bluewave Posted Wednesday at 09:57 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 09:57 PM Tomorrow will be one of the few days this month with SSW flow so low 80s for the usual warm spots in NJ. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted Wednesday at 10:06 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:06 PM 8 minutes ago, bluewave said: Tomorrow will be one of the few days this month with SSW flow so low 80s for the usual warm spots in NJ. 18Z HRRR says Trenton on S for 80s FWIW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted Wednesday at 10:30 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:30 PM 1 hour ago, uofmiami said: Probably will be no power there come monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted Wednesday at 10:31 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:31 PM .02 today Lawns are generally toast but early leaf fall is allowing us to cut most of our properties...about 2-2 1/2 weeks ahead of schedule 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted Wednesday at 10:44 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:44 PM 11 minutes ago, winterwarlock said: .02 today Lawns are generally toast but early leaf fall is allowing us to cut most of our properties...about 2-2 1/2 weeks ahead of schedule Brutal for seeding and aeration 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted Wednesday at 11:30 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:30 PM Felt one drop of water fall outside 5 minutes ago. When I came in just now, could swear I felt another one! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted Wednesday at 11:57 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:57 PM Had periods of very light rain and mist/drizzle at times today. Did not check gauge but will do so in the morning. There were small puddles so I'm going to guess maybe .10 - .15", but just a guess. Was out and about and needed the wipers on! Whats more temperatures never got out of the low 60's all day. Was chilly and damp. Felt like fall! Not enough rain to make any kind of difference but I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted yesterday at 12:39 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:39 AM A generally pleasant temperature regime will continue through most or all of the week. it will turn warmer tomorrow. Showers are possible tomorrow, as well. In the Southwest and parts of California, near record and record heat is underway. Phoenix reached 113°, which smashed its daily mark of 108° from 1979 and 1989. It was also that city's latest 113° or above temperature on record by 15 days. The extreme heat will last through the coming weekend. Phoenix and Tucson will experience their highest temperatures so late in the season. Hurricane Helene will make landfall in Florida's Big Bend region tomorrow evening as a major hurricane. Extreme rainfall could spread as far north as the southern Appalachians. Flooding rains will also affect such cities as Atlanta, Columbus, Macon, and Tallahassee. Helene's rainfall is unlikely to reach the New York City area. Continuing long-range guidance suggests that October could wind up warmer than normal across much of the U.S. The western U.S. could be particularly warm relative to normal. Widespread October warmth occurred during the last case where the AO fell to -2.000 or below while the PNA rose to +1.000 or above with a cool ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly in late September (2010), as was the case this year. The NAO fell to a preliminary -2.751 on September 24th (all-time September record: -2.371, September 12, 1971). That was the 9th lowest value on record. La Niña winters following September cases where the NAO fell to -1.900 or below featured a predominantly positive NAO. The most recent such winters were 2016-2017 and 2022-2023. The mean temperatures for those winters in New York City were 39.3° and 41.0° respectively. The 1991-2020 normal value is 36.2°. A warmer outcome is favored by the September run of the C3S multi-model forecast for Winter 2024-2025. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.5°C for the week centered around September 18. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.20°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.18°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely evolve into a La Niña event during the fall. The SOI was -4.87 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -1.207 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 52% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal September (1991-2020 normal). September will likely finish with a mean temperature near 69.1° (0.1° below normal). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Picard Posted yesterday at 01:04 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:04 AM 0.04" in Sparta. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted yesterday at 10:33 AM Share Posted yesterday at 10:33 AM 16 hours ago, uofmiami said: 18Z HRRR says Trenton on S for 80s FWIW. The one good thing about the Southeast Ridge correcting stronger today is that maybe the moisture from Helene will sneak further north into the weekend. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted yesterday at 11:41 AM Share Posted yesterday at 11:41 AM light rain here-enough to settle the dust 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted yesterday at 11:45 AM Share Posted yesterday at 11:45 AM Drizzle overnight and dense fog since about 5am. Surfaces are finally soaked and the plants are loving it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted yesterday at 11:55 AM Share Posted yesterday at 11:55 AM 1 hour ago, bluewave said: The one good thing about the Southeast Ridge correcting stronger today is that maybe the moisture from Helene will sneak further north next week. Yeah, models becoming wetter now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted yesterday at 12:16 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:16 PM 19 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Yeah, models becoming wetter now Newark only needs .06 to move out of 1st place for driest September. Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of SepClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2024 0.09 5 2 1941 0.14 0 3 2005 0.45 0 4 1951 0.95 0 5 1972 1.03 0 6 1948 1.14 0 - 1939 1.14 0 7 1931 1.19 0 8 1953 1.25 0 9 1964 1.30 0 10 1967 1.35 0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzLuv Posted yesterday at 12:18 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:18 PM 13 hours ago, Allsnow said: Brutal for seeding and aeration I had to reseed a portion of the front lawn due to skunk damage and the side due to my neighbor's contractor not reseeding or filling sinkholes he created my lawn while replacing a water line. I have had to water daily for two weeks and the grass is coming up and everything around those areas is brown and dormant. I usually aerate and overseed every other year. I skiped this year as it has been so dry. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted yesterday at 12:47 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:47 PM 0.02" since midnight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted yesterday at 12:50 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:50 PM 69 / 66 clouds . Spotty showers. Clouds will keep it lowers than otherwise would have been record challenging warmth. Clouds lingering till and through Monday (9/30) and we'll see how much rain to show for it. Likely in the 0.50 - 0/75 widespread with next shot of some steadier rain Saturday as Helene meanders southwest of us and monday as whats left of the remnants moves out south of the area. Beyond there dry and near normal next week, warmer beyond there going into next week. https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/NE/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-NE-GEOCOLOR-600x600.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted yesterday at 12:51 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:51 PM Darker returns may be reaching the ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted yesterday at 12:59 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:59 PM Drought conditions into nyc now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted yesterday at 01:07 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:07 PM 1 hour ago, Brian5671 said: light rain here-enough to settle the dust Same here. Received .18" last 24 hours! I'll take it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted yesterday at 01:31 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:31 PM Raining in chester; it all counts at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted yesterday at 01:46 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:46 PM 55 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Darker returns may be reaching the ground Yup, steady light rain here now. .11" Did a lot of seeding for my front lawn and it's coming in nicely with frequent watering. With the frequent watering, my lawn looks pretty sweet....and a little out of place with the browning lawns in the neighborhood 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted yesterday at 01:56 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:56 PM can we get a 24 hour forecast that's correct 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDemon Posted yesterday at 01:58 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:58 PM Is it possible to mute people complaining about their lawns? 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted yesterday at 02:01 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:01 PM Lightly raining but it's finally more than just sprinkles or drizzle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted yesterday at 02:06 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:06 PM Lightly raining Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted yesterday at 02:08 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:08 PM Most of the models miss this rain in the area today 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted yesterday at 02:17 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:17 PM 18 minutes ago, SnowDemon said: Is it possible to mute people complaining about their lawns? How's your concrete looking? Powerwash it? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted yesterday at 02:47 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:47 PM 5.5 hours of dense fog with drizzle and occasional light rain has the surface thoroughly soaked now. Prepped and ready for more For real though, if we get decent rain the next few days it won't just run off the hardpan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted yesterday at 02:57 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:57 PM Models continue to get wetter for tomorrow afternoon with Helene remnants 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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