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3 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

The city did a big tree planting this spring on the streets of the uws. Looks like that was a big waste as most are dead or close. I don’t hate this perfect weather as I obviously work outside, but this is getting a little tiring. Another week of zero rain.

That's the stuff I don't get-they surely know you have to water right?!?!?  Big waste of taxpayer $$$

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24 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Yeah, the drier pattern here after the very wet summer is becoming evident now. Lawns have started turning brown with considerable leaf drop. Tough to get a happy medium these days between the brief dry patterns and big deluges. 

I hope the block doesn’t push the gulf storm into the central US which would give us little to no rain next week 

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9 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

I hope the block doesn’t push the gulf storm into the central US which would give us little to no rain next week 

Yeah, we want a more easterly track in order for a place like Newark to avoid the first under 1.00” month since May 2023 and July 2022.

Monthly Total Precipitation for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
2024 5.52 1.75 7.99 3.85 2.79 1.75 3.59 6.69 0.08 M M M 34.01
2023 4.31 1.41 3.32 8.07 0.89 2.66 6.26 4.27 8.31 4.02 2.91 7.55 53.98
2022 4.06 2.65 2.38 4.36 5.23 2.40 0.55
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83  / 53 more sun than projected.  Mid 80s today, maybe the warmest to next spring.  Onshore entourage continues keeping it near normal overall the next week.   We'll see if any of the potential tropical system in the GOM and Upper low bring the rain. 

 

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/eus/02/GOES16-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif 

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44 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

That block above would be perfect in the winter it's not too far south like alot of the winter blocking we've see lately

Straight west to east flow off the Pacific means maybe we’d get a colder rain if a storm could even form since the flow is so fast. No cold air source. 

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JFK and BDR got to within 3° of the record high today as the +8 to +11 departure will continue to shrink the monthly cool departure.

 

CLIMATE REPORT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK, NY
432 PM EDT THU SEP 19 2024

...................................

...THE KENNEDY NY CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR SEPTEMBER 19 2024...
VALID TODAY AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME.

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1948 TO 2024


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST      
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL           
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                          
 TODAY                                                               
  MAXIMUM         87    259 PM  90    1983  75     12       76       
  MINIMUM         69    709 AM  47    1956  60      9       59       
                                      1959                           
  AVERAGE         78                        67     11       68     

 

CLIMATE REPORT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK, NY
432 PM EDT THU SEP 19 2024

...................................

...THE BRIDGEPORT CT CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR SEPTEMBER 19 2024...
VALID TODAY AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME.

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1948 TO 2024


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST      
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL           
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                          
 TODAY                                                               
  MAXIMUM         85    259 PM  88    1983  74     11       74       
  MINIMUM         65    618 AM  42    1959  59      6       57       
  AVERAGE         75                        67      8       66     
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It will be variably cloudy tomorrow and somewhat cooler tomorrow and Saturday. A few showers are possible on parts of Long Island and eastern Connecticut. A fresh shot of cooler air could arrive for Sunday.

Boston picked up 0.01" of rain today. That ended its 29-day stretch without measurable precipitation, which was tied for the 4th longest on record. Records go back to 1872.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.2°C for the week centered around September 11. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.27°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.10°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely evolve into a La Niña event during the fall.

The SOI was +8.44 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -1.558 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 59% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal September (1991-2020 normal). September will likely finish with a mean temperature near 68.8° (0.7° below normal).

 

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