Brian D Posted November 16 Share Posted November 16 18 hours ago, OrdIowPitMsp said: Well it’s definitely going to rain a lot next week. Will be great to get that moisture before soils freeze up. Feeling much less confident about snow prospects, however a string of highs in the 30s will feel frigid with the autumn we’ve had. Sure has been nice. TH, tho, is 2nd driest (2.38") Sept 1-Nov 16 behind 1976 (2.05"), so the rains will be really nice. As much as I hate the cloudy, overcast stretches when the days are short, the precip will be most welcome. Temps looking to go back to more seasonable levels, so I actually may have a chance to measure some white stuff in a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted November 16 Share Posted November 16 The Euro maps are just wild. 8-16" for NW Ohio Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted November 16 Share Posted November 16 7 minutes ago, nwohweather said: The Euro maps are just wild. 8-16" for NW Ohio Must be the new upgrade! I'll take it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted November 16 Share Posted November 16 0Z and 12Z Euro's are almost carbon copy's, weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted November 16 Share Posted November 16 Some GEFS ensemble members and the ECMWF have a low pressure near Toledo or Detroit with snow to the south. I expect that models will take a few days to come to agreement on this dynamic system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted November 16 Share Posted November 16 Euro has been such dogshit the last few years. Would love to have a flag plant model again 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted November 17 Share Posted November 17 Whatever is falling from the sky is going to be coming down sideways for a while thanks to some strong winds. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted Sunday at 01:26 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:26 PM First mention of snow in the forecast for the season. The lifelong addiction continues. 11 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted Monday at 12:39 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:39 AM On 11/15/2024 at 6:24 AM, A-L-E-K said: not to count the chickens before they hatch but looks like we're gonna go from an all-time summer/fall run of beautiful weather and transition p hard into a wet and stormy period with increasing snow shots as time goes on, p good time and rather ideal imo Extended looks active 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted Monday at 06:26 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:26 PM @OHweather How long did it take to write that AFD? Felt like it was back to the days of your blog with that prose you had going there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted Monday at 09:49 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:49 PM Not often you see a dry slot and warm tongue with this orientation!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted Monday at 10:20 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:20 PM 29 minutes ago, Frog Town said: Not often you see a dry slot and warm tongue with this orientation!! Seeing the Euro in TT's precip type view is like something out of one of those deja vu/dream moments where you think you're losing it. Can't believe the day has actually arrived 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted Tuesday at 01:15 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 01:15 AM 6 hours ago, nwohweather said: @OHweather How long did it take to write that AFD? Felt like it was back to the days of your blog with that prose you had going there About an hour and 15 mins lol. The crazy solutions have backed off, but it's looking like there should be snow flying Thursday into Thursday night as moisture wraps back in from the north/northwest. Maybe parts of Ohio can see a light accumulation. It's nice to have a little bit of snow to look at, even if there's still nothing extremely exciting on the horizon. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted Tuesday at 11:04 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:04 PM Love to see (with my exceedingly amateur eyes) that maybe if there's an event or two somewhere in the subforum over the next few weeks, it's at least possible that there will be a little more cold air to work with than last year's screw over events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted Wednesday at 12:14 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:14 AM 1 hour ago, Malacka11 said: Love to see (with my exceedingly amateur eyes) that maybe if there's an event or two somewhere in the subforum over the next few weeks, it's at least possible that there will be a little more cold air to work with than last year's screw over events 18z GFS has me below zero on Black Friday. Don’t think it will be that cold, but nonetheless great to see NW flow showing up instead of relentless pacific air masses. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted Wednesday at 07:06 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 07:06 PM euro with a tday major for many 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted Wednesday at 07:33 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 07:33 PM On 11/18/2024 at 8:15 PM, OHweather said: About an hour and 15 mins lol. The crazy solutions have backed off, but it's looking like there should be snow flying Thursday into Thursday night as moisture wraps back in from the north/northwest. Maybe parts of Ohio can see a light accumulation. It's nice to have a little bit of snow to look at, even if there's still nothing extremely exciting on the horizon. And are we shocked? November is rarely ever cash in time for this part of the country. I will say it's good to see this pattern putting snow cover down across WCAN, Montana & the Dakotas. I'd be pretty excited if I were in IL/WI/IA based on what the models are showing for Thanksgiving, that is one solid storm for this region. Sure the current solutions show a solid strike for this area but how often does a Panhandle Hook actually roll through Northern Ohio? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted Wednesday at 07:50 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 07:50 PM 43 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: euro with a tday major for many We're dreamin' of a White Thanksgiving..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted Wednesday at 08:10 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 08:10 PM 1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said: euro with a tday major for many I-80/90 and would be a total disaster if that happens. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted Wednesday at 08:40 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 08:40 PM 29 minutes ago, WestMichigan said: I-80/90 and would be a total disaster if that happens. I80/90 in Chicago area would be a total disaster even if it doesn't happen 3 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted Wednesday at 08:58 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 08:58 PM Between the Euro updates, the new gif reactions, and actually having shit to watch before mid January this winter is already off to a good start in the gradebooks 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted Wednesday at 09:12 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 09:12 PM Also hoping this first event is setting a trend and not just burning through our luck here in chi-land Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted Wednesday at 09:27 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 09:27 PM 15 minutes ago, Malacka11 said: Also hoping this first event is setting a trend and not just burning through our luck here in chi-land Just curious, what trend are you alluding to? That the models dont lose a system? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted Wednesday at 09:48 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 09:48 PM 20 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: Just curious, what trend are you alluding to? That the models dont lose a system? That, as well as it trending very well for mby and the ceiling slightly creeping up too, at least locally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted Wednesday at 10:35 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:35 PM 46 minutes ago, Malacka11 said: That, as well as it trending very well for mby and the ceiling slightly creeping up too, at least locally. Ah ok. Trended away from here lol. But it is nice to see RELATIVE consistency with the models days out. Hopefully a sign! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted Wednesday at 11:06 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:06 PM 29 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: Ah ok. Trended away from here lol. But it is nice to see RELATIVE consistency with the models days out. Hopefully a sign! Yeah, it'll be fun to see how things hold together for what hopefully stays a legit chance around Thanksgiving 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted Wednesday at 11:19 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:19 PM Pattern looks pretty sweet for the OV late next week. Always worry about too much suppression in these set ups, but not sure about the SE Ridge flexing in these set ups. Would love to see a spread the wealth system but it's a weird time of year to get something like that.. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted Thursday at 05:30 AM Share Posted Thursday at 05:30 AM 6 hours ago, Frog Town said: Pattern looks pretty sweet for the OV late next week. Always worry about too much suppression in these set ups, but not sure about the SE Ridge flexing in these set ups. Would love to see a spread the wealth system but it's a weird time of year to get something like that.. Obviously still a ways to go but it's definitely rare to see suppression this early. Usually for the Great Lakes region we have to let a few wrapped up storms travel through the Upper Midwest before we gotta worry about misses south. My guess is the nao is tanking during this timeframe. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted Thursday at 11:34 AM Share Posted Thursday at 11:34 AM 5 hours ago, Stevo6899 said: Obviously still a ways to go but it's definitely rare to see suppression this early. Usually for the Great Lakes region we have to let a few wrapped up storms travel through the Upper Midwest before we gotta worry about misses south. My guess is the nao is tanking during this timeframe. Yeah I have noticed NAO in Nov/Dec does not fully act like the NAO of Feb/March with the suppression. It is pretty darn negative right now. If it was March this current storm would have likely been down in Cincinnati area southward!! On the other hand if I recall correctly several of our better storms, in the lower lakes, the NAO tends to be around 0 to -1 (Dec-March); this is something I discussed with Harry several years ago. The NAO average forecast is looking pretty good going into next week. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted Thursday at 02:12 PM Share Posted Thursday at 02:12 PM hope we can pop one while we have the cold around 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now