wthrmn654 Posted August 4 Share Posted August 4 Just now, NotSureWeather said: I honestly like the posts and all the graphics they are sharing. I would recommend however maybe consolidating 3 or 4 one image posts into one big one instead. Yeah, I didn't wanna overload anyone cellphones by doing that but I might. Depends on time etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Normandy Posted August 4 Share Posted August 4 6 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: I freaking love watching these things strengthen inside radar range. We’ve gotten to see every stage of this one’s development on US radar. Excellent weather entertainment. This definitely looks like a hurricane now and one that’s wrapping up quickly Yep. A long loop can be created documenting all phases. genesis, vortex coupling, failed and successful intensification attempts, and finally now its RI cycle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted August 4 Share Posted August 4 Still a lot to resolve wrt track 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NotSureWeather Posted August 4 Share Posted August 4 45 minutes ago, wthrmn654 said: Yeah, I didn't wanna overload anyone cellphones by doing that but I might. Depends on time etc. it’s generally how most posters will do multiple images. I would not worry about the data, it’s 2024, most people have unlimited 5G. edit - I put it I would instead of would not accidentally. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NotSureWeather Posted August 4 Share Posted August 4 2 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: Still a lot to resolve wrt track Can’t believe the spread of models this close in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NotSureWeather Posted August 4 Share Posted August 4 Looking like it’s worked through most of the dry air and definitely have a pretty defined center now. No eye yet which according to that one guy that’s not even possible. So no worries in regards to an eye forming. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Normandy Posted August 4 Share Posted August 4 Really starting to crank now. Velocities on radar starting to increase. multiple convective blow ups occurring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted August 4 Share Posted August 4 4 minutes ago, Normandy said: Really starting to crank now. Velocities on radar starting to increase. multiple convective blow ups occurring. Oh my! I see so much dry air coming in! It may bring the end of the constant rain where I live (arrow). The wind is picking up and at some point the tide will come in. Yet we may even see some sky tonight before it gets dark. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seminole Posted August 4 Share Posted August 4 NHC left Debby at 65 mph for 5:00 PM advisory. No pressure change noted by the HH. Another recon in a couple of hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NotSureWeather Posted August 4 Share Posted August 4 11 minutes ago, Prospero said: Oh my! I see so much dry air coming in! It may bring the end of the constant rain where I live (arrow). The wind is picking up and at some point the tide will come in. Yet we may even see some sky tonight before it gets dark. I think you will see most of that fill in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted August 4 Share Posted August 4 2 minutes ago, NotSureWeather said: I think you will see most of that fill in. Being pounded right now. Best TS in the past few years for watching. https://thegabber.com/gulfport-casino-web-cam/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted August 4 Share Posted August 4 Just now, Prospero said: Being pounded right now. Best TS in the past few years for watching. One of the amazing things about this storm is that it is happening on a Sunday during the day. The last daytime storm I can remember might be Debby from 2012. At least a dozen Tropical Storms and Hurricanes have passed by here after dark which is no fun to watch. All day since I woke up I have been watching and enjoying the wind and rain. Tonight will likely be worse, but at least I got to see the sideways rain and our trees dance. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seminole Posted August 4 Share Posted August 4 4 minutes ago, Prospero said: The last daytime storm I can remember might be Debby from 2012. My son was 14 in 2012 and we were vacationing at Pink Shell Resort in Ft. Myers Beach. He made is Weather Channel debut when they showed a live shot of him bouncing around on a water trampoline in the middle of that Debby. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted August 4 Share Posted August 4 1 hour ago, Prospero said: Strongest band of the day over us right now. If it were not for Duke Energy replacing all the poles in town last year after Idalia, our power would already be out for days. As it is right now, if we do not lose power tonight me and my wife will be very happy indeed! We have our flashlights and battery operated fans on hand. The fridge is stocked with beer to be cold. In fact, I will restock what I have had this afternoon... Wooo doggie! It's a blowin' out there! If Houston gets unlucky, at least some of the poles are new, and they had out of state tree cutting crews. Back when CenterPoint was part of REliant HL&P, I'd see tree trimming crews cutting limbs close to power lines, but that stopped at least a decade ago. That Debby is now wrapping moisture around the entire core, now is the time for intensification, even RI. 1 hour ago, wthrmn654 said: She moist in the center now 6.2 µm - "Upper-level Water Vapor" Band - 2 km resolution 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted August 4 Share Posted August 4 At this point, with a defined core and recon data, I'd go consensus of HWRF and the two HAFS for track and intensity. Of course, they are wildly out of agreement with each other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted August 4 Share Posted August 4 4 minutes ago, Ed, snow and hurricane fan said: That Debby is now wrapping moisture around the entire core, now is the time for intensification, even RI. Feels like intensification here. During the next break in rain I'll go out and close the remaining two hurricane shutters facing west that I did not expect we'd need to close. But late tonight when the winds change direction there may be some debris flying around. I am sure the storm surge tomorrow will open some eyes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TPAwx Posted August 4 Share Posted August 4 Waterspout coming onshore 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seminole Posted August 4 Share Posted August 4 1 minute ago, TPAwx said: Waterspout coming onshore High density population right there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted August 4 Share Posted August 4 1 minute ago, TPAwx said: Waterspout coming onshore TS conditions at Albert Whitted Airport downtown St. Petersburg, FL: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted August 4 Share Posted August 4 8 minutes ago, TPAwx said: Waterspout coming onshore Looks like Johns Pass! https://www.hubbardsmarina.com/johnspasscamera/ Good thing they cleared everybody out earlier! https://www.wfla.com/news/pinellas-county/johns-pass-clears-of-people-as-flooding-moves-in-ahead-of-tropical-storm-debby/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbullsfan Posted August 4 Share Posted August 4 Some light rain and wind here, I’m at work over in the new port Richey area now. Wind picks up here and there but haven’t seen any big rain bands since around 1230 and nothing that would cause any leaves or branches to come off trees. Seems isolated to the coast. We are about 15-20 miles inland here. Supposedly it’s supposed to pick up over the next few hours but we will see. Still seems like most of the heavy stuff has been to the south and off the coast . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted August 4 Share Posted August 4 We have an eye? https://www.wunderground.com/wundermap?radar=1&wxstn=0&wxstnmode=tw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NotSureWeather Posted August 4 Share Posted August 4 4 minutes ago, Prospero said: We have an eye? https://www.wunderground.com/wundermap?radar=1&wxstn=0&wxstnmode=tw Was just coming to say visible looks like it’s trying to clear a center and get the inner walls going. It has had the circulation for a bit on radar but it’s been unable to clear a center or get the souther part going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 4 Author Share Posted August 4 3 minutes ago, Prospero said: We have an eye? https://www.wunderground.com/wundermap?radar=1&wxstn=0&wxstnmode=tw It looks like it. The organizational trend has been consistent through the day after the earlier dry air intrusion. Still don’t quite have deep convection fully wrapped but that’s probably not as much as an inhibitor as earlier. Meanwhile on the model front the GFS keeps driving this well south of other guidance. Very big spread at a fairly short lead. They’re going in opposite directions lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted August 4 Share Posted August 4 Intense here right now. https://thegabber.com/gulfport-florida-beach-webcam/ 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
senc30 Posted August 4 Share Posted August 4 8 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: It looks like it. The organizational trend has been consistent through the day after the earlier dry air intrusion. Still don’t quite have deep convection fully wrapped but that’s probably not as much as an inhibitor as earlier. Meanwhile on the model front the GFS keeps driving this well south of other guidance. Very big spread at a fairly short lead. They’re going in opposite directions lol. That is a massive difference between them. Crazy to think with it being this close to landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted August 4 Share Posted August 4 Feels like a lot of weenie casting on Twitter about RI. People know we can have just run of the mill cat 1s right? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Normandy Posted August 4 Share Posted August 4 Yea its about to get nasty. Big tower coming in. eyewall developing on radar. Gainesville might get a very good hit from this (think houston in beryl). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 4 Author Share Posted August 4 1 minute ago, senc30 said: That is a massive difference between them. Crazy to think with it being this close to landfall. It’s pretty unusual. The NHC track tells us where we think this is headed though. I really do think it’s a close call on whether this gets back into the Atlantic long enough and in a structural condition that allows for meaningful reintensification. Where this makes landfall I. Florida probably has downstream impacts for the Carolinas. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NotSureWeather Posted August 4 Share Posted August 4 4 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said: Feels like a lot of weenie casting on Twitter about RI. People know we can have just run of the mill cat 1s right? It could get there though. Especially if it succeeds in establishing an eye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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