Damage In Tolland Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: We hope guidance is right for tomorrow and Friday. Congrats there EMA perhaps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 Looks like Stein west of the CTRV, wetter east; congrats Scooter and the Cape. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Congrats there EMA perhaps More like SEMA. I don't expect anything. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 A lot of guidance is fairly widespread with the rain. Not really sold yet on bigger amounts here, maybe Cape. Just hoping for at least a half inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: A lot of guidance is fairly widespread with the rain. Not really sold yet on bigger amounts here, maybe Cape. Just hoping for at least a half inch. Has guidance shifted? I'll defer, since I don't look at models from April through Snoretober, aside from climate and the tropics. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Has guidance shifted? I'll defer, since I don't look at models from April through Snoretober, aside from climate and the tropics. Wetter overall. Some drop inches on the Cape. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I feel Wetter overall. Some droplets on my drawers. Well, in a desperate attempt to shift gears.....the CFS and CANSIPS are pretty cold for winter. Tough to sell it as being overreliant on ENSO like last year.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Well, in a desperate attempt to shift gears.....the CFS and CANSIPS are pretty cold for winter. Tough to sell it as being overreliant on ENSO like last year.... I'll have to look. Need hope. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 44 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Has guidance shifted? I'll defer, since I don't look at models from April through Snoretober, aside from climate and the tropics. Mesos are dry inland. Thats likely how this will go. That high to our NE is heavy and pressing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 Yeah Ray looks decent. Sort of on the line, but more of a Deep South ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 28 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah Ray looks decent. Sort of on the line, but more of a Deep South ridge. Ideally you want to be near the line....that looks more like a 12/2007 chain of overrunning events for the first half of the season, then the gradient relaxes a bit later so there is more room for amplification of waves. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 13 hours ago, dendrite said: Today’s highs. Congrats DAW. Past 2 days here 86 and 83°F, Today should be the last of the run, Should top out around 83 again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: A lot of guidance is fairly widespread with the rain. Not really sold yet on bigger amounts here, maybe Cape. Just hoping for at least a half inch. seein' as no one at all asked i'm hoping for a 2-3" basin deal/bust high ...that fades by saturday and the sun's back out by noon. nice sunday follows. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: seein' as no one at all asked i'm hoping for a 2-3" basin deal/bust high ...that fades by saturday and the sun's back out by noon. nice sunday follows. NAM trying to Stein BOS N and W. Ugh. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 this morass down the coast and over the waters s of li is all being generated by a 582 dm close surface/circulation envelope. 582 it's a single contour closed remnant of whatever that thing was that came inland down there the other day. yet it has all this presentation like it's way more. it's always a reminder in this game how much relativity is everything. it doesn't matter that 582 hgts can have 100f at the surface - which makes 64 and rain a very low bar for that metric. or that a single contour is weak by any standard metric or convention, in general so why the big mass. it only matters if the surrounding medium is allowing it to become the dominating force at that time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: NAM trying to Stein BOS N and W. Ugh. i know.. 'dry begets dry' i guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted September 18 Author Share Posted September 18 53 minutes ago, dryslot said: Past 2 days here 86 and 83°F, Today should be the last of the run, Should top out around 83 again. High of 80 yesterday was the first 80+ since August 2. 7-day from GYX offers zero precip here. Should that hold for the following week, this month would eclipse October 1963 (0.14") as the driest month I've seen. That month the NJ Governor closed the state's woods and even banned fishing after 10/20, a shame as the previous week I'd found lots of action on our small lake and the near-windless low 80s with lots of color still showing would've made for excellent days on the water. Speaking of eclipse, I didn't go out with the pup until 11:10 last evening but there still was a small bite out of the top edge of the supermoon. Max was closer to 10:30 but probably less than 1/4 shaded here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 19 minutes ago, tamarack said: High of 80 yesterday was the first 80+ since August 2. 7-day from GYX offers zero precip here. Should that hold for the following week, this month would eclipse October 1963 (0.14") as the driest month I've seen. That month the NJ Governor closed the state's woods and even banned fishing after 10/20, a shame as the previous week I'd found lots of action on our small lake and the near-windless low 80s with lots of color still showing would've made for excellent days on the water. Speaking of eclipse, I didn't go out with the pup until 11:10 last evening but there still was a small bite out of the top edge of the supermoon. Max was closer to 10:30 but probably less than 1/4 shaded here. I missed it last night, But as far as precip goes this month, 0.04” here, Dry, Looks like lawn mowing is really slowing as I was going weekly and now looks like it may be by-weekly as it’s not needed this week, Burnt as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 I sorta want to see BOS continue its streak of dry. I think they are top 4 at this point 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 4 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I sorta want to see BOS continue its streak of dry. I think they are top 4 at this point Everything is browning and dying. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 Stein initialized into the NAM and HRRR 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 Let’s get #1 driest period on record. It’s doable 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 Keep it dry until November. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Let’s get #1 driest period on record. It’s doable 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 We RGEM 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 32 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Everything is browning and dying. My yard is brown, dusty and covered in acorns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: We RGEM In the winter you’d laugh at Reggie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: In the winter you’d laugh at Reggie I'm desperate. I will lose it if the GFS happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 Stein Death to all except Cape Cod on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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