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Potential POCKETS 5+, at most MAX 12" rain by 18z Sunday. Suggest OBS Tue-Sunday only when exceeding 5". Already at 12z/Wed "tiny" pockets 5-7" I195 NNJ/NYC area


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15 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Is that it? 0.02 at home, over 2 inches 2 miles away. 

HRRR/RAP say there should be a lot coming later today/tonight and there’s a lot of T-storm activity over PA. Just have to see what happens. Many ways a summer T-storm relying rain event can fail. 

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1 minute ago, jm1220 said:

HRRR/RAP say there should be a lot coming later today/tonight and there’s a lot of T-storm activity over PA. Just have to see what happens. Many ways a summer T-storm relying rain event can fail. 

yep it builds back north this evening if the model is to be believed.  

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You can see the northward drift on that line over Mercer, Southern Middlesex and northern Monmouth Counties. It also looks like storms might be trying to develop just north of that line of training storms so areas further north should start to get into it over the next couple of hours. We'll see.

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10 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Nam has some spots over 6" by tonight in central nj

That's quite a line of heavy rain to our south with training going on. We'll have to see if the models are right about new storms forming over our area in the next 1 to 2 hours. Looks like it should happen. 

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8 minutes ago, psv88 said:

I hear non stop thunder from those storms up here in Melville. Sounds like a war 

It’s been wild, but virtually no wind. Seems to be over, but still a truly classic summer TS. Shout out to Mother Nature for putting on a great show 

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9 minutes ago, Rmine1 said:

It’s been wild, but virtually no wind. Seems to be over, but still a truly classic summer TS. Shout out to Mother Nature for putting on a great show 

We got some nice gusts on the backside here in Lindenhurst interestingly enough, probably around 40 mph or so, when it first came in there wasn’t much wind

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3 minutes ago, bluewave said:

3.00” radar estimates in the Gilgo and Oak Beach area.

 

Sounds legit. The storms really blew up as they pushed through here, which is in relatively close proximity to Gilgo and Oak. 

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