share Posted October 4 1 hour ago, Voyager said: A half a day of sunshine yesterday and now back to this overcast crap again. I'm so depressed right now. With everything going on, and NOT going on, in my life right now this is not needed. I'm really beginning to think I should have stayed out west. Looks like a sunny and fantastic weather weekend though....hopefully your other issues start to lessen. It is tough to feel normal when life is throwing bad stuff at us. Our next real chance of rain not until Sunday Night/Monday AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted October 4 Share Posted October 4 With autumn upon us I thought I would look at the average first freeze along with earliest and latest occurrence across Chester County PA at all 31 available stations. As you might expect the relative lower elevations experience freezes and the end of the growing season about 6 days earlier compared to the somewhat higher spots. There is great variability across the years with the earliest recorded freeze being at Phoenixville on September 17, 1986 and the latest being over 2 months later at Devault 1W on December 2nd 1985. The average date of the first freeze is October 23 at elevations below 407 ft ASL and October 29 above 440 ft ASL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted October 4 Share Posted October 4 40s at night next week…we’re getting there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 4 Share Posted October 4 1 minute ago, Wmsptwx said: 40s at night next week…we’re getting there. Nws has me mid 60's during the day and mid 40's at night Monday-Wednesday. No complaints here. Guess I'll be burning some oil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 4 Share Posted October 4 11 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Nws has me mid 60's during the day and mid 40's at night Monday-Wednesday. No complaints here. Guess I'll be burning some oil. Actually, it's been updated to upper 60's on Monday, mid 60's Tuesday and Wednesday, and lower 60's on Thursday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted October 4 Share Posted October 4 4 hours ago, mitchnick said: Should be some decent aurora action on the 6th. Northern folks having the best shot at seeing something. Still have never witnessed the northern lights. Maybe this time as this flare was strong and directed right at earth. I saw it back in 87 or 88 when I was in college in Wspt. Was driving on 220 twds lock haven. COOL ASS SHIT. I hope you get a chance someday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted October 4 Share Posted October 4 73 degrees currently, partly cloudy. Got my mows in a 4” cut and then a 3”. The zero turn put a few divots in the yard. Guess I should have let it dry out a little more. Wmsptwx It won’t be long, it will be heating season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 4 Share Posted October 4 Up 12 degrees since lunch....to 76 and mostly sunny. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted October 4 Share Posted October 4 What's with all the haze? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 4 Share Posted October 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted October 4 Share Posted October 4 2 hours ago, canderson said: What's with all the haze? Noticing that as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted October 4 Share Posted October 4 Took the time to push mow the grass tonight at mid-height on the deck blade and it was the right call. I think my yard looks better right now than it has all season, and it's going to require another mow in a few days with all the sun we've had the last two days. Gorgeous night, this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted October 5 Share Posted October 5 The haze today and tonight is as bad as the smoke we had last summer. Sky was orange. And it’s insanely humid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted October 5 Share Posted October 5 Feels great up here in State College! Up early for tailgating, night boys. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 5 Share Posted October 5 Oh My. Northern outlier but noteworthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 5 Share Posted October 5 53 with fog about as thick as it can get this AM. Visibility well under 1/4 mile. Just 100-200 feet at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 5 Share Posted October 5 35 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 53 with fog about as thick as it can get this AM. Visibility well under 1/4 mile. Just 100-200 feet at best. Ughhh. So tired of the humidity. No ground fog here but it's a very low overcast. Closest Wunderground station says 62, which explains the lack of fog. At 53, I'd be in the soup. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 5 Share Posted October 5 40 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Ughhh. So tired of the humidity. No ground for here but it's a very low overcast. Closest Wunderground station says 62, which explains the lack of fog. At 53, I'd be in the soup. Quite often when I get my worst fog events, the MD NWS has the headline like this am. DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * WHAT...Visibility of a quarter mile or less in dense fog. * WHERE...Portions of central, north central, northern, and western Maryland, northern Virginia, and eastern West Virginia. * WHEN...Until 8 AM EDT this morning. * IMPACTS...Low visibility could make driving conditions hazardous. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If driving, slow down, use your headlights, and leave plenty of distance ahead of you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 5 Share Posted October 5 Breaking up nicely here with more sun than clouds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted October 5 Share Posted October 5 Low 46, beautiful sunny day. Enjoy your weekend! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted October 5 Share Posted October 5 Beautiful morning here with full sun, low humidity & a breeze. 61 temperature currently 54 dew 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted October 5 Share Posted October 5 Happy Red October Phillies Day to those who celebrate!!! Go Phillies! A beautiful stretch of autumnal weather on the way with both today and tomorrow reaching above normal high temps in the low 70's before we chill down to well below average highs starting on Monday and thru the rest of the week. Nigh time lows starting tonight will be in the 40's and maybe some 30's by Wednesday morning. Some shower chances increase by Sunday night with a cold frontal passage - otherwise a dry week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted October 5 Share Posted October 5 Below is an updated list across all available stations of the biggest snowfall seasons in Chester County PA history. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 5 Share Posted October 5 Fwiw, new Euro monthly out today is a bit cooler than last runs and has a similar progression thru the winter of cooling as Cfs2 and Cansips We're still AN for the months, but less than prior runs. December has the greatest AN anomalies solidly in the +1-2C while January is barely in the +1-2C meaning we're close to the +.5-1C, which is not too warm for seasonal snow. February drops to only +.5-1C. The good news is we are solidly in normal precip each month. With occasional cold intrusion that would be expected with those kind of temp anomalies and normal precip, a few decently timed short waves might get us to something closer to normal than recent years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted October 5 Share Posted October 5 A beautiful day with 3/4 of the LSV at Troegs today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted October 5 Share Posted October 5 After two weeks of gloomy misery, today is a glorious day! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted October 5 Share Posted October 5 Fwiw, new Euro monthly out today is a bit cooler than last runs and has a similar progression thru the winter of cooling as Cfs2 and Cansips We're still AN for the months, but less than prior runs. December has the greatest AN anomalies solidly in the +1-2C while January is barely in the +1-2C meaning we're close to the +.5-1C, which is not too warm for seasonal snow. February drops to only +.5-1C. The good news is we are solidly in normal precip each month. With occasional cold intrusion that would be expected with those kind of temp anomalies and normal precip, a few decently timed short waves might get us to something closer to normal than recent years.2009-2010….give me above normal temps and lots of snow. I don’t care if it melts the next day.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 5 Share Posted October 5 A surprisingly warm 78 here. Would prefer 5 less. The end of Tampa as modeled (grab from Trop thread) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted October 5 Share Posted October 5 41 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: A surprisingly warm 78 here. Would prefer 5 less. The end of Tampa as modeled (grab from Trop thread) This may finish off my fam’s Sarasota house Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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