yoda Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 4 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: I don't see LWX attached to the watchbox at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 It's a shame this ended up in Pittsburgh lol. I'll enjoy my fast moving low clouds and spotty showers tomorrow. I'm glad I picked up over an inch last night. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 36 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: I’ll put this here since it’s Debby related, but two photos from my current vantage point atop Killington. First is looking north, and the second south. edit: and just as I post this, it starts raining. Awesome. Guess it’s time to grab a drink now with the rain? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 29 minutes ago, yoda said: I don't see LWX attached to the watchbox at all Doesn't LWX have some additional responsibility for the Chesapeake Bay? I might be wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 Current radar looks fun. Love these tropical remnant systems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 2 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: Doesn't LWX have some additional responsibility for the Chesapeake Bay? I might be wrong. The highlighted areas in the watch in the Bay are all under Wakefield's WFO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 General reminder that inland TC tornadoes are highly diurnal 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 11 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: General reminder that inland TC tornadoes are highly diurnal https://caps.ou.edu/reu/reu21/finalpapers/Sloan_FinalPaper.pdf 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 1.7” since Tuesday. 16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 4 minutes ago, mappy said: 1.7” since Tuesday. So good to see you post! Hope all is well! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 6 minutes ago, mappy said: 1.7” since Tuesday. Welcome back! 1.24" storm total so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 The outer rainfall perimeter from Debby has been 5 - 10 miles southeast of my location for 3 hours! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 Raining again at MRB. Now at 5.35” in the past 48 hours there. 6.42” for August. With the main show arriving tonight, it will be interesting to see how high up the list of wettest Augusts the total can reach less than 1/3 of the way through the month. 1955- 9.71” 1942- 8.86” 1954- 7.75” 2018- 7.32” 1978- 7.15” 1928- 7.05” 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxtrix Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 2.75" this week so far. keep it coming. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrlg1181 Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 11 minutes ago, stormy said: The outer rainfall perimeter from Debby has been 5 - 10 miles southeast of my location for 3 hours! Yup been watching that, didn't run into any rain till going up Afton on 250 going to work... Of course raining solidly in Cville... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 5 hours ago, mappy said: 1.7” since Tuesday. Woo! Nice to see you mappy. Some more rain on top of that up our way will be most welcome. Things are trying to re-green… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
katabatic Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 A paltry 2.16" since the first of June and equally pitiful 0.16" in the last 24 hours so I'm hoping the good vibes and radar trends equal a hearty dousing out this way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 Oh 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 41 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: So good to see you post! Hope all is well! Thank you! Been good, busy. Hoping for more rain. 39 minutes ago, dailylurker said: Welcome back! 1.24" storm total so far. Thank you! Your crop looks great btw 10 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: Woo! Nice to see you mappy. Some more rain on top of that up our ear will be most welcome. Things are trying to re-green… Hi friend! Yes, nice to see more green than brown. Was a hot dry softball season until the last week or so. I missed the big heat wave in July though haha 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 26 minutes ago, Jrlg1181 said: Yup been watching that, didn't run into any rain till going up Afton on 250 going to work... Of course raining solidly in Cville... I think I have brainstormed the problem with a little help from the SPC. There has been a slight ridge wedging down the Valley from the northeast and discouraging rainfall moving in from the southeast. It is breaking down and should allow significant periods of rain to move in during the next several hrs. I have my fingers and toes crossed!! First real shower gave me .06 during the past 20 minutes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 Some more consistent rain in the last hour or so in my neck of the woods (northern inside the 495 beltway world). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 A couple of the NC folks in the main thread- I don't get what their posting perspective is. Were they expecting to get more from a minimal TS than: 130,000 outages across the state at peak, numerous fallen trees, damaging tornados, flooded roads (e.g. below from a recent LSR), and major flood stage crests in multiple rivers across the state in a couple of days? Edited to add: Thanks @TSG for explaining that one of them is just always down on the NWS/NHC. 0130 PM Flash Flood 3 NE Rolesville 35.96N 78.43W 08/08/2024 Wake NC Trained Spotter Many streams and creeks continue to flood and several roads remain flooded in northern Wake county. Water was across NC 98 between NC 96 and Moores Pond Road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 This rain is really struggling to move to the NW of the low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 Exactly 1" here since last night. (Herndon, VA) Up to 2.15" for August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 I was out in the garden tieing up the ladies. It's super tropical out there. One minute it's just cloudy, the next it's pouring down rain. It last about 30 seconds and stops. It's pretty cool. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 Latest band forming reminds me of a deformation axis snowband with how it continues to increase reflectivity especially around culpeper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 2 hours ago, MN Transplant said: General reminder that inland TC tornadoes are highly diurnal LWX seems quite concerned about tornadoes overnight in their afternoon AFD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 Afternoon AFD from LWX - note it is long and very detailed Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 402 PM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024 .SYNOPSIS... The remnants of Debby will move through the area tonight into Friday, before passing off toward our northeast on Friday night. Thereafter, high pressure will build over the area into early next week. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/... The latest NHC advisory shows Tropical Storm Debby centered along the North Carolina/South Carolina border. Well off to our northwest, a broad upper trough is centered over the Western Great Lakes and Upper Midwest. Debby`s circulation is starting to feel the influence of that trough well off to our northwest, and is being drawn northward in response. As this interaction with the upstream trough occurs, Debby will also start to turn extratropical in nature. As we move forward in time, the remnants of Debby will track northward through the Shenandoah Valley tonight, before moving northward across Pennsylvania tomorrow. The system should eventually reach upstate New York by tomorrow evening. As the system tracks northward through our area it will produce a number of weather hazards, which are discussed more in-depth below... Heavy Rainfall/Flooding: Current radar imagery shows numerous showers/downpours ongoing in advance of Debby`s main circulation across northern Virginia, Maryland, and the West Virginia Panhandle. These heavier showers are occurring within a warm/moist advection regime ahead of Debby, and are producing very heavy rainfall for brief periods of time. Due to the rather disorganized nature and brief duration of these showers, flooding isn`t anticipated. However, they may lead to brief reduced visibility, or some ponding on roadways. The main precipitation shield associated with Debby is just starting to work into central Virginia, with the heaviest rainfall situated across southern Virginia. The heaviest of these rains will work northward into central Virginia over the next several hours, and continue across central Virginia through at least the first half of the night. The steadiest rains may move to the north of central Virginia during the second half of the night, but more intermittent heavier bursts of convective rainfall may still be possible through the second half of the night. The steadier precipitation shield will spread northward through the Shenandoah Valley and Potomac Highlands through the night. Very heavy rainfall will likely lead to widespread flooding issues tonight from central Virginia northward through the Shenandoah Valley. A rare High Risk for excessive rainfall from WPC has been issued across these areas. The West Virginia Panhandle and western Maryland will also get into the steady, heavy rainfall tonight, with much of it falling during the second half of the night. These locations will likely experiences issues with Flash Flooding during the second half of the night. Overall, a widespread 3-5 inches of rainfall is expected for these locations, with isolated totals up to 7 inches. Locally higher totals approaching 10 inches may be possible along the east facing slopes of the Blue Ridge, where upslope easterly flow may will lead to orographic enhancement of the rain. For those reasons, the above locations are in a Flood Watch for flash flooding from 8 PM tonight through 8 PM tomorrow. Further east, rainfall will be more intermittent and showery along the I-95 corridor tonight as the core of the system passes to the west. As a result, issues with flooding aren`t anticipated overnight. Tomorrow, as the system tracks northward into Pennsylvania, a feeder rainfall band is expected to develop to the south of the circulation and slowly track eastward across locations to the east of the Blue Ridge. Very heavy rainfall may be possible within this band, and could lead to localized instances of flash flooding where training occurs. Confidence in widespread flooding associated with this activity tomorrow morning through mid-afternoon tomorrow remains too low for a Flood Watch, but one may potentially be considered at a later time. For locations further east (outside of the Flood Watch), a broad 1-3 inches of rainfall is expected, with more localized totals up to 5 inches. Rainfall should finally move out of the area late tomorrow afternoon. Tornadoes: There is growing concern that tornadoes may impact portions of the area, especially later this evening into the overnight hours. The zone with an environment most favorable for tornadoes is currently located to our south over southern Virginia and North Carolina. Over time, this environment characterized by ample shear in the low levels, limited instability, and large curved hodographs will lift northward into our area, with tornado potential in central Virginia likely beginning somewhere within the 6-8 PM time window. As the system tracks northward through the night, the area favorable for tornadoes will spread northward through the Shenandoah Valley and into the West Virginia Panhandle. SPC has highlighted these locations in a Slight Risk for severe thunderstorms, driven by tornadoes. With the potential for most of this activity to occur after dark, we encourage people to have a way to receive tornado warnings at night, and to be ready to take shelter in the middle of the night, if needed. The threat for tornadoes may shift eastward tomorrow to locations east of the Blue Ridge within the aforementioned feeder band that will develop to the south of the circulation as it tracks into Pennsylvania. Any tornado potential tomorrow would likely be maximized during the morning to early afternoon hours. SPC has upgraded the Baltimore area to a Slight Risk for severe thunderstorms tomorrow, with the threat being driven by both tornadoes and damaging straight line winds. Overall, 0-1 km SRH is lower compared to overnight, so that may lead to a slightly lower tornado potential than overnight, but chances for straight line winds will be increased as limited heating and destabilization occurs ahead of the convective line. Background winds: Outside of any thunderstorms, winds may gust to around 30-40 mph at times, especially during the daylight hours to the east of the Blue Ridge. This may be enough to bring down a few trees with saturated soil conditions, but is below the Wind Advisory threshold of 40 knots/46 mph. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 0.75" already at IAD since noon. This first batch of spotty cells definitely has winners. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted August 8 Share Posted August 8 Just got back from WV. Lots of downpours along I70, radar not doing it justice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now