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A strong cold front is pushing across the region with heavy showers. Already, the temperature has fallen from a high of 75° to 63°.

In its wake, much of the regon will see its coolest night so far this season. By morning, New York City will see the temperature in the low 50s. Many areas outside the City will experience readings in the 40s.

Tomorrow, the mercury will struggle to reach 70° in the New York City area. Some areas could top out in the upper 60s. Parts of the region could again see their coolest temperatures so far this fall on Monday morning.

A warming trend will likely develop early next week. Afterward, the guidance has shifted toward an extended period of somewhat above to above normal temperatures.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.2°C for the week centered around August 28. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.35°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.07°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely evolve into a La Niña event during the fall.

The SOI was -5.82 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.822 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 54% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal September (1991-2020 normal). September will likely finish with a mean temperature near 69.6° (0.4° above normal).

 

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1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said:

Just some sprinkles 

Just a very brief shower here. Terrible. Very dry out there. Lots of watering will be needed. I have Romaine lettuce out there now for the fall. It's doing very well and almost ready for picking, but obviously hot dry weather won't be good for lettuce. I'll have to water it a lot to keep it in good shape during the dry hot stretch next week. 

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Records:

Highs:

EWR: 96 (2023)
NYC: 101 (1881)
LGA: 96 (2023)
JFK: 93 (1983)


Lows:

EWR: 49 (1984)
NYC: 46 (1888)
LGA: 53 (1984)
JFK: 47 (1962)

Historical:

1769: Considered one of the worst storms of the Eighteenth century, this hurricane passed over Williamsburg, Virginia.

 

1881 - The temperature soared to 101 degrees at New York City, 102 degrees at Boston MA, and 104 degrees at Washington D.C. (David Ludlum)

1888 - Much of the Middle and Northern Atlantic Coast Region experienced freezing temperatures. Killer frosts resulted in a million dollars damage to crops in Maine. (David Ludlum)

1909 - Topeka, KS, was drenched with 8.08 inches of rain in 24 hours to establish a record for that location. (6th- 7th) (The Weather Channel)

1970 - A lightning bolt struck a group of football players at Gibbs High School in Saint Petersburg FL, killing two persons and injuring 22 others. All the thirty-eight players and four coaches were knocked off their feet. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - Showers and thunderstorms produced 4 to 8 inch rains in three to six hours in Virginia, with totals across the state for the Labor Day weekend ranging up to fourteen inches. The Staunton River crested at 34.44 feet at Altavista on the 8th, its highest level since 1940. Damage due to flooding was estimated at seven million dollars around Bedford, Henry, and Franklin. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Fifty cities across the eastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date. The low of 56 degrees at Mobile AL was their coolest reading of record for so early in the season. The mercury dipped to 31 degrees at Athens OH, and to 30 degrees at Thomas WV. (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Thunderstorms in the central U.S. produced four inches of rain at Texamah overnight, and up to six inches of rain in southwestern Iowa. Evening thunderstorms in eastern Colorado produced golf ball size hail at Clear Creek and at Nederland. Late evening thunderstorms in Iowa drenched Harlan with more than four inches of rain. (The National Weather Summary)

 

1998: Two Derechos occurred on this day with one affecting most of Pennsylvania and New York City, the other impacting central New York.

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55 /48 off a cool low of 49.  Low 70s today and another cool night.  Coolest for a while.  Warmup beings Monday  ridge builds east and north -  upper 70s to 80.  Tue - Sat mid 80s perhaps an upper 80s in the warm spots as the onshore flow keeps heat west of us.    Cut off low and potential tropics by the 15th could bring some rains/clouds cooler.   Otherwise overall warmer into the final third of august.

 

9/8 : Cool
9/9 - 9/14 : Warmer than normal / dry
9/15 - 9/18 : Warmer/humid potential rains
Beyond : warmer

 

GOES16-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif

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