Birds~69 Posted November 14 Share Posted November 14 Some light stuff to the W...probably dry up. Lebanon reporting light rain... 44F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted November 15 Share Posted November 15 Getting some very light rain here, 47°. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted November 15 Share Posted November 15 Very light rain here trace so there is that future for rain and snow looks great! This pattern is horrific! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted November 15 Share Posted November 15 It’s raining in Allentown! Looks like it’ll be slightly more than a trace too. We’ll take what we can get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted November 15 Share Posted November 15 Bring on the flakes for Black friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted November 15 Share Posted November 15 In addition to most of Chester County getting some light rain last night and into this AM - there was also some snow mixed in for a time. Here in East Nantmeal we received 0.04" of rain with the most I could find being the 0.11" up at Warwick Park. We start a slow moderating trend that will last through midweek next week before we turn much chillier by late week. Our next chance of rain and maybe even some wet snow will be Wednesday night into Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted November 15 Share Posted November 15 Weekend looks to be 60-63F and it appears no "real" rain event through the end of the month. Ironically and sad to say we may be happy with 33F/and substantial rain as we head into winter due to the drought even though we are getting shafted out of snow... 53F/DP 38F/Super sunny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 15 Share Posted November 15 East coast bomb cyclone with 3" rain on the CMC next week GFS is mehhhh .25" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted November 15 Share Posted November 15 from the drought guy. This a first for me guys please foward this to MT Holly. How dry is it? Enough low humidity to intiate spontaneous combustion. Red flag warnings really should be issued again MT Holly. This came as an alert to me a few minutes ago. Hello Lower Macungie Township Residents, The yard waste recycling center located at 5536 Indian Creek Road will be closed today, Friday November 15th. The mulch pile is currently emitting spontaneous flames and in order to maintain public safety, the site will be closed for the day. We sincerely apologize for the inconvenience. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted November 15 Share Posted November 15 53 minutes ago, Albedoman said: from the drought guy. This a first for me guys please foward this to MT Holly. How dry is it? Enough low humidity to intiate spontaneous combustion. Red flag warnings really should be issued again MT Holly. This came as an alert to me a few minutes ago. Hello Lower Macungie Township Residents, The yard waste recycling center located at 5536 Indian Creek Road will be closed today, Friday November 15th. The mulch pile is currently emitting spontaneous flames and in order to maintain public safety, the site will be closed for the day. We sincerely apologize for the inconvenience. NWS Mount Holly knows how dry it is, and the Fire Weather Watch has been upgraded to a Red Flag Warning for Saturday. As a reminder/FYI, the NWS fire weather products are for rapid fire spread and not for fires starting. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted November 15 Share Posted November 15 At Stoney Creek Park in Lansdale. First picture is a stock google photo. Second is today while visiting. Been there many times, lowest I've ever seen it.... 54F/Sunny 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted November 15 Share Posted November 15 27 minutes ago, MGorse said: NWS Mount Holly knows how dry it is, and the Fire Weather Watch has been upgraded to a Red Flag Warning for Saturday. As a reminder/FYI, the NWS fire weather products are for rapid fire spread and not for fires starting. Thaks Mike but a case in point? what if numerous lighting strikes were around? Would that enhance the probability of rapid fire spread as well? I know red flag warnings are for high wind but what about other natural weather features like lighting have any effect on issuing a red flag warning. It almost seems that the ignition sources and their amounts must have a play in this somewhere for issuing red flag warnings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 15 Share Posted November 15 ECM has 1" rain with next weeks storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted November 15 Share Posted November 15 7 minutes ago, RedSky said: ECM has 1" rain with next weeks storm This is the juicy run, overnight run will slice it to .25 or less... 51F/sunset 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted November 15 Share Posted November 15 1 minute ago, Birds~69 said: This is the juicy run, overnight run will slice it to .25 or less... 51F/sunset Birds winning/1st place is the only thing keeping me somewhat sane during this nightmare weather stretch... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted November 15 Share Posted November 15 Awesome moonrise this evening. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted November 15 Share Posted November 15 33 minutes ago, JTA66 said: Awesome moonrise this evening. Indeed! Was just raking some leaves by moonlight, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted November 15 Share Posted November 15 Just now,Adam Joseph is discussing the size and brightness of the Moon. Strap up and get your mind out of the gutter but it's called the "Beaver" Moon.... 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted November 15 Share Posted November 15 6 hours ago, Birds~69 said: Weekend looks to be 60-63F and it appears no "real" rain event through the end of the month. Ironically and sad to say we may be happy with 33F/and substantial rain as we head into winter due to the drought even though we are getting shafted out of snow... 53F/DP 38F/Super sunny Umm I have hope for November 21st at this point something is brewing with a NAO at -2 or so rising towards neutral I will take the chance! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted November 15 Share Posted November 15 6 hours ago, RedSky said: East coast bomb cyclone with 3" rain on the CMC next week GFS is mehhhh .25" The only thing I take from this is a storm is on every model for November 21st with a -2 NAO I am interested models are clearly in flux and Chaos over this bring it on!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted November 16 Share Posted November 16 3 hours ago, Albedoman said: Thaks Mike but a case in point? what if numerous lighting strikes were around? Would that enhance the probability of rapid fire spread as well? I know red flag warnings are for high wind but what about other natural weather features like lighting have any effect on issuing a red flag warning. It almost seems that the ignition sources and their amounts must have a play in this somewhere for issuing red flag warnings. Lightning, at least in our area, does not really start most wildfires especially since we typically don’t deal with dry lightning. The majority of fires around here are caused by humans. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted November 16 Share Posted November 16 Winds starting to kick... 47° 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted November 16 Share Posted November 16 Dry and windy today with temps well into the 50's to near 60 degrees. A Red Flag Warning is in effect through today so outdoor burning is not recommended. We stay mild through Wednesday and then chill to below normal levels and see shower chances increase Wednesday night through the end of the work week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted November 16 Share Posted November 16 Happy about the wind today, gives me an excuse to not bother with the leaves. 56F/DP 43F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 17 Share Posted November 17 0z guidance juiced up next weeks storm except the GFS which is playing Dr No 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted November 17 Share Posted November 17 4 hours ago, RedSky said: 0z guidance juiced up next weeks storm except the GFS which is playing Dr No Yea Euro and Canadian were hopeful looks like they were both picking up the blocking and holding the storm closer to the coast, further southwest, and also holding the storm closer to our area for longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted November 17 Share Posted November 17 We should continue to see temperatures well above normal in the upper 50's to low 60's through midweek before a change to below normal temps to finish out the work week. We have a good chance of some rain from Wednesday night into Thursday...all fingers and toes crossed! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 18 Share Posted November 18 ECM with 5" of H20 through day 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted November 18 Share Posted November 18 Today will be our warmest day of the week with temperatures in the mid 60's for highs. We will turn slightly cooler tomorrow before a sharper change to colder by Wednesday night through the rest of the week. Our best chance of significant rain looks to arrive Wednesday night with as much as an inch in some lucky spots! Shower chances will continue through the end of the week, and we may even see some snow mixing in across some spots on Friday. Temperatures on Friday may not escape the 30's in higher locations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhiEaglesfan712 Posted November 18 Share Posted November 18 6 hours ago, RedSky said: ECM with 5" of H20 through day 15 I've hinted on this for a while, but the pattern turns colder starting 12/1, and there's potential for a snow event here on 12/4 or 12/5. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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