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August Discobs 2024


JenkinsJinkies
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2 hours ago, toolsheds said:

Heard thunder and checked radar.  Have a little pop up  heading our way from Frederick along 70. 

20 minutes ago, mattie g said:

Got nicked by that little popup line about 30 minutes ago or so. Pleasant little surprise that should make things really f'ing muggy soon enough!

Same...we actually had a little thundery preview just before 9 a.m. and then the stronger cell that just nicked mattie just passed through here. Trying to figure out if that cell currently over Tysons is going to develop southward for Round #3 this morning -- I wouldn't be surprised, as the sky has that cheesy, yellow/grey-ish look all around us still.

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1 hour ago, George BM said:

This mornings convection appears to be developing off of an EML between ~850-750mb. 750mb fits pretty closely with where the cloud bases have been. (8,000+ft)

SPC mesoanalysis definitely has a bit of a remnant EML overhead.

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Also FWIW 

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
1156 AM EDT Thu Aug 29 2024

VAZ025>031-037>040-050-051-055-056-501-502-505>508-526-527-WVZ052-
053-300000-
/O.CON.KLWX.FA.A.0023.240829T1900Z-240830T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Augusta-Rockingham-Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Page-Warren-Clarke-
Albemarle-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock-Orange-Culpeper-Stafford-
Spotsylvania-Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier-Western Loudoun-
Eastern Loudoun-Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-Central Virginia
Blue Ridge-Northwest Prince William-Central and Southeast Prince
William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Berkeley-Jefferson-
Including the cities of Sterling, Ashburn, Strasburg, New Market,
Madison, Turnbull, Haymarket, Staunton, Orange, Gordonsville,
Berryville, Washington, Lake Ridge, Martinsburg, Stuarts Draft,
Stanardsville, Luray, Wintergreen, Front Royal, Warrenton,
Harrisonburg, Woodbridge, Winchester, Shepherdstown, Charles
Town, Manassas, Culpeper, Falmouth, Leesburg, Mount Jackson,
Woodstock, Big Meadows, Montclair, Shenandoah, Charlottesville,
Fredericksburg, Dale City, Purcellville, Stanley, and Waynesboro
1156 AM EDT Thu Aug 29 2024

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be
  possible.

* WHERE...Portions of Virginia, including the following areas,
  Albemarle, Augusta, Central Virginia Blue Ridge, Central and
  Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park, Clarke, Culpeper,
  Eastern Loudoun, Frederick VA, Greene, Madison, Northern Fauquier,
  Northern Virginia Blue Ridge, Northwest Prince William, Orange,
  Page, Rappahannock, Rockingham, Shenandoah, Southern Fauquier,
  Spotsylvania, Stafford, Warren and Western Loudoun and panhandle
  West Virginia, including the following areas, Berkeley and
  Jefferson.

* WHEN...From 3 PM EDT this afternoon through this evening.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers,
  creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - Widespread thunderstorms are expected this afternoon into
    this evening. These thunderstorms will be capable of
    producing very heavy rainfall, with localized rainfall totals
    of two to four inches possible within a one to two hour
    period. This may result in flash flooding of small streams
    and creeks as well as urban and poor drainage areas.
  - Please visit www.weather.gov/safety/flood for flood safety
    and preparedness information
 
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Today demolished the multi-decade record for consecutive days with increasing daily minimum temp at my station. The old count (prior to this stretch) was 5, the new count is 8. I do not expect to ever see a longer such stretch here.
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For the Western folk

 

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 663
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
355 PM EDT THU AUG 29 2024

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 663 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

MDC001-013-017-021-023-027-031-033-043-300300-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0663.240829T1955Z-240830T0300Z/

MD
.    MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALLEGANY             CARROLL             CHARLES
FREDERICK            GARRETT             HOWARD
MONTGOMERY           PRINCE GEORGES      WASHINGTON
$$
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14 minutes ago, yoda said:

Pop up storm right over me

Yeah. My wife just got off work in the Hayfield area about 20 min ago and asked me if she had time to make a return at Springfield Town Center. Since the storm was mostly stationary around Centreville (based on radar at that point) I said, SURE! Now the T&L and heavier rain has quickly built in SE from the Centreville storm and STC (and her) are probably smack dab in the middle of it. Boy...am I gonna hear about THAT one.

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