NeffsvilleWx Posted August 4, 2024 Share Posted August 4, 2024 Band going through the space coast is decent. Sitting under our lanai porch enjoying the show. didnt bother dropping the hurricane fabric for this one. But next time I might close a few panels just so I have a more rain-protected space to hang out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted August 4, 2024 Share Posted August 4, 2024 43 minutes ago, TPAwx said: Waterspout coming onshore Oooops, it must have become a tornado based on the power outage map. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted August 4, 2024 Share Posted August 4, 2024 VHTs going up. Wouldn’t be surprised to see an eye try to pop. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted August 4, 2024 Share Posted August 4, 2024 Banding is good but structure looks pretty rough still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 4, 2024 Author Share Posted August 4, 2024 There’s no nuance on Twitter (and sometimes here) too. A lot of people think RI means a doom scenario TS to cat 4, but there are plenty of instances like this one where you go from a minimal TS to a higher end one or whatever. We talk about categories and wind, but retirement of this name will hinge on the extent of rainfall along the coast and inland. Hard for a lot of folks to be objective (not throwing shade, it is what it is). 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cptcatz Posted August 4, 2024 Share Posted August 4, 2024 Recon taking off in a tropical storm... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted August 4, 2024 Share Posted August 4, 2024 6 minutes ago, Prospero said: Oooops, it must have become a tornado based on the power outage map. Here is one weather station that was paying attention: 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NotSureWeather Posted August 4, 2024 Share Posted August 4, 2024 Looks like NHC was off by about 50 miles to the actual center. Can probably adjust the track accordingly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
senc30 Posted August 4, 2024 Share Posted August 4, 2024 9 minutes ago, NotSureWeather said: Looks like NHC was off by about 50 miles to the actual center. Can probably adjust the track accordingly. Which way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted August 4, 2024 Share Posted August 4, 2024 looks like its going fairly northeast now no? early? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted August 4, 2024 Share Posted August 4, 2024 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seminole Posted August 4, 2024 Share Posted August 4, 2024 2 minutes ago, senc30 said: Which way? The 5:00 PM Advisory had Debby at 84.4 W and now it appears she is at 84.1 W. Definitely a turn to NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cptcatz Posted August 4, 2024 Share Posted August 4, 2024 1 minute ago, wthrmn654 said: looks like its going fairly northeast now no? early? Yeah, radar with the eye now makes it easy to see it's direction. Definitely northeast. This path looks like it would take it between Ocala and Gainesville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seminole Posted August 4, 2024 Share Posted August 4, 2024 2 minutes ago, wthrmn654 said: looks like its going fairly northeast now no? early? NNE and maybe a tad ahead of schedule. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted August 4, 2024 Share Posted August 4, 2024 Just now, cptcatz said: Yeah, radar with the eye now makes it easy to see it's direction. Definitely northeast. This path looks like it would take it between Ocala and Gainesville. if that's correct based on track overlay its east of nhc track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted August 4, 2024 Share Posted August 4, 2024 1 second got a gif map with overlay loading.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted August 4, 2024 Share Posted August 4, 2024 i think its located at 84 W 28N roughly speaking.. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 4, 2024 Author Share Posted August 4, 2024 6 minutes ago, senc30 said: Which way? Bear in mind though that you look to long range heading for landfalling TCs because wobbles are natural. Center fixes from recon will be extremely helpful. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted August 4, 2024 Share Posted August 4, 2024 weather channel just commented on the east jog.. wobble and come back west or is it eastish now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seminole Posted August 4, 2024 Share Posted August 4, 2024 5 minutes ago, wthrmn654 said: i think its located at 84 W 28N roughly speaking.. 100% on the coordinates. The 8:00 PM Advisory will likely confirm this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
batmanbrad Posted August 4, 2024 Share Posted August 4, 2024 during the last 1/2 hour a big blob of convection developed just about right at 84W and just a pinch north of 28N... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Normandy Posted August 4, 2024 Share Posted August 4, 2024 Substantial velocity increases. No doubt it's in an RI cycle now. enjoy the show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted August 4, 2024 Share Posted August 4, 2024 This board goes through the same sequence every storm. Wobbles are normal. Direction evens out over time. 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seminole Posted August 4, 2024 Share Posted August 4, 2024 3 minutes ago, batmanbrad said: during the last 1/2 hour a big blob of convection developed just about right at 84W and just a pinch north of 28N... Debby is starting to enter the West Florida GOM shelf. Sea depth will get shallower the rest of the way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted August 4, 2024 Share Posted August 4, 2024 Holy moly is the St Pete area getting slammed. Close to 10” already just south near Sarasota. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted August 4, 2024 Share Posted August 4, 2024 Definitely improving structure but dry air is certainly entrained. Watch how unstable the eyewall is. Certainly seems like the storm has developed a solid core but until the dry air it sucked in earlier is fully mixed out I don’t see this strengthening too much. That can happen quick though- see Beryl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted August 4, 2024 Share Posted August 4, 2024 per the tracking she should be between 84-85 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Normandy Posted August 4, 2024 Share Posted August 4, 2024 5 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Holy moly is the St Pete area getting slammed. Close to 10” already just south near Sarasota. Big rainfall totals will be seen there. Debby has a tail that is long and will train over Tampa as it moves NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted August 4, 2024 Share Posted August 4, 2024 this was at 21z so its now nearly 23z pretty much lines up with an easterly look.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted August 4, 2024 Share Posted August 4, 2024 also it looks like it went directly over a buoy or very dang close to one and its still working.. 28.501 N 84.508 W (28°30'3" N 84°30'30" W) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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