E PA/NJ/DE Fall 2024 Obs/Discussion

[RedSky]

Hard enough now it's trying to whiten the grass

 

[Hurricane Agnes]

Still getting all light rain and have an additional 0.08" in the bucket for 0.11" for the day (so far), which his 1.50" 3-day total, and probably should add the 0.04" from the 19th, for a 1.54" 4-day total.

The temps continue to ease down and I'm currently at 36 with dp 35 with light rain.

[RedSky]

A white trace has been achieved

 

 

[RedSky]

Brandon Copic in the Pocono's

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0aeozCVyjSw

[Birds~69]

May

1 hour ago, Birds~69 said:

Grrrr...

6ABC 2024 Winter Outlook:

Just like last year, we expect no real lengthy periods of cold, just a few brief shots. So overall, temperatures look to be on the mild side, with more in the way of rain or mixed precipitation events rather than those classic snowstorms. This will give us another winter with below-average snowfall.

Snow predictions

Lehigh Valley: about 22 to 28 inches
Philadelphia: around 14 to 20 inches
Jersey Shore along the coast: 9 to 15 inches

With video:  https://6abc.com/post/how-much-snow-2024-winter-forecast-philadelphia-pennsylvania-new-jersey-delaware/15571389/#:~:text=Just like last year%2C we,winter with below-average snowfall.

 

Maybe I'm missing something but the call of 9-15" "NJ along the coast" seems way high and much above average. Atlantic City average snowfall is 5.9". 

[RedSky]

11 minutes ago, Birds~69 said:

May

Maybe I'm missing something but the call of 9-15" "NJ along the coast" seems way high and much above average. Atlantic City average snowfall is 5.9". 

Legend map says 15-18" far south Jersey to Barnegat 

[Birds~69]

13 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Legend map says 15-18" far south Jersey to Barnegat 

I guess, just seems high...

36F/light rain

[BBasile]

This weather sucks.  Cold and windy, but with rain...booo.  

[JTA66]

Some of the heaviest rate of the day right now (which isn't saying much). Looks like the car top wants to cave.

34F/DP33F

[RedSky]

Snowing all day here

Sounds impressive anyway

34F

 

 

 

[The Iceman]

Flakes occasionally mixing in at Trenton but mostly rain. At least I saw snow lol

[Mikeymac5306]

White rain all day here in Exton. Temps have dropped a bit to 35 degrees. 

[ChescoWx]

Steady snow continues here in East Nantmeal temp down to 32.6 and snow beginning to accumulate on all non-paved surfaces

[Birds~69]

Some slop starting to accumulate on car tops...

34°, snow

[Kevin Reilly]

Two periods of snow in Media today once this morning 7:00 am to 12:00 pm then rain and now a light rain, sleet, and snow mixed.  35f dewpoint 32f. 

 

Total Rainfall from this storm Wednesday Night until Friday 5:30pm= 1.40"

Snowfall Accumulation= 0" (Call it the first flakes so trace)

 

 

 

[PhiEaglesfan712]

6 hours ago, RedSky said:

Weather World's winter outlook was like turn the lights off and see you in the spring. But some cold in early December so hey..

 

The first half of December looks cold. The second half of December and most of January is going to be warm. I still think there's a chance that it turns back to a colder than average pattern in late January or early February. I think it's going to be a 2020-21 like season, but with the temperature departures amplified.

[ChescoWx]

Some of the higher spots in Chester County saw their first measurable snow of the young fall/winter season. Some of the trained spotter reported amounts (see map below) to the National Weather Service included 1.3" at West Caln Township / 0.6" at Honey Brook Township / 0.3" at East Nantmeal Township / 0.2" at Fricks and 0.1" at Paoli.

Of note the 0.3" recorded at East Nantmeal Township marks the 2nd consecutive year with measurable November snow in the Township. This follows 4 years without measurable November snow dating back to one of the largest November storms in county history that occurred November 15th through 16th of 2018 when 7.3" of snow was recorded at East Nantmeal Township.

[KamuSnow]

Lots of flakes in the air today here, off and on. Never close to anything showing accumulation wise, but nice to see! Pretty happy about the rain too, 1.40" here.

[Albedoman]

MY next big prediction  LMAO  -----Dec 6-7  first 6+ in snow for many   in this region in two years . Always a Pearl harbor day snow storm event. Enjoy the sunny and 50 degree weather in the next three days- it will be short lived

 

 

 

[RedSky]

^24" ehh 

1.80" event total 

Still light rain falling

 

[PhiEaglesfan712]

2 hours ago, Albedoman said:

MY next big prediction  LMAO  -----Dec 6-7  first 6+ in snow for many   in this region in two years . Always a Pearl harbor day snow storm event. Enjoy the sunny and 50 degree weather in the next three days- it will be short lived

 

 

 

December 4 or 5 seems to be the sweet spot, especially in the 2000s (see 2002, 2003, 2005, and 2007).

2013 was December 8 and 2017 was December 9.

I have been hinting at colder than average temperatures and a major snowstorm during the first week of December.

[Ralph Wiggum]

4 hours ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

The first half of December looks cold. The second half of December and most of January is going to be warm. I still think there's a chance that it turns back to a colder than average pattern in late January or early February. I think it's going to be a 2020-21 like season, but with the temperature departures amplified.

 Banking on a Nina analog? 

[KamuSnow]

Cool sky here at the moment:

[RedSky]

Pottsville and Jim Thorpe had a trace. The snow hole predictions were right lol