stormy Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 2 hours ago, wxdude64 said: Fogged in again this morning..... I was clear this morning. It was pea soup yesterday morning til about 11. If yesterday had been August 15, that would have been a nice snowstorm in January. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 Seems to be some modest model agreement in a small MCS (or closer of cells) coming into the DC area in the very late afternoon or early evening hours. Perhaps less certainly for north-central Maryland. Second batch of showers, covering some part of the area, towards sunrise. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 WB 12Z 3K NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 1 hour ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z 3K NAM I'll say this: with that NAM3 focus of heaviest rain, there is some (but not complete) model agreement for northeast MD to get soaked early Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 18 minutes ago, high risk said: I'll say this: with that NAM3 focus of heaviest rain, there is some (but not complete) model agreement for northeast MD to get soaked early Sunday Ugh. You and I are going to miss the evening stuff west and the overnight stuff east aren’t we? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 39 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Ugh. You and I are going to miss the evening stuff west and the overnight stuff east aren’t we? That’s my worry for sure, but we still have a shot at something from the evening batch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 24 minutes ago, high risk said: That’s my worry for sure, but we still have a shot at something from the evening batch. Euro bullseyes us fwiw 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vastateofmind Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 I'm curious...why is that cloud shield for the Staunton and Harrisonburg storms extending so far south and east, ahead of the actual storms hitting (or getting ready to hit) those areas? It's also reflected on the GOES16 depiction. Haven't seen anything like that...maybe ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 80/66. Need that sweet sweet Canadian fall air pronto. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted September 21 Author Share Posted September 21 17 minutes ago, vastateofmind said: I'm curious...why is that cloud shield for the Staunton and Harrisonburg storms extending so far south and east? It's also reflected on the GOES16 depiction. Haven't seen anything like that...maybe ever. Winds in the upper-levels of the troposphere (~25,000-40,000ft) are very swift out of the northwest. Much faster than the modest low/mid-level NW flow where the majority of the convective clouds are located. So while the storms are moving SE with that modest NW low/mid-level flow the anvils from the storm tops are being blow to the SE of the storms. The stronger upper-level flow being orientated in about the same direction as the weaker low/mid-level is also helping with the storm-splitting action we are seeing to our NW. If, for example, the strength of the upper-level NW winds were more equal or even weaker than the deep-layer low/mid level NW winds, storms would more readily congeal into a solid SE-moving line... small line segments, however, can still form in this environment. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 42 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: 80/66. Need that sweet sweet Canadian fall air pronto. No joke. Daughter's fall softball league feels more like a summer league at this point. September is an extension of summer. Made it out to Deep Creek this afternoon and its soupy out here. Thunderstorm just rolled through. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
katabatic Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 19 minutes ago, mdhokie said: No joke. Daughter's fall softball league feels more like a summer league at this point. September is an extension of summer. Made it out to Deep Creek this afternoon and its soupy out here. Thunderstorm just rolled through. Glad the radar was colorful but once again not in MLP. 0.02” for the day and 0.19” for the month. About 5” since the beginning of June. Should be around 25. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx12 Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 Radar indicates DC metro may get wet in an hour or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 The trough amplified this afternoon, therefore the heading of 120 shifted to 190, forcing activity west of my location. .01" here and 1.05" 15 miles southwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 3 hours ago, high risk said: That’s my worry for sure, but we still have a shot at something from the evening batch. Northern stuff kinda falling apart… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vastateofmind Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 1 hour ago, mdhokie said: No joke. Daughter's fall softball league feels more like a summer league at this point. September is an extension of summer. Made it out to Deep Creek this afternoon and its soupy out here. Thunderstorm just rolled through. Yep. We did several hours of yard work this afternoon, when it peaked at 87, well beyond the forecasted high. My wife and I were sweating our keisters off... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 10 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Northern stuff kinda falling apart… That said, I endorse the 18z 3k NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 Looks like @EastCoast NPZ is in for more rain next hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 1 hour ago, katabatic said: Glad the radar was colorful but once again not in MLP. 0.02” for the day and 0.19” for the month. About 5” since the beginning of June. Should be around 25. Wow, thats dry! We had 5 minutes of heavy rain and that was it. Sun is back out making for a nice evening sunset. Lake is definitely on the low side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 Insane shelf in Staunton. Pics from the car doing a bad job. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 Sprinkles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx12 Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 739 PM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... West central Loudoun County in northern Virginia... Northeastern Clarke County in northwestern Virginia... Southern Jefferson County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... * Until 815 PM EDT. * At 739 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Berryville, or near Charles Town, moving southeast at 30 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Purcellville, Round Hill, Bluemont, Hamilton, Hillsboro, Wickliffe, Summit Point, Gaylord, Stringtown, and Rippon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 I was on the beltway from Baltimore Co to Howard Co and got a grand total of 10 drops, not all at once either… This event is a dud isn’t it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 Nw to se oriented systems ain't it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 On our back stoop smoking a cigar at our house up in Bloomingdale and lots of thunder/lightning just.to the NW but nothing here yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 22 Share Posted September 22 1 hour ago, yoda said: Looks like @EastCoast NPZ is in for more rain next hour Not much this time. Only .10". Good bit of thunder and lightning. Most of it looked to slide south of me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 22 Share Posted September 22 12 minutes ago, 87storms said: Nw to se oriented systems ain't it. Yeah, those don't work for me either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx12 Posted September 22 Share Posted September 22 Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 810 PM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Northeastern Loudoun County in northern Virginia... * Until 845 PM EDT. * At 810 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Purcellville, or 10 miles southeast of Charles Town, moving east at 25 mph. * Locations impacted include... Leesburg, Hillsboro, Paeonian Springs, Lucketts, and Waterford. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrlg1181 Posted September 22 Share Posted September 22 Impressive lightning display along 64 east of Charlottesville... Almost nonstop higher up cloud to cloud bolts branching out in the sky... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted September 22 Share Posted September 22 1 hour ago, JenkinsJinkies said: I was on the beltway from Baltimore Co to Howard Co and got a grand total of 10 drops, not all at once either… This event is a dud isn’t it? The best shot at a soaking in the Baltimore area was always round 2, after midnight. Last several runs of the HRRR really like central and northeast MD. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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