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Pittsburgh, PA Fall 2024 Thread


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14 hours ago, Rd9108 said:

This is the only political reference I'll make but I trust these models just like i trust the election polls that came out this past election. So any snow they show I'm highly skeptical. I'm saying we see maybe an inch at most.

I guess this is a Mr. Obvious comment, but these maps are pretty garbage in these marginal temperature setups. I think it's likely the lowlands see an inch or less unless something really times right overnight. Going to be tough to stay cold enough during the day. Still nice to have some pre-season action lol

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5 minutes ago, RitualOfTheTrout said:

I guess this is a Mr. Obvious comment, but these maps are pretty garbage in these marginal temperature setups. I think it's likely the lowlands see an inch or less unless something really times right overnight. Going to be tough to stay cold enough during the day. Still nice to have some pre-season action lol

Lmao I mean people are getting all giddy seeing the maps. Euro though in the next weeks looks really good. 

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Severe Thunderstorm Warning
PAC003-007-019-125-202215-
/O.NEW.KPBZ.SV.W.0279.241120T2124Z-241120T2215Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
424 PM EST Wed Nov 20 2024

The National Weather Service in Pittsburgh has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Allegheny County in southwestern Pennsylvania...
  Central Washington County in southwestern Pennsylvania...
  Southern Butler County in west central Pennsylvania...
  Beaver County in western Pennsylvania...

* Until 515 PM EST.

* At 424 PM EST, severe thunderstorms were located along a line from
  near Ellwood City to 8 miles north of Wolfdale, or along a line
  from 6 miles northeast of Beaver Falls to 7 miles east of Avella,
  moving east at 35 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
  Pittsburgh, Penn Hills, Mount Lebanon, Bethel Park, Ross Township,
  McCandless Township, Monroeville, Cranberry, Moon Township,
  McMurray, McKeesport, Butler, Franklin Park, Aliquippa,
  Canonsburg, Beaver Falls, Monaca, Avella, Gastonville and Shaler
  Township.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Seek shelter inside a well-built structure and stay away from
windows. These storms are capable of producing damaging winds.

Tornadoes can develop quickly from severe thunderstorms. Seek
shelter immediately in an interior room on the lowest floor of a
well-built structure.

&&

LAT...LON 4025 8049 4085 8035 4085 8016 4090 8016
      4086 7969 4064 7969 4057 7977 4053 7970
      4043 7970 4039 7976 4030 7979 4029 7978
      4028 7980 4023 7981 4023 7978 4020 7987
      4019 7986 4016 7986 4016 7990 4013 7989
TIME...MOT...LOC 2124Z 279DEG 30KT 4081 8023 4053 8029 4031 8035

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Milcarek

Severe thunderstorm warning with tornado possible tag.

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Tornado Warning
PAC003-129-202230-
/O.NEW.KPBZ.TO.W.0037.241120T2159Z-241120T2230Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
459 PM EST Wed Nov 20 2024

The National Weather Service in Pittsburgh has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  East Central Allegheny County in southwestern Pennsylvania...
  Northwestern Westmoreland County in southwestern Pennsylvania...

* Until 530 PM EST.

* At 459 PM EST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a
  tornado was located over Aspinwall, or near Penn Hills, moving
  east at 40 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught
           without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or
           destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows and vehicles will
           occur. Tree damage is likely.

* Locations impacted include...
  Pittsburgh, Penn Hills, Monroeville, Apollo, Shaler Township,
  Plum, Murrysville, Wilkinsburg, New Kensington, Lower Burrell,
  O`hara Township, Oakmont, Fox Chapel, Etna, Sharpsburg,
  Springdale, Churchill, Aspinwall, Verona and Blawnox.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a well-built
building away from windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home,
or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 4056 7977 4059 7956 4058 7957 4056 7956
      4055 7954 4054 7953 4054 7951 4044 7948
      4045 7996 4053 7997
TIME...MOT...LOC 2158Z 264DEG 35KT 4049 7992

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN

$$

MLB
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2 hours ago, CoraopolisWx said:

This setup reminds me of 2/10/10.
Decent moisture and energy on the wrap around.
Unfortunately, temps are too warm for most of us.

At least it's only November.  That happening in February is far more upsetting.

Looks like CPC thinks it'll be colder than normal through 12/20.  Might have a decent December if that holds true.

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Looks like we'll have a cold source for the first week of December, at least.

Not sure about discrete threats.  One around Thanksgiving is the most obvious.  This early in the season could be more about lake effect as opposed to synoptic snows, however, and it might be a "cold and dry" environment after that one.

I'm skeptical the cold lasts any longer than that - rest of December is more likely to be normal or above, IMHO.  But in the long range that can always change, of course.

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