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E PA/NJ/DE Fall 2024 Obs/Discussion


Rtd208
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Here in the Philly burbs of Chester County PA November 2024 ended with an overall average temperature across the County of 47.7 - this was the 19th warmest November since 1893 (see top 20 below). The coolest station was Warwick Park and the warmest was The Brandywine Regional Airport (KOQN) in West Chester.

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12 hours ago, RedSky said:

Enjoy, that's your big predicted snow for December

C'mon man give me  abreak now - plz let me enjoy my 1-2 inches of snow this week LMAO while we are still under a burn ban and drought.  Until the 4 corners LP's start forming we are not going to get moisture laden storms around here  but just  constant clipper snows. Yes, my predicted cold air has come to fruition but the moisture still is lagging for good snow production storm events. I am really hoping for a Christmas week block buster snow event. The chances appear to be real good.  The Great Lakes snow machine is  also helping to keep the temps down for our area as the air coming over the lakes is not being modified like last year with unfrozen Great lakes

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C'mon man give me  abreak now - plz let me enjoy my 1-2 inches of snow this week LMAO while we are still under a burn ban and drought.  Until the 4 corners LP's start forming we are not going to get moisture laden storms around here  but just  constant clipper snows. Yes, my predicted cold air has come to fruition but the moisture still is lagging for good snow production storm events. I am really hoping for a Christmas week block buster snow event. The chances appear to be real good.  The Great Lakes snow machine is  also helping to keep the temps down for our area as the air coming over the lakes is not being modified like last year with unfrozen Great lakes

What burn bans?


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Most of the region is in a drought (the worst since 2001-02).
But no, there isn't going to be a snowstorm anywhere near Christmas. Models are showing a warm-up during the 2nd half of December.

Right, drought yes but no burn bans that I am aware of


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We remain below normal through Saturday before a nice warmup gets underway on Sunday. Some snow flurries could develop later this evening. A strong cold front will sweep from west to east sometime just before rush hour tomorrow morning. Some spots could see a briefly heavy snow squall. Any squall could leave a quick coating to 1/2 inch of snow. Tomorrow will be very windy with temperatures falling from an early morning high just above freezing. Most spots will struggle to get above the freezing mark on Friday. Warmer with rain chances by next Monday morning's rush hour.

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7 hours ago, RedSky said:

Found a few dendrites on the car and trash can from earlier. Long range after a snow shower chance Thursday is shut the blinds. Honeybees will be back out next week on the bird feeder.

 

 

Very narrow snow swath from the snow squall yesterday evening.  Most of the Lehigh Valley just got flurries except for my area with 0.5”

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Low last night here 21f looking forward to the 45 mph winds tomorrow and rain shower turning to snow squall.

 

No Snow in sight after that more of the same from past winters temps heading to 60 next week then back to near normal and then probably going back up to that afterwards.

 

Total Snowfall for Media Delaware County this year trace and counting.

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1 hour ago, Kevin Reilly said:

Low last night here 21f looking forward to the 45 mph winds tomorrow and rain shower turning to snow squall.

 

No Snow in sight after that more of the same from past winters temps heading to 60 next week then back to near normal and then probably going back up to that afterwards.

 

Total Snowfall for Media Delaware County this year trace and counting.

Yes, we're getting our 10 allotted days of winter early this year. Then we torch until late March/April when below normal temp return with a  vengeance (but just mild enough for cold rain).

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30 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Are you saying we have a chance!!!  Now to some degree the 12z GFS did get a little closer on December 12th as it shifted the storm east and stronger so maybe the models are beginning to pick up on the progressiveness of the evolving pattern.  Time will tell. I mean the NAO is negative moving towards positive on December 12th, so I am still interested in the 10th to 14th timeframe.

 

Thank you for keeping hope alive!

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It looks and feels like a storm is coming.  Alas, it's currently 37F with a wind advisory posted for tomorrow and maybe, just maybe I will see a flake blowing around down here in the morning. I think any squall warnings with be localized more north and west of me.  So strange as I was just getting used to the warm/dry late fall. I never thought I'd say that. LOL  

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I give up. The models are so wishy washy because  of the evolving new LP pattern trying to setup after the 10th.  I just hope that this new pattern opens the door for some GOM /Atantic Ocean moisture to get embedded into these progressive flow LP's and be able to spin up some noreasters our way.  At this point, I will be happy to settle for some rain  just to get the ground wet before it really freezes.  This drought will not relinquesh its ugly head. The dusting of snow only hinders wildfire production as the creek levels are really dropping now in my area. Back into the 50's and 60's next week will not help either. People will be washing their cars big time with the ton of salt being dumped on the road tomorrow for the 1-2" snow squalls. Snow squall warnings will likely be issued tomorrow and your cell phones will be banging out the audible alerts

Just hoping for a new wet pattern setup after the 20th and  loaded to bear with continual snow events. A nice Christmas gift after this shitty summer and fall right Red Sky?

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55 minutes ago, Albedoman said:

I give up. The models are so wishy washy because  of the evolving new LP pattern trying to setup after the 10th.  I just hope that this new pattern opens the door for some GOM /Atantic Ocean moisture to get embedded into these progressive flow LP's and be able to spin up some noreasters our way.  At this point, I will be happy to settle for some rain  just to get the ground wet before it really freezes.  This drought will not relinquesh its ugly head. The dusting of snow only hinders wildfire production as the creek levels are really dropping now in my area. Back into the 50's and 60's next week will not help either. People will be washing their cars big time with the ton of salt being dumped on the road tomorrow for the 1-2" snow squalls. Snow squall warnings will likely be issued tomorrow and your cell phones will be banging out the audible alerts

Just hoping for a new wet pattern setup after the 20th and  loaded to bear with continual snow events. A nice Christmas gift after this shitty summer and fall right Red Sky?

Don't forget the shitty winter and the shitty lack of thunderstorms in the spring with that one impending severe storm that had me worked up and turned into a shitty dud

Space Weather rocked like 1996 so go figure

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