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4 minutes ago, the_other_guy said:

guys, let’s calm down here, please.

 

Really. And thanks. Your endless summer bullshit has been BN for the last few weeks

your last below normal month was november 2023 and september is going to continue the streak. cry harder

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Records:

Highs:

EWR: 98 (2015)
NYC: 97 (2015)
LGA: 95 (2015)
JFK: 92 (2010)


Lows:

EWR: 50 (1940)
NYC: 52 (1871)
LGA: 54 (1984)
JFK: 50 (1962)

Historical:

 

1900 - The greatest weather disaster in U.S. records occurred when a hurricane struck Galveston TX. A tide fifteen feet high washed over the island demolishing or carrying away buildings, and drowning more than 6000 persons. The hurricane destroyed more than 3600 houses, and total damage was more than thirty million dollars. Winds to 120 mph, and a twenty foot storm surge accompanied the hurricane. Following the storm, the surf was three hundred feet inland from the former water line. The hurricane claimed another 1200 lives outside of the Galveston area. (8th-9th) (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)

 

1900: A Category 4 storm made landfall in Galveston, Texas on this day in 1900. This hurricane killed between 6,000 and 12,000 individuals, making it the deadliest US Atlantic hurricane on record. The highest point in the city of Galveston was less than nine feet above sea level. The hurricane brought a storm surge of over 15 feet, which overwhelmed the entire island.

 

1925: In September 1925, South Carolina was in the middle of one of the most widespread and disastrous droughts in the state's history. The NWS Co-op station in Calhoun Falls reported 11 days above 100°F with a maximum temperature of 111°F on this day.

 

1987 - A tropical depression off the coast of South Carolina brought another round of heavy rain to the Middle Atlantic Coast Region and the Upper Ohio Valley. Showers and thunderstorms produced extremely heavy rain in eastern Pennsylvania, where flooding caused more than 55 million dollars across a seven county area. The afternoon high of 97 degrees at Miami FL was a record for the month of September. (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Eighteen cities in the south central and eastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date, including Roanoke VA with a reading of 42 degrees. (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Thunderstorms developing along a stationary front produced very heavy rain in the central U.S. Thunderstorms during the late morning and afternoon produced five to nine inches of rain around Lincoln NE, with an unofficial total of eleven inches near Holmes Park. Up to six and a half inches of rain soaked northern and western Iowa. Eighty to ninety percent of the homes in Shenandoah IA, where 5.89 inches of rain was received, reported basement flooding. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

 

1998: A severe thunderstorm developed over the southern end of the Las Vegas Valley in Nevada. The storm moved north bringing damaging winds and heavy rain mainly across the eastern half of the metro area. Henderson Executive Airport recorded wind gusts of 80 mph. Air traffic control personnel temporarily evacuated the airport tower. Approximately 15 homes and trailers in Moapa were severely damaged by thunderstorm winds estimated at 80 to 90 mph.

 

2012: Severe storms impacted the New York City area, forcing a delay of the United States Open. A tornado hit a beach club in Queens, and another brought damage to Canarsie, Brooklyn, New York. 

 

 

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August was pretty much average for our warmer 91-20 climate normals since the small + and - departures canceled each other out.

EWR….+0.6

New Brunswick….+0.3

NYC……-1.0

LGA……-1.0

JFK……+0.9

HPN…..+0.6

ISP……..+0.1

BDR…….-0.9

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39 minutes ago, bluewave said:

August was pretty much average for our warmer 91-20 climate normals since the small + and - departures canceled each other out.

EWR….+0.6

New Brunswick….+0.3

NYC……-1.0

LGA……-1.0

JFK……+0.9

HPN…..+0.6

ISP……..+0.1

BDR…….-0.9

Yeah it just felt cool because we've gotten so used to WAY above normal temps. 

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31 minutes ago, MANDA said:

Dry period getting underway.  Little to no rainfall next 7 to maybe 10 days.  Late season veggie crops will need to be watered.  Thankfully lower sun angle in play.

I would say the dry period overall has been underway for the last 10 days with the exception of some minor precipitation.

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2 hours ago, Wxoutlooksblog said:

This looks like near record breaking heat from the mid west into Ontario and portions of Quebec and above normal temperatures for everyone in the northeastern U.S. and mid Atlantic States.

WX/PT

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ec-fast/2024090812/ec-fast_z500_mslp_us_11.png

The first record ridge is forecast for later this week. Then the OP models are hinting at a possible even stronger one a few days later. So it would be very impressive to get two 500 mb height records this close together. 

IMG_1096.thumb.jpeg.164a951e16558a41b1f331d64b0d4c36.jpeg

 


IMG_1097.thumb.jpeg.968efc42e7ac9702674a85ae1b352628.jpeg

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The first week of September proved cooler than normal in the East. Parts of the West saw their hottest first week of September and hottest 7-day period so late in the season. Records were set in cities including Blythe, Palm Springs, and Phoenix.

Parts of the New York City and Philadelphia regions could again see their coolest temperatures so far this fall tomorrow morning. However, a gradual warming trend will likely commence on Tuesday.

The medium-range guidance has shifted toward an extended period of somewhat above to above normal temperatures. Therefore, once the warmth develops, above normal temperatures could persist through at least much of the third week of the month, if not longer.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.2°C for the week centered around August 28. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.35°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.07°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely evolve into a La Niña event during the fall.

The SOI was -7.25 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.388 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 54% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal September (1991-2020 normal). September will likely finish with a mean temperature near 69.6° (0.4° above normal).

 

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10 hours ago, bluewave said:

The dry pattern to our SW may try to expand toward CNJ as the pattern warms up and dries out. 
 

IMG_1092.thumb.png.592a33b6cde718ea826b7788049a0e6f.png

It’s already really dry. We don’t need to see anything expand to make it drier than it is now 

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9 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

It’s already really dry. We don’t need to see anything expand to make it drier than it is now 

Yup dry as a bone here grass looks like beginning  of July

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