Allsnow Posted September 20 Share Posted September 20 Cruel 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted September 20 Share Posted September 20 54 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Cruel They definitely need it in the OH Valley, extreme drought in some of those places. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monty Posted September 20 Share Posted September 20 1 hour ago, Allsnow said: Cruel Not for us grape growers, as @Big Jims Videos pointed out! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 Records: Highs: EWR: 92 (1983) NYC: 93 (1983) LGA: 90 (1983) JFK: 85 (1997) Lows: EWR: 44 (1979) NYC: 44 (1993) LGA: 46 (1979) JFK: 41 (1979) Historical: 1845 - A tornado traveled 275 miles across Lake Ontario, New York and Lake Champlain. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987) 1909 - A large and deadly Category 3 hurricane made landfall near Grand Isle, Louisiana during the late evening hours. The states of Louisiana and Mississippi showed catastrophic damage resulting in 371 deaths and $265 million in damage 1909: A large and deadly Category 3 hurricane made landfall near Grand Isle, Louisiana during the late evening hours. The states of Louisiana and Mississippi showed catastrophic damage resulting in 371 deaths and $265 million in damage (2010 USD). 1926 - A hurricane which hit Miami, FL, on the 18th, pounded Pensacola with wind gusts to 152 mph. Winds raged in excess of 100 mph for four hours, and above 75 mph for 20 hours. (The Weather Channel) 1967 - Hurricane Beulah moved into South Texas, and torrential rains from the hurricane turned the rich agricultural areas of South Texas into a large lake. Hurricane Beulah also spawned a record 115 tornadoes. (David Ludlum) 1983 - The temperature at West Yellowstone MT plunged to six degrees below zero, while the temperature at San Francisco CA soared to 94 degrees. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in Oklahoma and west Texas. In Oklahoma, a thunderstorm at Seiling produced three inches of rain in one hour, golf ball size hail, and wind gusts to 60 mph which collapsed a tent at the state fair injuring nine persons. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Showers and thunderstorms produced locally heavy rains in central Wyoming, and snow in some of the higher elevations. Casper WY reported 1.75 inches of rain in 24 hours, and a thunderstorm north of the Wild Horse Reservoir produced 1.90 inches of rain in just forty minutes. 1989 - Hugo jilted Iris. Hurricane Hugo churned toward the South Atlantic Coast, gradually regaining strength along the way. Tropical Storm Iris got too close to Hugo, and began to weaken. A cold front brought strong and gusty winds to the Great Basin and the Southern Plateau Region, with wind gusts to 44 mph reported at Kingman AZ. (The National Weather Summary) 2005 - Hurricane Rita tracked through the Florida Straits and just south of the Florida Keys. Winds were sustained at tropical storm force at Key West, where peak winds gusted to 76 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 Highs: PHL: 85 EWR: 84 JFK: 84 TTN: 83 TEB: 82 New Brnswck: 82 NYC: 81 ACY: 81 BLM: 80 LGA: 80 ISP: 77 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 77 today. Can’t remember the last time it rained Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 22 minutes ago, psv88 said: 77 today. Can’t remember the last time it rained Last rain by site LGA: 9/7 (0.32) NYC: 9/7 (0.24) JFK: 9/7 (0.18) EWR: 9/7 (0.08) Prior to this 8/30 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 4 hours ago, SACRUS said: Last rain by site LGA: 9/7 (0.32) NYC: 9/7 (0.24) JFK: 9/7 (0.18) EWR: 9/7 (0.08) Prior to this 8/30 Wow. Not often we go 2 straight weeks with nothing. May end up close to 3 weeks before we rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 6z GFS ends the dry spell and bigly 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 Euro has good rains mid week and then a tropical beast moving in from the south 9/30. We need and deserve it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 Since it's been so dry it probably means we'll get like 20" of rain in a 2-3 day timeframe 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 Sunny out here on the island but the forecasts were clouds. Is it expected to get cloudy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 The GFS recent wetter solution for next week weakened the blocking ridge over the Northeast enough. Notice the upper low getting closer to the area. The tropical input also helps. New run Old run 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 1 hour ago, bluewave said: The GFS recent wetter solution for next week weakened the blocking ridge over the Northeast enough. Notice the upper low getting closer to the area. The tropical input also helps. New run Old run Like the Ohio Valley trough positioning. Hopefully the trend holds or at least any shifts are minimal. That pattern could produce. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 74 / 57 variable cloudy. Dry streak continues and more warmer spread. The wet at the end of the dry tunnel perhaps in site Wed - Fri. Blocked up pattern may target a cloudy rain area over the northeast by then. Overall warmer beyond there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 Dep through 9/20 LGA: -1.7 NYC: -.7 EWR: -.1 JFK: + .6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 2 hours ago, bluewave said: The GFS recent wetter solution for next week weakened the blocking ridge over the Northeast enough. Notice the upper low getting closer to the area. The tropical input also helps. New run Old run Such blocking will make for more strung out dry or wet conditions where the cut off and any tropical systems wind up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 7 days projection a touch wetter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 Icon got drier but gfs still pretty wet through Friday esp city west 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 12 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Icon got drier but gfs still pretty wet through Friday esp city west And today's CMC gives our area a half inch to three quarters of an inch Wednesday into Wednesday night. Still a long way to go, but overall the models right now looks pretty good. Let's hope we finally get a desperately needed drink. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 19 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: And today's CMC gives our area a half inch to three quarters of an inch Wednesday into Wednesday night. Still a long way to go, but overall the models right now looks pretty good. Let's hope we finally get a desperately needed drink. It's sad if we can't even get a half inch to at least break the dry spell Ukie misses completely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 2 hours ago, MANDA said: Like the Ohio Valley trough positioning. Hopefully the trend holds or at least any shifts are minimal. That pattern could produce. I think the forecast details for the closed low positions are going to be tricky since the blocking is even stronger on the 12z run today near a record 580 dm block for Greenland. So it’s going to be challenge forecasting how much moisture can stream into the area with so much blocking to our north. Models really struggle with blocking and cutoffs. So not putting much stock yet in any rainfall details. A +48 dm 500 mb anomaly is as extreme as we have seen during September. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 16 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: It's sad if we can't even get a half inch to at least break the dry spell Ukie misses completely Yeah it's still very questionable how much rain we'll get midweek, as bluewave just explained. I won't get my hopes up too high yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 4 hours ago, WestBabylonWeather said: Sunny out here on the island but the forecasts were clouds. Is it expected to get cloudy? Close call. Although clouds are trying to push in from the east, they seem to be running into drier air. Maybe the forks are/will be somewhat cloudy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 23 minutes ago, bluewave said: I think the forecast details for the closed low positions are going to be tricky since the blocking is even stronger on the 12z run today near a record 580 dm block for Greenland. So it’s going to be challenge forecasting how much moisture can stream into the area with so much blocking to our north. Models really struggle with blocking and cutoffs. So not putting much stock yet in any rainfall details. A +48 dm 500 mb anomaly is as extreme as we have seen during September. Crazy that even in winter that block wouldn’t deliver Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 Cloudy now in Lake Grove, but it was already in the 70’s from the sunshine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 47 minutes ago, Dark Star said: Close call. Although clouds are trying to push in from the east, they seem to be running into drier air. Maybe the forks are/will be somewhat cloudy? I’m in the hamptons right now and it’s cloudy and breezy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 Mostly sunny and 80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 Another overperformer today. It's 82 here. We sure wiped out the significant negative departure that we had for the first 10 days of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 Says 77 at Citi Field but with sun directly in front it's a toaster. Will definitely be burnt after game. Breeze off Flushing Bay feels great. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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