SACRUS Posted Monday at 01:30 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:30 PM Departures through 9/22 JFK: +1. EWR: + 0.2 NYC: -0.5 LGA: -1.2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted Monday at 01:43 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:43 PM 16 minutes ago, SACRUS said: I'm suspecting most of it dries up before it reaches the greater NYC metro area. Maybe a brief sprinkle? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted Monday at 02:46 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:46 PM Nam is fairly wet now. 3knam not as wet but still has something unlike last week I'd settle for .25" 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted Monday at 02:59 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:59 PM How long until we need to break out the coats? 2 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted Monday at 03:40 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:40 PM Sprinkles 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted Monday at 03:47 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:47 PM 1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said: Nam is fairly wet now. 3knam not as wet but still has something unlike last week I'd settle for .25" RGEM looks decent too, giving a lot of the area close to a half inch. We're not gonna get the big soaking that we want to end the dry spell, but hopefully it will be enough to give things a decent watering. I'd be happy with .25" to .50". 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted Monday at 04:08 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:08 PM 27 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: RGEM looks decent too, giving a lot of the area close to a half inch. We're not gonna get the big soaking that we want to end the dry spell, but hopefully it will be enough to give things a decent watering. I'd be happy with .25" to .50". 12z Cmc looks good west of city and especially gfs areawide 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted Monday at 04:10 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:10 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted Monday at 04:10 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:10 PM Partly cloudy calls on some forecasts as recent as yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted Monday at 04:56 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:56 PM How have forecasts gotten worse as technology has advanced? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted Monday at 05:09 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:09 PM 5 minutes ago, psv88 said: How have forecasts gotten worse as technology has advanced? Good question. I will assume the science will argue otherwise. Of course, when I was banging, there were only 2 models. Now, perhaps, there are too many models? Several have known biases. There are more, and better short term precipitation forecastng tools. It seems some models, which have had good sucess have been reconfigured and have become less accurate? We have ensembles, that are usually the most reliable tool. However, we still see enough short term temperature and precipitation busts that invoke doubt, and forget anything over 4 days. Long range is still unachievable ( or at least no better than using historical comparisons)? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted Monday at 05:11 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:11 PM Dry streak over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted Monday at 05:12 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:12 PM 2 hours ago, TriPol said: How long until we need to break out the coats? January…..2036 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted Monday at 05:16 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:16 PM 4 minutes ago, Eduardo said: January…..2036 I haven't worn my heavy coat since January 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted Monday at 05:29 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:29 PM 1 hour ago, SACRUS said: Fake news. it looks like it's raining here but... no 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted Monday at 05:48 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:48 PM 18 minutes ago, gravitylover said: Fake news. it looks like it's raining here but... no I had a sprinkle while I was driving-almost had to turn on the wipers! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted Monday at 06:07 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:07 PM Nothing here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted Monday at 06:12 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:12 PM 4 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Nothing here Had a few drops here, thats all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted Monday at 06:20 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:20 PM Doh, ended up with 47 seconds of drizzle. Just enough to splatter the dust on the cars and make them look shitty. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Picard Posted Monday at 06:21 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:21 PM Sprinkles here earlier, nothing now. Most of it isn't reaching the ground and is dissapating. 0.25" won't happen. So my dry streak continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted Monday at 06:22 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:22 PM Been wet here in central Orange County since mid-morning. I know you all are jealous of this .05-.15... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted Monday at 06:22 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:22 PM 1 hour ago, Dark Star said: Good question. I will assume the science will argue otherwise. Of course, when I was banging, there were only 2 models. Now, perhaps, there are too many models? Several have known biases. There are more, and better short term precipitation forecastng tools. It seems some models, which have had good sucess have been reconfigured and have become less accurate? We have ensembles, that are usually the most reliable tool. However, we still see enough short term temperature and precipitation busts that invoke doubt, and forget anything over 4 days. Long range is still unachievable ( or at least no better than using historical comparisons)? Good afternoon Dark Star. I can only agree, as stated. Considering your third sentence, l have to admire, if not envy, your early days. As always ….. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted Monday at 06:34 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:34 PM Helene to Be invest 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted Monday at 06:48 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:48 PM 5 hours ago, SACRUS said: Departures through 9/22 JFK: +1. EWR: + 0.2 NYC: -0.5 LGA: -1.2 Should decrease more especially if we can sneak in some 80s later this week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted Monday at 07:00 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:00 PM Got a brief shower where I actually needed to use my wipers. But that was it. Nice cool day. Perfect for opening windows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted Monday at 07:19 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:19 PM We haven't turned on the heat or AC since before Labor Day weekend. Amazing stretch of weather here. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted Monday at 07:32 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:32 PM Just a trace of rainfall here today with a few sprinkles. At least with a heavy overcast and temperatures in the 60's it felt like Fall. I thought it was a nice day in its own right. Still leaves us wanting some decent rain but nothing really in the cards for the rest of the week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted Monday at 08:08 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:08 PM Rain shower actually wet the ground here, nice 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted Monday at 08:26 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 08:26 PM The CMCE and the GEFS show the potential for at least some rainfall over the next 7 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted Monday at 08:26 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:26 PM 14 minutes ago, FPizz said: Rain shower actually wet the ground here, nice Same here, except the sidewalk under the sycamores, maples and oaks remained dry. The 15:51 report from Central Park seems to agree. As always …. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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