wthrmn654 Posted August 7 Share Posted August 7 Looks like tracks are are shifting back east after it starts heading north again lol talk about back and forth... jeez. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted August 7 Share Posted August 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted August 7 Share Posted August 7 This thing really rotted out. Not sure how any of these totals verify in NC. 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted August 7 Share Posted August 7 4 minutes ago, eyewall said: This thing really rotted out. Not sure how any of these totals verify in NC. I'm thinking it will juice back up a little once it spends some time over the water... plus the interaction with the inverted trough. Looks like heavy bands rotate through tomorrow night. I could see 4-8" easily where the heavy bands train. Precipitable water data backs this up. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted August 7 Share Posted August 7 11 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: I'm thinking it will juice back up a little once it spends some time over the water... plus the interaction with the inverted trough. Looks like heavy bands rotate through tomorrow night. I could see 4-8" easily where the heavy bands train. Precipitable water data backs this up. Yeah I mean think of the most extreme example, Harvey. Obviously a totally different situation, but most of the extreme rainfall fell after if dropped to a weak TS/TD. I remember reading somewhere that the majority of fresh water flooding from TCs comes from TSs and TDs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted August 7 Share Posted August 7 latest HRRR still shows Wake in the 4-6" range between now and 2PM Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted August 7 Share Posted August 7 Looks like Charleston or somewhere just north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted August 7 Share Posted August 7 Definitely shifted back east a little. Not surprising. It is getting picked up quicker by that trough to the north which also explains the speeding up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted August 7 Share Posted August 7 20 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: Yeah I mean think of the most extreme example, Harvey. Obviously a totally different situation, but most of the extreme rainfall fell after if dropped to a weak TS/TD. I remember reading somewhere that the majority of fresh water flooding from TCs comes from TSs and TDs Thats it Lets get that trough to pick Deb up and get her out of the Southeast. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted August 7 Share Posted August 7 Slowly but steadily getting more convection near the center. Still looks hollowed out to infinity but it's over water now so we'll see what happens. NHC has it getting to 50 knots again, I personally would be kinda surprised if that happens. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted August 7 Share Posted August 7 I am on a flight back to RDU from Atlanta as of this post and it is quite bumpy. Came out of the seat twice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calm_days Posted August 7 Share Posted August 7 3 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: Yeah I mean think of the most extreme example, Harvey. Obviously a totally different situation, but most of the extreme rainfall fell after if dropped to a weak TS/TD. I remember reading somewhere that the majority of fresh water flooding from TCs comes from TSs and TDs Yes; it's somewhat similar to this too https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tropical_Storm_Lee_(2011) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted August 7 Share Posted August 7 1130pm Video on Debby for anyone interestedhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BWBXgQ1kXA4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrlg1181 Posted August 7 Share Posted August 7 2 hours ago, olafminesaw said: Yeah I mean think of the most extreme example, Harvey. Obviously a totally different situation, but most of the extreme rainfall fell after if dropped to a weak TS/TD. I remember reading somewhere that the majority of fresh water flooding from TCs comes from TSs and TDs Not much compares to the horrors Camille caused in Nelson County VA in about 6 hours back in 69 - nearly a years worth of rain in the mountains in the overnight hours.. At that point she was just a remnant tropical low but other meteorological factors came into play that night... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marsman Posted August 7 Share Posted August 7 Lumber river forecast off the chart: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted August 7 Share Posted August 7 14 hours ago, GaWx said: As the Debby center moved to the SE offshore finally putting us on the backside, winds picked up and steady mainly moderate rains resumed about 1.5 hours ago after little rain since late last night. I had been at ~8.5” for the storm before this. We’ll see how much gets added from this and more to come tonight. Further to the above’s 8.5”, I’ve gotten an additional 1.8” since ~6PM yesterday for an updated total so far of ~10.3”, easily the largest amount from a single event since Matthew of early Oct of 2016. There’s still on and off light rain falling and it’s breezy here on the backside. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted August 7 Share Posted August 7 1 hour ago, marsman said: Lumber river forecast off the chart: Lumberton is prone to severe flooding, I hope that projection is wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 7 Author Share Posted August 7 Stronger at 11am. Seeing convection start to go up closer to the center but time and a broad center are limiting factors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted August 7 Share Posted August 7 10 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Stronger at 11am. Seeing convection start to go up closer to the center but time and a broad center are limiting factors. Wow, up to 60mph, I wasn't expecting that at all after the NHC reduced landfall strength to 50mph 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted August 7 Share Posted August 7 I am so far not impressed with what I am seeing in terms of rain bands out there. I am guessing they will reduce rain totals as the day goes on. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 7 Author Share Posted August 7 Visible 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted August 7 Share Posted August 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted August 7 Share Posted August 7 Giant nothing burger.. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted August 7 Share Posted August 7 The east side is definitely juicing up more and radar returns, as well as radar models, are also increasing and beefing back up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted August 7 Share Posted August 7 It's really picked up speed. At this rate she will make landfall by late afternoon/early evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted August 7 Share Posted August 7 26 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: It's really picked up speed. At this rate she will make landfall by late afternoon/early evening Watch it try right at the end to dodge the land before finally going onshore 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted August 7 Share Posted August 7 12 hours ago, Jrlg1181 said: Not much compares to the horrors Camille caused in Nelson County VA in about 6 hours back in 69 - nearly a years worth of rain in the mountains in the overnight hours.. At that point she was just a remnant tropical low but other meteorological factors came into play that night... Was this the event that did a 1,000 year carve out of river beds? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted August 7 Share Posted August 7 1 hour ago, SENC said: Giant nothing burger.. Not a mope thread 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted August 7 Share Posted August 7 12Z UKMET: Whereas the 0Z went in just NE of CHS, the 12Z is a little further NE ~midway between CHS and Georgetown. Then goes NNW to near Charlotte then turns NNE to inland in the NE US:TROPICAL STORM DEBBY ANALYSED POSITION : 32.0N 79.4WATCF IDENTIFIER : AL042024LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WINDVERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------1200UTC 07.08.2024 0 32.0N 79.4W 996 360000UTC 08.08.2024 12 32.6N 79.3W 995 321200UTC 08.08.2024 24 33.6N 79.5W 997 340000UTC 09.08.2024 36 34.7N 80.6W 999 321200UTC 09.08.2024 48 37.8N 79.9W 999 310000UTC 10.08.2024 60 42.2N 76.6W 996 341200UTC 10.08.2024 72 47.1N 70.2W 990 340000UTC 11.08.2024 84 49.7N 64.9W 989 371200UTC 11.08.2024 96 50.0N 57.0W 992 350000UTC 12.08.2024 108 CEASED TRACKING 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted August 7 Share Posted August 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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