Volcanic Winter Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 I’m returning from my summer hibernation. Missed you weenies! Seems we got some reaction upgrades too! Can’t wait to watch us flinging poo at each other all winter ❤️. 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 Here we go flash drought. Amazing how our new normal is either too much rain or not enough. Lots of watering this week…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 57 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 14 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Here we go flash drought. Amazing how our new normal is either too much rain or not enough. Lots of watering this week…. The record ridge over the Northeast is so strong that it’s actually forcing the tropical development to stay well south instead of recurving through the Lakes or Northeast like we often see. So we are really going to have to be patient for our first tropical system since Debby back in early August. Some unusually dry conditions for September especially in the drier areas around NJ and to the SW. But at least the dew points will be more comfortable than back in the summer. Upper 80s to near 90° is very tolerable in the warm spots like NJ with dew points only in the upper 50s. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 47 minutes ago, bluewave said: The record ridge over the Northeast is so strong that it’s actually forcing the tropical development to stay well south instead of recurving through the Lakes or Northeast like we often see. So we are really going to have to be patient for our first tropical system since Debby back in early August. Some unusually dry conditions for September especially in the drier areas around NJ and to the SW. But at least the dew points will be more comfortable than back in the summer. Upper 80s to near 90° is very tolerable in the warm spots like NJ with dew points only in the upper 50s. Lower sun angle too. Looks ideal for late summer beach season. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 6 hours ago, Volcanic Winter said: I’m returning from my summer hibernation. Missed you weenies! Seems we got some reaction upgrades too! Can’t wait to watch us flinging poo at each other all winter ❤️. The good news is that the weenie is still there...that's the most applicable for winter time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 1 hour ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Here we go flash drought. Amazing how our new normal is either too much rain or not enough. Lots of watering this week…. Not out of the ordinary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 I've always thought of September as a dry month if we don't have a tropical storm of some sort. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 45 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Lower sun angle too. Looks ideal for late summer beach season. Yeah, great weather coming up for outdoor activities. We are on track for the driest first half of September in the 2020s so far. We’ll see if the ridge over the Northeast can weaken enough to allow more tropical or other moisture later in the month. Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.September 1-15th rainfall 2024-09-15 0.08..so far 2023-09-15 2.32 2022-09-15 1.87 2021-09-15 8.79 2020-09-15 2.51 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 Dryness begins with 0.58" here past 3 weeks. First 40's of the season with a 49° this am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 43, coldest of season so far. Looking forward to the warm week and one last swim weekend. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 47 in Muttontown & 49 in Syosset this morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 47 here this morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 47 here as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 64 / 44 off a low of 43. Cool behind and warmup on the way. Ridging north and into the east - overall warm to very warm. Over north ridge proves an onshore component keeping heat west with mid 80s but some of the warmer spots could push 90 as we near the end of the week and next. The pattern is blocked up and needs a laxative with big ridge into the north and Francines remnants meandering arounf the south and central US and potential cut off ULL int he southeast. Dry as the ridge holds east but need to watch going from dry to a Debby like stalled remnant or cut off low. Interesting next 1 - 2 weeks but solidly warm, overall. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 Lows EWR: 51 NYC: 55 JFK: 57 LGA: 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 Could be some coastal flooding and beach erosion around the 20th somewhere on the East Coast if the Euro control is correct about a possible tropical development under a big high during the full moon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 7 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Lows EWR: 51 NYC: 55 JFK: 57 LGA: 60 I wonder when ewr drops below 55 again? Early October? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 Looks Like Tropical Storm Francine has been formed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 Quickly to a splendid sunny 75 / 44 a near 35 degree recovery. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 A gradual warming trend will commence tomorrow. Exceptional warmth is unlikely through at least the first half of September. The medium-range guidance has shifted toward an extended period of somewhat above to above normal temperatures. Therefore, once the warmth develops, above normal temperatures could persist through at least much of the third week of the month, if not longer. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.1°C for the week centered around September 4. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.30°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.10°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely evolve into a La Niña event during the fall. The SOI was -0.53 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.275 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 51% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal September (1991-2020 normal). September will likely finish with a mean temperature near 69.4° (0.2° above normal). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 78 today. Took the day off tomorrow to steal a boat day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 79/47 split today. A little too cold for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 Records: Highs: EWR: 94 (1964) NYC: 94 (1915) LGA: 93 (2016) JFK: 93 (1959) Lows: EWR: 48 (1938) NYC: 48 (1883) LGA: 53 (1956) JFK: 51 (1986) Historical: 1775: The Independence Hurricane slammed into Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada. Many ships were sunk and buildings demolished. 4,000 people died in what is considered to be Canada's deadliest hurricane disaster. 1821: A tornadic outbreak affected the New England states of Massachusetts, New Hampshire, and Vermont on this day. Five tornadoes reportedly touched down from this event. One storm in New Hampshire had a path width of a half mile and tracked an estimated 23 miles. This tornado killed at least six individuals, which could be the deadliest tornado in New Hampshire history. 1921 - A dying tropical depression unloaded 38.2 inches of rain upon the town of Thrall in southeastern Texas killing 224 persons. 36.4 inches fell in 18 hours. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1944 - The ""Great Atlantic Hurricane"" ravaged the east coast. The storm killed 22 persons and caused 63 million dollars damage in the Chesapeake Bay area, then besieged New England killing 390 persons and causing another 100 million dollars damage. (The Weather Channel) 1965: Hurricane Betsy slammed into New Orleans on the evening of September 9, 1965. 110 mph winds and power failures were reported in New Orleans. The eye of the storm passed to the southwest of New Orleans on a northwesterly track. The northern and western eyewalls covered Southeast Louisiana and the New Orleans area from about 8 PM until 4 AM the next morning. In Thibodaux, winds of 130 mph to 140 mph were reported. The Baton Rouge weather bureau operated under auxiliary power, without telephone communication. 1971 - Hurricane Ginger formed, and remained a hurricane until the 5th of October. The 27 day life span was the longest of record for any hurricane in the North Atlantic Ocean. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather in the central U.S. Thunderstorms in West Texas spawned four tornadoes in the vicinity of Lubbock, and produced baseball size hail and wind gusts to 81 mph at Ropesville. Thunderstorms produced hail two inches in diameter at Downs KS and Harvard NE, breaking car windows at Harvard. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Florence became a hurricane and headed for the Central Gulf Coast Region. Florence made landfall early the next morning, passing over New Orleans LA. Winds gusts to 80 mph were recorded at an oil rig south of the Chandeleur Islands. Wind gusts around New Orleans reached 61 mph. Total property damage from Florence was estimated at 2.5 million dollars. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - The first snow of the season began to whiten the mountains of Wyoming early in the morning, as for two days a moist and unusually cold storm system affected the state. By the morning of the 11th, a foot of snow covered the ground at Burgess Junction. Thunderstorms developing along a cold front crossing the Ohio Valley produced severe weather in Indiana during the late afternoon and early evening hours. Strong thunderstorm winds blew down a tent at Palestine injuring seven persons, and frequent lightning interrupted the Purdue and Miami of Ohio football game, clearing the stands. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2013: Historical rainfall occurred in northern Colorado from September 9 to September 16 and resulted in severe flash flooding along the northern Front Range of Colorado and subsequent river flooding downstream along the S 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted September 10 Share Posted September 10 gonna make the most of this boring-ass weather but this rainpill addict is in withdrawal 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 10 Share Posted September 10 Highs: EWR: 80 JFK: 79 TEB: 79 ACY: 78 PHL: 78 New Brnswck: 78 LGA: 77 BLM: 77 ISP: 76 TTN: 76 NYC: 75 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 10 Share Posted September 10 Looks like a few light showers moving through northern areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 10 Share Posted September 10 4 hours ago, SACRUS said: Highs: EWR: 79 JFK: 79 TEB: 79 ACY: 78 PHL: 78 New Brnswck: 78 LGA: 77 BLM: 77 ISP: 76 TTN: 76 NYC: 75 I think ewr made it to 80 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 10 Share Posted September 10 Maybe our next chance of more widespread rain in about 10 days. Models all over the place with the low positions. They all agree on the big high sitting over the Northeast. But vary on the subtropical or tropical development underneath. These are the highest tides of the month with the full moon so days of onshore flow could lead to potential beach erosion and coastal flooding if the gradient gets tight enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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