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Records:

Highs:

EWR: 92 (1983)
NYC: 93 (1983)
LGA: 90 (1983)
JFK: 85 (1997)



Lows:

EWR: 44 (1979)
NYC: 44 (1993)
LGA: 46 (1979)
JFK: 41 (1979)

 

 

Historical:

 

1845 - A tornado traveled 275 miles across Lake Ontario, New York and Lake Champlain. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987)

1909 - A large and deadly Category 3 hurricane made landfall near Grand Isle, Louisiana during the late evening hours. The states of Louisiana and Mississippi showed catastrophic damage resulting in 371 deaths and $265 million in damage

 

1909: A large and deadly Category 3 hurricane made landfall near Grand Isle, Louisiana during the late evening hours. The states of Louisiana and Mississippi showed catastrophic damage resulting in 371 deaths and $265 million in damage (2010 USD).

1926 - A hurricane which hit Miami, FL, on the 18th, pounded Pensacola with wind gusts to 152 mph. Winds raged in excess of 100 mph for four hours, and above 75 mph for 20 hours. (The Weather Channel)

1967 - Hurricane Beulah moved into South Texas, and torrential rains from the hurricane turned the rich agricultural areas of South Texas into a large lake. Hurricane Beulah also spawned a record 115 tornadoes. (David Ludlum)

1983 - The temperature at West Yellowstone MT plunged to six degrees below zero, while the temperature at San Francisco CA soared to 94 degrees. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - Afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in Oklahoma and west Texas. In Oklahoma, a thunderstorm at Seiling produced three inches of rain in one hour, golf ball size hail, and wind gusts to 60 mph which collapsed a tent at the state fair injuring nine persons. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Showers and thunderstorms produced locally heavy rains in central Wyoming, and snow in some of the higher elevations. Casper WY reported 1.75 inches of rain in 24 hours, and a thunderstorm north of the Wild Horse Reservoir produced 1.90 inches of rain in just forty minutes.

1989 - Hugo jilted Iris. Hurricane Hugo churned toward the South Atlantic Coast, gradually regaining strength along the way. Tropical Storm Iris got too close to Hugo, and began to weaken. A cold front brought strong and gusty winds to the Great Basin and the Southern Plateau Region, with wind gusts to 44 mph reported at Kingman AZ. (The National Weather Summary)

2005 - Hurricane Rita tracked through the Florida Straits and just south of the Florida Keys. Winds were sustained at tropical storm force at Key West, where peak winds gusted to 76 mph.

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1 hour ago, bluewave said:

The GFS recent wetter solution for next week weakened the blocking ridge over the Northeast enough. Notice the upper low getting closer to the area. The tropical input also helps. 
 

New run 

 

IMG_1322.thumb.png.dd68013a085e2658efe632068e0fce0c.png

Old run

 

IMG_1323.png

Like the Ohio Valley trough positioning.  Hopefully the trend holds or at least any shifts are minimal.  That pattern could produce.

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74 / 57 variable cloudy.  Dry streak continues and more warmer spread. The wet at the end of the dry tunnel perhaps in site Wed - Fri.  Blocked up pattern may target a cloudy rain area over the northeast by then.  Overall warmer beyond there.

 

GOES16-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif

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2 hours ago, bluewave said:

The GFS recent wetter solution for next week weakened the blocking ridge over the Northeast enough. Notice the upper low getting closer to the area. The tropical input also helps. 
 

New run 

 

 

Old run

 

 

 

Such blocking will make for more strung out dry or wet conditions where the cut off and any tropical systems wind up.

 

test8.gif

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12 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Icon got drier but gfs still pretty wet through Friday esp city west 

qpf_acc-imp.us_ne (79).png

And today's CMC gives our area a half inch to three quarters of an inch Wednesday into Wednesday night. Still a long way to go, but overall the models right now looks pretty good. Let's hope we finally get a desperately needed drink. 

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19 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

And today's CMC gives our area a half inch to three quarters of an inch Wednesday into Wednesday night. Still a long way to go, but overall the models right now looks pretty good. Let's hope we finally get a desperately needed drink. 

It's sad if we can't even get a half inch to at least break the dry spell

Ukie misses completely 

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2 hours ago, MANDA said:

Like the Ohio Valley trough positioning.  Hopefully the trend holds or at least any shifts are minimal.  That pattern could produce.

I think the forecast details for the closed low positions are going to be tricky since the blocking is even stronger on the 12z run today near a record 580 dm block for Greenland. So it’s going to be challenge forecasting how much moisture can stream into the area with so much blocking to our north. Models really struggle with blocking and cutoffs. So not putting much stock yet in any rainfall details. A +48 dm 500 mb anomaly is as extreme as we have seen during September.
 

IMG_1326.thumb.png.e103affc995682f61629b749e0d9c770.png


IMG_1328.thumb.jpeg.72ec94ef09dc8b5c2b28daf0410a6faa.jpeg

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4 hours ago, WestBabylonWeather said:

Sunny out here on the island but the forecasts were clouds. Is it expected to get cloudy? 

Close call.   Although clouds are trying to push in from the east, they seem to be running into drier air.  Maybe the forks are/will be somewhat cloudy?

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23 minutes ago, bluewave said:

I think the forecast details for the closed low positions are going to be tricky since the blocking is even stronger on the 12z run today near a record 580 dm block for Greenland. So it’s going to be challenge forecasting how much moisture can stream into the area with so much blocking to our north. Models really struggle with blocking and cutoffs. So not putting much stock yet in any rainfall details. A +48 dm 500 mb anomaly is as extreme as we have seen during September.
 

IMG_1326.thumb.png.e103affc995682f61629b749e0d9c770.png


IMG_1328.thumb.jpeg.72ec94ef09dc8b5c2b28daf0410a6faa.jpeg

Crazy that even in winter that block wouldn’t deliver

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