Bubbler86 Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 12Z GFS says rain is primarily done in PA until October. Several other non-American Progs are much wetter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 2 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: My name is Hossel and I can count to potato! FIFY 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 1 hour ago, Wmsptwx said: Idk I like Tomlin, far from worst guy we could have coaching. Why does your avatar look like an Asian woman who is taking one in the shidder? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 Just now, Atomixwx said: Why does your avatar look like an Asian woman who is taking one in the shidder? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 Just now, Wmsptwx said: Lol That didn't answer anything... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 Smile Bubbler! It's the Euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 2 hours ago, Atomixwx said: That didn't answer anything... Protest avatar to honor a fallen brother in OTs Wxtrix driven purge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted September 17 Author Share Posted September 17 MU's Tuesday PM update: Unfortunately, the forecast from tonight through the end of the week is still not "cut and dry" or "set in stone." Instead, there is still a large amount of uncertainty with respect to the timing, intensity and amount of any rain across southeastern PA and the Lower Susquehanna Valley. As mentioned above, a weak low pressure system will develop well off the North Carolina and Virginia coastlines later tonight into Wednesday. It may then track northwest for a brief period of time and get closer to the mid-Atlantic coastline. However, its northward progression will ultimately be stopped by the large-scale subsidence, or sinking motion, associated with the large high pressure system over New England and eastern Canada. As a result, the system will stall off the mid-Atlantic coastline late this week or slowly meander back out to sea. Over the past 2-3 days, computer models have shown zero consistency from run-to-run in the placement, strength and track of the coastal low. They are having a hard time resolving areas of tropical convection both near and hundreds of miles off the mid-Atlantic coastline (see below). These areas of convection are expected to eventually interact with one another, but the timing and nature of this interaction is still difficult to finesse. The surface low pressure system will initially form near one of these clusters of thunderstorms and then draw moisture from the others inward toward itself. Obviously, the farther offshore the low forms/tracks, the less rain will fall north of the Mason-Dixon Line and west of I-95. A track closer to the coast would mean numerous showers or even periods of steady to perhaps heavy rain across southeastern PA, Delaware and parts of New Jersey later tonight into Thursday. I won't dive into the weeds here, but I continue to favor the drier outcome and a track farther out to sea. Rain across Virginia is currently not as intense, widespread or as far north as anticipated just 24-36 hours ago, so I see no reason why that trend won't continue over the next two days. "Rex blocks" are often stronger and suppress storm systems farther south than modeled, and this case seems to be no exception. We'll know soon.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 Hope you all get some much needed h20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 36 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said: Hope you all get some much needed h20 Only way that happens is if @Voyager visits us all individually with his truck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 2 minutes ago, canderson said: Only way that happens is if @Voyager visits us all individually with his truck. Lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 12z Eps likes southern and southeastern portions of the state. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 18z 3k Nam https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=nam3km®ion=neus&pkg=apcpn&runtime=2024091718&fh=60 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 WGAL really downplaying rain chances. Had around .4" far West LSV and close to nothing East and North of Harrisburg. Removing the low and high outliers, this map seems to depict what a lot of the middle ground progs are showing right now as to general areas where it would rain harder or longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 2 hours ago, canderson said: Only way that happens is if @Voyager visits us all individually with his truck. I'd be happy to. It would get me out of my boring routine. The boss would probably not be too happy, though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 1 hour ago, mitchnick said: 12z Eps likes southern and southeastern portions of the state. Looks like a normal snow map around here. Pummel I-95 from DC to NYC while the most of us get the shaft... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 Just now, Voyager said: Looks like a normal snow map around here. Pummel I-95 from DC to NYC while the most of us get the shaft... The shaft on that map would be 8-14" for the LSV and Skooks. (10:1) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 26 minutes ago, Voyager said: Looks like a normal snow map around here. Pummel I-95 from DC to NYC while the most of us get the shaft... You guys did pretty good last year. Definitely more than mby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 The game sure has changed over the years, hasn't it? Eagles with a 4th and 4 early on - I'm telling my wife that they should take the points and move on, but I knew that Sirianni was going to go for it. He did, and they didn't get it. An easy call to second guess; however, there was a time when 100% of coaches in the NFL would have gladly taken the 3. The game has evolved into...gambling. LOL. Dan Campell, the Staley dude that got canned in LA are/were other coaches who wouldn't think twice about forgoing the points and gambling on getting 6. In that scenario, I felt strongly that you take the points. It figured to be a possession/low scoring game...it was, and those missed 3 points ended up huge.Analytics are bit different than gambling. Also what happens if you miss the field goal. Thinga would be a bit different if you could just take a guarantee 3 points anytime you got in the red zone if you like. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 I intentionally left him off to keep my emotions in check here at work. Damn you, Jon for getting me wound up. Tomlin's has many issues...maybe one of his worst is clock management. When I get mad I think about how the Steelers were in the mid to late 80s and become thankful Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 Smile Bubbler! It's the Euro.The last minute north bump! Those were key in the last great rex block winter of 2011Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 Rain was officially reported at Hagerstown with the 8 pm Ob. Hopefully that means it’s raining in Rouzerville. Maybe the hose gets the day off tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 The O’s are lifeless. If they’re a quick playoff out I am curious if they make a managerial change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted September 18 Author Share Posted September 18 18 minutes ago, canderson said: The O’s are lifeless. If they’re a quick playoff out I am curious if they make a managerial change. Abysmal. Like, really, really bad. This is harder to go through when the team had zero talent and you took for granted they sucked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 54 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Abysmal. Like, really, really bad. This is harder to go through when the team had zero talent and you took for granted they sucked. Yea, I’ve been there. It is brutal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 7 hours ago, mitchnick said: You guys did pretty good last year. Definitely more than mby. I was in AZ last winter, so I missed it. I actually thought everyone did rather poorly, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 10 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Rain was officially reported at Hagerstown with the 8 pm Ob. Hopefully that means it’s raining in Rouzerville. Maybe the hose gets the day off tomorrow? That's what she said. .04" so far. AM models are caving to the dryer solutions. 0Z EC vs. yesterday 12Z. Nearly 3" drops in some places. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 actually got .01” rain overnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 Low of 66 with .01” of rain. Let’s see if anyone gets lucky today…..in their rain gauge, that is. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 26 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Low of 66 with .01” of rain. Let’s see if anyone gets lucky today…..in their rain gauge, that is. last time someone tried a nooner, @canderson got turned down. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now