Fall 2024 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[DocATL]

I'm sure you were joking, but with an expected wet pattern in the OV/Lakes and Canada much colder than last winter...good luck with that lol.

Wetter for sure. Colder we’ll see.
I do think that lake effect areas will get cranking in late winter and spring, however.


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[michsnowfreak]

1 minute ago, DocATL said:

Wetter for sure. Colder we’ll see.
I do think that lake effect areas will get cranking in late winter and spring, however.


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No doubt canada will be colder. Lake effect will probably crank early in the season too. You have to remember, it's very easy to get LES with cold fronts in early winter when the lakes are "warm". 

Side note...November (at least here) is the month of the year with the largest difference in average temperature from the 1st day of the month to the last.

[cyclone77]

4 hours ago, hawkeye_wx said:

The GFS and Euro are showing major rain across the region over the next eight days as a western trough spits out several chunks of energy, with the gulf wide open.

Pretty dramatic change to what we've been seeing the past 8 weeks.

[Malacka11]

As long as it doesn't mean we can lock in fuck all for DJF, sounds good to me

[Lightning]

16 hours ago, hawkeye_wx said:

The GFS and Euro are showing major rain across the region over the next eight days as a western trough spits out several chunks of energy, with the gulf wide open.

 

 

I like the sound of this for you:

Really hoping to hear some great reports from you later today into tonight!!!    

 

 

 

 

[Lightning]

11 hours ago, Malacka11 said:

As long as it doesn't mean we can lock in fuck all for DJF, sounds good to me

It really looks like we are finally seeing the breakdown of the pattern we have been stuck in since August.  Pacific is now throwing a lot of big storms into Alaska area over the next 10 days or so.  It is going to take awhile for it to lock into anything desirable here until some level blocking in that area can get established.  Let's just hope any blocking is positioned well for us to get fun winter weather.