Potential POCKETS 5+, at most MAX 12" rain by 18z Sunday. Suggest OBS Tue-Sunday only when exceeding 5". Already at 12z/Wed "tiny" pockets 5-7" I195 NNJ/NYC area

[Allsnow]

Euro is further west with the remnants of Debbie Saturday 

[Allsnow]

[Brian5671]

4 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

GFS and Euro now fairly run of the mill for rainfall around here 3-4 inches over 5 days won't cause that much in the way of trouble...and the west trend may not be done yet

[MJO812]

11 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

GFS and Euro now fairly run of the mill for rainfall around here 3-4 inches over 5 days won't cause that much in the way of trouble...and the west trend may not be done yet

Run of the mill isn't 4 inches 

[Neblizzard]

11 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

GFS and Euro now fairly run of the mill for rainfall around here 3-4 inches over 5 days won't cause that much in the way of trouble...and the west trend may not be done yet

Id gladly take that.   Why root for copious amounts of rain in such a short time?

[Brian5671]

7 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Run of the mill isn't 4 inches 

For a tropical system?   Not really a big deal over several days other than some urban or small stream issues....  7 or 10 inches like earlier runs yes.    Need to watch for trends but today has shown a west and quicker trend....notice the 20 inch totals in GA/SC have reduced now that the storm will move out of there quicker.

[MANDA]

Latest WPC holding steady with excessive totals.  Thankfully this is spread out over a few days but even so river flooding could be major concern.

[winterwx21]

21 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Euro is further west with the remnants of Debbie Saturday 

We'll have to see if we're starting a west trend with the very big rain amounts staying to the west in PA. That's what I'm hoping for. A nice 2 to 3 inch soaking would be good, but I don't want a major flooding event around here. 

[Rtd208]

[Brian5671]

4 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

We'll have to see if we're starting a west trend with the very big rain amounts staying to the west in PA. That's what I'm hoping for. A nice 2 to 3 inch soaking would be good, but I don't want a major flooding event around here. 

and many do not carry flood insurance so a crazy event of 10 inches would cause alot of hardship.

[MANDA]

9 minutes ago, Rtd208 said:

Concerning look.

[Allsnow]

33 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

GFS and Euro now fairly run of the mill for rainfall around here 3-4 inches over 5 days won't cause that much in the way of trouble...and the west trend may not be done yet

Yup. You’re are probably watering the lawn by this weekend in CT 

[Brian5671]

1 minute ago, Allsnow said:

Yup. You’re are probably watering the lawn by this weekend in CT 

Not quite but if this tracks up through PA the PRE event would likely be the bigger of the 2 events for those east of the track

[doncat]

[jm1220]

15 minutes ago, Rtd208 said:

If the center is over Trenton NJ like that it would be very heavy rain for the Poconos/Catskills, a Tropical Storm Lee type scenario. All that high PW air would slam into the front west of the storm plus orographic lift and give them big problems. 

[Brian5671]

Just now, jm1220 said:

If the center is over Trenton NJ like that it would be very heavy rain for the Poconos/Catskills, a Tropical Storm Lee type scenario. All that high PW air would slam into the front west of the storm plus orographic lift and give them big problems. 

Vermont is waterlogged already-Lee was a disaster up there-this would be as bad if not worse

[Big Jims Videos]

Very glad this thread was started to follow along without having to wade through the disaster that is the tropical threads.  Can a mod jump in and help out over there please? Thanks! Also growing concerned for tomorrow along 195 corridor.  

[Rtd208]

[Rtd208]

[Brian5671]

Flood watch extended north into all of Upton's forecast area

[Allsnow]

Ext HRRR is wild 

[forkyfork]

3 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Ext HRRR is wild 

 

[WestBabylonWeather]

Probably over done here in Long Island as usual lately. I hope this storm gets kicked away also 

[uofmiami]

Here's latest from OKX before Debby's remnants get to us:

[jm1220]

3 minutes ago, uofmiami said:

Here's latest from OKX before Debby's remnants get to us:

Still parts of the south shore that missed out on the recent rain, hopefully they do well. 

[Allsnow]

Wow 

 

 

[steve392]

Anything like IDA will suck for my area.  So many low lying areas.  Everything is already Saturated too. 

 

What are winds looking like during this time frame? 

[MJO812]

[MJO812]

0z

[Allsnow]