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E PA/NJ/DE Fall 2024 Obs/Discussion


Rtd208
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Fairly large wildfire is currently burning in northern Lehigh County. Some homes near the mountain are in danger, I don’t think any have been directly affected yet though. A little bit of rain would be helpful but it looks like we have another week before our next chance.

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4 hours ago, JTA66 said:

Hail in AZ for the Cardinals/Bears game? I think the weather is broken.

I got one better, snow has fallen in northern Saudi Arabia for the first time in history

Plus record rain in Israel and hurricane winds in Finland

 

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22 hours ago, LVblizzard said:

Fairly large wildfire is currently burning in northern Lehigh County. Some homes near the mountain are in danger, I don’t think any have been directly affected yet though. A little bit of rain would be helpful but it looks like we have another week before our next chance.

Drove through it on my way home from upstate yesterday. Could see the smoke from Wilkes Barre.  It laid down in the valley on the other side of the tunnel which made it look like a foggy day.  Saw the smoke as far south as Quakertown exit. 

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Many lower spots had yet another freezing low this morning. For example, Warwick Park recorded their 13th such low this autumn season while ridge locations like East Nantmeal have yet to record even one such day. Looking at the forecast going forward some of the higher spots have a good shot at setting new records for the latest in the season to record a first freezing temperature. As has been the case since September....not much to talk about weather wise with continued dry weather for the entire week with our next chance of any showers waiting till Sunday. Warming temperatures through mid-week and then we cool back to closer to normal by the end of the week into next weekend.

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1 hour ago, RedSky said:

GFS has a wet pattern starting in just six days, believe it or not..

 

 

Right on time, as predicted in my forecast last month.  I said the 15th  a little early. I am still going with my original thoughts, moderate rains after mid Novmeber, a 1-3 inch snow event around Thanksgiving and then the arctic air invades after Dec 7 

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1 hour ago, Albedoman said:

Right on time, as predicted in my forecast last month.  I said the 15th  a little early. I am still going with my original thoughts, moderate rains after mid Novmeber, a 1-3 inch snow event around Thanksgiving and then the arctic air invades after Dec 7 

FTFY. The pattern we are in isn't going to give us much rain, much less a snowstorm, in November. We're staying torch and mostly dry for the rest of the month. I do agree on a pattern in change in early December. I think the snow event happens around December 4-5, and arctic air invades after that.

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Happy Election Day! No weather excuses for not getting out there and voting today across the area! Yet another beautiful day in our new California-like climate!! We warm to the low 70's today and the upper 70's tomorrow. We then start a cooling trend that will last through the weekend. We also look to have our best chances at rain in over a month by later in the weekend...if we do get the rain on Sunday we will see temperatures struggling to escape the 50's for high temperatures.

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want to know how bad this drought is?  For Mike Gortz this township alert notice should be incoporated into the MT Holly discusssions on how dry it really is:

 

The township will no longer pickup leaves? Why, the chance of dust fires with the equipment. Folks, it is bad and I was not kidding about why I have been harping about a pretty serious drought the last six months for our area. I saw in the LR weather patterns back in the early 70's  when I was kid being taught by my retired uncle who was the Regional  western meteorologist director for NOAA   in Boise Idaho as he explained these typical weather pattern setups for the eastern US. He allowed me to see the computer runs from Maryland back then of the AVN and MRF. Yes, I have been around. I also used the AVN  and or MRF while I was an air traffic controller in the Navy all the time. Back then, they were used as guidance with observed data not as religiously as they are now for forecasting  as they are today with the EURO and GFS. 

From Lower Macungie Township 

Alert Sent On: 11/05/2024 11:12:47 AM EST
 
Due to the extreme dry conditions, leaf collection is severely impacted this year in regards to the level of timely service we are able to provide and the dust it is creating.  We continue to collect our normal routes, however major delays (2-3 weeks in some cases) are being experienced. Dust levels generated by vacuum collections are extreme and beyond our control.  The dust is also impacting our equipment and is generating down time.
We understand the inconvenience this may cause and unfortunately, we remain unable to inform you of when we will be able to reach your roadway.
Please continue to place your leaves at the curb and we ensure you that they will be collected; however, until we get rain, there may be several weeks between collection times. We appreciate your patience during this very unusual time.
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Yet another beautiful day on the way! We could see near record warmth across some areas today. We turn a bit cooler but still a little above normal as we move toward the weekend. We also should see our best chance of widespread showers in a long time come later in the weekend. Fingers and toes crossed!

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We should be at least 6 degrees cooler than yesterday and will see the cooling trend last through the weekend. We could see some frost again by Sunday morning. Seasonably cool temperatures in the 50's by Saturday. We also have our best chance of rain since late September by Sunday afternoon into the night. A brief warm up to above normal temperatures to start next week before we trend back to cooler by mid next week.

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We cool down over the weekend to near to below normal temperatures. A freeze is possible by Sunday AM. Some higher spots who have yet to see a freeze have a slight chance at that time. Showers look to arrive by Sunday evening with a general 0.50" of much needed rain possible. A slight warm up Monday before we cool down to close to normal for temperatures for much of next week.

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