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E PA/NJ/DE Fall 2024 Obs/Discussion


Rtd208
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Some rainfall amounts over the last 24 hours Atglen 0.21" / East Nantmeal 0.29" / Chester Springs 0.17"/ Glenmoore 0.24" / Warwick 0.28" / Devault 0.20" / Kennett Square 0.15" / West Chester 0.26". Some additional steadier and briefly heavier rain should move through over the next couple hours especially NW parts of the county. Shower chances continue through Saturday AM before we dry out and cool down to start October.

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Picked up my happy pills last night.  Seems I will need them being stuck in these clouds with showers for days and days.

Helene looking like a very impactful storm for many.

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As is the case with upper level lows, the forecast for the extended
is a bit tricky. The upper level low that will eventually absorb
Hurricane Helene will be positioned somewhere over the Ohio River or
Tennessee River Valley on Sunday with the region positioned on the
northeast quadrant of the closed low. This looks to bring some
unsettled weather, but no day will be a washout. We look to be in
for more days of clouds with periods of on and off showers until the
upper level low moves offshore or transitions to more of an open
wave. This looks to occur sometime Monday or Tuesday, though we will
not kick the clouds/showers until midweek, with guidance hinting at
a cold front coming through and a pattern change (finally).
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Our gloomy weather continues another 0.09" fell here in East Nantmeal since midnight. We have picked up 1.45" of rain so far this week. Rain chances continue though no wash out days through Tuesday. Today will be the relative warmest day of the week with temps reaching the low 70's. We fall back into the 60's for highs for most of the upcoming week.image.png.098245efab68bef49946e9ce4122671b.pngimage.png.44eb0966dc4c22be4eaf0faad4581965.png

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27 minutes ago, LVblizzard said:

Well, we all complained about how dry it was just a week ago. We just didn’t think the streak would break by not being able to see the sun for an entire week.

Closing in on 72hrs of drizzle

Give me death valley dry again.

 

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one inch of rain while good for the grass and stop the browning process, is not recharging the ground water tables or stream flows. They continue to drop and rapidly. How do I know this for a fact?  Another serious sinkhole opened up last night in Catasaqua just like I called over three weeks ago.  The sinkhole formation will get much worse over the course of the next several months as the groundwater tables fall. Watch what happens if get 5 inches of rain, then they will open up even more as the sinkhole cavities erode quickly from closed depressions and voids filling up with water again. 

 

https://www.wfmz.com/news/area/lehighvalley/lehigh-county/northern-lehigh-county/large-sinkhole-in-catasauqua-nearly-swallows-van/article_7654eda4-7da2-11ef-957b-7b91b426a602.html#tncms-source=More-from-newsroom-(right-column)

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Today is our 5th straight day with measurable rain with .03" since midnight. Some additional shower chances this morning but mainly a cloudy damp and cool few more days ahead before we dry out by Wednesday. Of note we will finish September with our 2nd straight below average temperature month. This is our first back to back below average months since May and June in 2023.

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Got a fair amount of sun here after 2 pm. Unusual!

Was finally about dry enough to mow - didn't finish, grass is tall and thick! Damp in spots too. When I finished just now I felt a drop of something hit my head, thought it might be bird poop. But it was a large rain drop! Got about 20 more drops after that. It's headed north too, so heads up! Probably about 10 times the diameter of all those light rain and drizzle drops we've been getting for the last week or month, lol.

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Below are the all-time October Monthly records for Chester County. The Phoenixville 2007 temp looks about 3 degrees higher than all other stations....will look into that. So who remembers our Record October Snowstorm back in 2011? With 4" to 9" of snow across the County...with the most falling in the higher elevations?

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