Brian5671 Posted Tuesday at 02:49 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:49 PM 5 minutes ago, psv88 said: Leaf drop beginning. Could use rain same here with certain trees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted Tuesday at 03:23 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:23 PM ^^ Pretty much all non-native species. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted Tuesday at 03:49 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:49 PM On 9/16/2024 at 7:10 AM, bluewave said: Another example of the stuck weather patterns of recent years. Yeah, this is a wider view of the situation. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted Tuesday at 04:00 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:00 PM All the models have brought rain back closer to the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted Tuesday at 04:05 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:05 PM 4 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LAVistaNY Posted Tuesday at 04:11 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:11 PM 1 hour ago, Brian5671 said: 1 hour ago, Brian5671 said: same here with certain trees I have notice the sugar maple’s don’t color like they used to, but just turn brown, crumple, and fall off. I suspect a new to us fungus? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted Tuesday at 04:19 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:19 PM 13 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Awesome, looking forward to my cold and 430 sunsets! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Tuesday at 04:43 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:43 PM 23 minutes ago, steve392 said: Awesome, looking forward to my cold and 430 sunsets! I'm looking forward to my 33 and rain 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Tuesday at 04:43 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:43 PM Gfs and cmc have a hurricane into Florida at the end of September 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted Tuesday at 04:45 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:45 PM 45 minutes ago, Allsnow said: All the models have brought rain back closer to the coast I see a new trend today to back rain in from the east on Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted Tuesday at 05:46 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:46 PM 1 hour ago, Brian5671 said: I see a new trend today to back rain in from the east on Friday Euro continues to be very wet for tomorrow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted Tuesday at 05:49 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:49 PM 1 minute ago, Allsnow said: Euro continues to be very wet for tomorrow Yeah it gives us over 2 inches of rain. I'm still gonna give the garden a good watering today though, since it's still very questionable with the models all over the place. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted Tuesday at 05:56 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:56 PM 7 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: Yeah it gives us over 2 inches of rain. I'm still gonna give the garden a good watering today though, since it's still very questionable with the models all over the place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted Tuesday at 05:58 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:58 PM not a single other model supports the euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted Tuesday at 06:27 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 06:27 PM 28 minutes ago, forkyfork said: not a single other model supports the euro NAM is the closest to it total rainfall wise, all others no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted Tuesday at 06:59 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 06:59 PM 1 hour ago, winterwx21 said: Yeah it gives us over 2 inches of rain. I'm still gonna give the garden a good watering today though, since it's still very questionable with the models all over the place. Yeah it ain't happening 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monty Posted Tuesday at 07:11 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:11 PM 5 hours ago, Eduardo said: Still gotta get the boys to Bassfest! I attended that many years ago. Threw a lot of flight wheel, got totally wizzed out. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted Tuesday at 08:12 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:12 PM 8 hours ago, SACRUS said: When does this stuck up pattern get a laxative , early october . beyond this? I'm going to guess based on what I see, maybe early October 50% chance then the stuck up pattern reloads for most of October and a complete break from this pattern in late October or early November. WX/PT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted Tuesday at 08:24 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:24 PM LOL NAM 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted Tuesday at 08:52 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:52 PM Icon wetter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted Tuesday at 09:05 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:05 PM Here's a novel idea, watch the radar tomorrow! All the model waffling from run to run is comical. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted Tuesday at 09:16 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:16 PM 23 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Icon wetter It's jumping around too-it's wetter west now. Completely different from 12z. RGEM is bone dry now like the 3K NAM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted Tuesday at 09:31 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:31 PM 14 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: It's jumping around too-it's wetter west now. Completely different from 12z. RGEM is bone dry now like the 3K NAM Yeah, I think I’ll be lucky to get .10 here tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted Tuesday at 09:33 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:33 PM 2 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Yeah, I think I’ll be lucky to get .10 here tomorrow. I'm going with zero here. Maybe something on Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted Tuesday at 09:41 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:41 PM 1 hour ago, Brian5671 said: LOL NAM 3k Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted Tuesday at 09:50 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:50 PM It’s been a while since we have seen a month start off like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted Tuesday at 09:53 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:53 PM Gfs nothing like the euro. Does have some rain Thursday evening 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted Tuesday at 09:57 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:57 PM Some moisture from the southeast will likely bring showers and perhaps some periods of rain to the northern Mid-Atlantic region tomorrow. Showers could persist into Friday. Rainfall amounts from New York City northward have fallen in the recent guidance as the high to the north turns out somewhat stronger and more expansive than modeled during recent days. In terms of dry weather regionally, today is on track to become Boston's 28th consecutive day without measurable precipitation. That would be tied for the 5th longest dry stretch on record. Records go back to 1872. Some of the guidance brings light but measurable rainfall to Boston tomorrow or Thursday. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.2°C for the week centered around September 11. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.27°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.10°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely evolve into a La Niña event during the fall. The SOI was -5.17 yesterday. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.871 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 62% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal September (1991-2020 normal). September will likely finish with a mean temperature near 68.7° (0.4° below normal). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted Tuesday at 11:16 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:16 PM 1 hour ago, Rjay said: 3k Time to take that model out behind the woodshed, seriously 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted Wednesday at 12:40 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:40 AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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