LVblizzard Posted Monday at 05:06 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:06 PM 12z GFS/CMC both have measurable snow down to the Lehigh Valley on Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted Monday at 05:25 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:25 PM 3 hours ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said: I've hinted on this for a while, but the pattern turns colder starting 12/1, and there's potential for a snow event here on 12/4 or 12/5. Just a thought...."Greater Philadelphia Area (here)" isn't really a location. It would be best to be more exact in your profile so others would have a idea what area you are speaking about... 62F/Sunny 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted Monday at 06:12 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:12 PM 1 hour ago, LVblizzard said: 12z GFS/CMC both have measurable snow down to the Lehigh Valley on Friday. Euro joins the party. Almost gets snow to Philly too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhiEaglesfan712 Posted Monday at 06:28 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:28 PM lol, it's not going to snow on Friday. The odds of that happening are about the same as Patriots winning the Super Bowl this year or the PDO flipping to positive this winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted Monday at 08:42 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:42 PM 2 hours ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said: lol, it's not going to snow on Friday. The odds of that happening are about the same as Patriots winning the Super Bowl this year or the PDO flipping to positive this winter. In Philly? Yeah it’s not happening. But I do think the Lehigh Valley sees flakes and the Poconos get some accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted Monday at 09:11 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:11 PM 28 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: In Philly? Yeah it’s not happening. But I do think the Lehigh Valley sees flakes and the Poconos get some accumulation. Right on time, as predicted in my forecast last month. I said the 15th a little early. I am still going with my original thoughts, moderate rains after mid Novmeber, a 1-3 inch snow event around Thanksgiving and then the arctic air invades after Dec 7 November 4 664 replies tropics heavy rainfall (and 5 more) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted Monday at 09:18 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:18 PM Topped out at 65F today. Another November day in shorts and a t-shirt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted Monday at 10:01 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:01 PM 39 minutes ago, JTA66 said: Topped out at 65F today. Another November day in shorts and a t-shirt. Yep, 65F. Drops like a rock though once sunset arrives.. 58F/Sunset, dark/5pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted Monday at 10:35 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:35 PM On 11/14/2024 at 10:59 AM, The Iceman said: The real concern I have about this winter is that we haven't seen @Ralph Wiggumyet. He usually posts his thoughts by now. Maybe he thinks it's an 01-02, 11-12 redux lol I dunno. Seems last 10 years have been a total crapshoot. Seasonal analogs haven't been very useful tbh. If I were to guess, we get chances early but deal with the usual when Atlantic Ocean is roasting...weak waves sliding South = cold enough but dryish, anything even slightly amped torches BL type stuff. I want to say we're due but the WDI is pretty irrelevant. Peak solar activity and Nina would traditionally spell a trainwreck but like I said, past analogs haven't been very helpful. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Monday at 10:54 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:54 PM 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted Tuesday at 08:29 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:29 AM My 4.5" snow starts in only 72hrs on the euro. What the hell did they do to Dr No? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted Tuesday at 12:15 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 12:15 PM Welcome back snow birds! Happy snow hunting this year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted Tuesday at 12:41 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 12:41 PM Today will be our last sunny day of the work week. We stay mild with highs well into the 50's both today and tomorrow before a shift to chillier air, much needed significant rain and even some snow depending on elevation across the County by Friday. Rainfall amounts could reach near 1 inch across the area - which would be our wettest stretch since the event since the 1.48" of rain that fell between September 25th thru 28th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted Tuesday at 12:46 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 12:46 PM Always good to see the German with a snowy solution....boundary layer will of course be a wee bit of a problem - but as always a little elevation may allow some on here to see their first measurable of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted Tuesday at 12:47 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 12:47 PM The 6z Euro for your AM viewing pleasure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhiEaglesfan712 Posted Tuesday at 01:28 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 01:28 PM 19 hours ago, Birds~69 said: Just a thought...."Greater Philadelphia Area (here)" isn't really a location. It would be best to be more exact in your profile so others would have a idea what area you are speaking about... 62F/Sunny I don't want to put my exact location. What I can tell you is that it's still too early to pinpoint exactly where the snow will be. My gut says the mid-Atlantic. However, I can tell you that the first ten or so days of December is going to be below average for most of the Eastern US. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted Tuesday at 02:00 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:00 PM 1 hour ago, ChescoWx said: The 6z Euro for your AM viewing pleasure Hot damn, my 40 day forecast is coming to fruition. Moderate rains then a light snow event for Thanksgiving time frame. Whats wrong guys, have heard you naysayers lately saying how my forecast form October was a bunch of sh*t. I just hope we get the rain. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted Tuesday at 02:14 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:14 PM 38 minutes ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said: I don't want to put my exact location. What I can tell you is that it's still too early to pinpoint exactly where the snow will be. My gut says the mid-Atlantic. However, I can tell you that the first ten or so days of December is going to be below average for most of the Eastern US. Okay, kind of paranoid IMO. No one is going to know where you live by giving out a township, borough etc. Greater Philadelphia Area is kind of useless... 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted Tuesday at 03:30 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:30 PM I'd be stoked just to track a cloud. Sunny, 53F. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted Tuesday at 03:45 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:45 PM 17 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: I dunno. Seems last 10 years have been a total crapshoot. Seasonal analogs haven't been very useful tbh. If I were to guess, we get chances early but deal with the usual when Atlantic Ocean is roasting...weak waves sliding South = cold enough but dryish, anything even slightly amped torches BL type stuff. I want to say we're due but the WDI is pretty irrelevant. Peak solar activity and Nina would traditionally spell a trainwreck but like I said, past analogs haven't been very helpful. Yep I agree, seasonal forecasting is a crapshoot more now than ever. Encouraging though that it's looking like we should start with a good pattern towards the end of the month/beginning of december. The pieces are there to get on the board early. Good to see you back buddy, your annual return is one of the signs I look for that winter is coming 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted Tuesday at 03:49 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:49 PM 1 hour ago, Birds~69 said: Okay, kind of paranoid IMO. No one is going to know where you live by giving out a township, borough etc. Greater Philadelphia Area is kind of useless... I don't know, I've been worried that Greenskeeper is going to show up in Levittown with the hot dog gun that the Phanatic carries to hunt me down. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted Tuesday at 04:28 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:28 PM 59 minutes ago, JTA66 said: I'd be stoked just to track a cloud. Sunny, 53F. I'm not a big "sunny all the time" kinda guy. Squint too much and driving can be a PITA when you make a turn and get drilled in the eyes. Like some clouds drifting by time to time or my favorite, overcast with pending precip... Sunny/54F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted Tuesday at 04:43 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:43 PM 50 minutes ago, The Iceman said: I don't know, I've been worried that Greenskeeper is going to show up in Levittown with the hot dog gun that the Phanatic carries to hunt me down. He either croaked or realized posting weenies all day wasn't a productive way of life...profile appears he closed shop. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted Tuesday at 05:48 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:48 PM Euro just went full weenie for NE PA! Gets the Lehigh Valley in on the fun too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted Tuesday at 06:15 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 06:15 PM 1 hour ago, Birds~69 said: I'm not a big "sunny all the time" kinda guy. Squint too much and driving can be a PITA when you make a turn and get drilled in the eyes. Like some clouds drifting by time to time or my favorite, overcast with pending precip... Sunny/54F When I was working in Horsham, I'd drive straight down Rt63. As I'm sure you're aware, it's aligned perfectly with sunrise in the fall and spring. (Must have been built by the Aztecs.) If I end up with cataracts one day, I'll know why. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted Tuesday at 06:15 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 06:15 PM Deep cold in the long range to open December. All a perfect harbinger for a doomed winter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted Tuesday at 06:27 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 06:27 PM Euro comes in with up to a few inches of model snow that we will never shovel as far south as NW Chester County- Quite the model event for the Poconos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted Tuesday at 06:27 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 06:27 PM 2 minutes ago, JTA66 said: When I was working in Horsham, I'd drive straight down Rt63. As I'm sure you're aware, it's aligned perfectly with sunrise in the fall and spring. (Must have been built by the Aztecs.) If I end up with cataracts one day, I'll know why. Know it well. Happened as well when I lived in Limerick/Royersford area and heading to work on Rt422E at sunrise doing 70mph then right over a hill...BAM, blinded. Many of the backups on that road in the morning were because of the sun. Then to make matters worse, accidents would happen. I would easily take a cloudy day/snow covered road then that sun crap... 58F/Sunny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted Tuesday at 06:45 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 06:45 PM 29 minutes ago, RedSky said: Deep cold in the long range to open December. All a perfect harbinger for a doomed winter. 1989-90 redux 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted Tuesday at 06:49 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 06:49 PM The 12z ensemble run....which I put more faith in is not too shabby if you are from the LHV on Northeast bound. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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