Modfan2 Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 Back building continues, not good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 25 mile long stretch of 8-11” of rain from Wilton to Oxford. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 Looks like that’s going propogate across the rest of CT this evening 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 Amazing the number of locally excessive rainfall events we have seen over the past 2 or 3 years across the Northeast. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 8 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Ehhh the signals were there for a lot of rain. Mentioned that Friday but everyone was too busy worried about a fake tropical threat and the colors of 8-14D WPC maps Eh. Nws had .1-.25 as of 10am this morning with locally more in t storms. I guess locally stretches that range to 10”…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 Backbuilding again 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 1 minute ago, FXWX said: Amazing the number of locally excessive rainfall events we have seen over the past 2 or 3 years across the Northeast. To the extent that FFEs are new, I think most of them have happened in recent memory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 Look at the stuff coming up south of LI ti merge with the CT rains. Long night ahead 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 I’m listening to "Lower Naugatuck Valley Fire and EMS" using the Scanner Radio app. You can listen to it by going to https://scannerradio.app/?l=MjE4MzA 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Eh. Nws had .1-.25 as of 10am this morning with locally more in t storms. I guess locally stretches that range to 10”…. I didn't read any discussions or forecasts for today/tomorrow so not sure what the communication on it was. Granted I didn't look heavily myself but on Friday I thought the signals were there for "alot of rain". But these events are extremely challenging to forecast. I am not sure if you can even really forecast something like (especially to pin-point locally) this well in-advance just because of the mesoscale factors that tend to be in play. I mean how can you really pin-point exactly where training will occur, what rates will be, and the duration of those rates? Similar with winter storms...can be impossible to figure out exactly where that narrow band of intense snow/totals will occur until you see the pieces lining up. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 Sort of surprised news channels haven’t broken in, things not good and still pouring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 30 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: So, what are the dynamics causing this? Doesn’t seem that humid and wouldn’t think a cold front would dump this much rain? Go the SPC meso analysis page and scroll through the upper air section and the heavy rainfall section... deep-layered southerly flow with high values of precipitable water converging into southwest and southern CT on into parts of central CT... Note the Precipitation potential placement image... 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 3 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: Sort of surprised news channels haven’t broken in, things not good and still pouring There should be a CNN crew or Cantore showing up...Round two backbuilding at this moment. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: I didn't read any discussions or forecasts for today/tomorrow so not sure what the communication on it was. Granted I didn't look heavily myself but on Friday I thought the signals were there for "alot of rain". But these events are extremely challenging to forecast. I am not sure if you can even really forecast something like (especially to pin-point locally) this well in-advance just because of the mesoscale factors that tend to be in play. I mean how can you really pin-point exactly where training will occur, what rates will be, and the duration of those rates? Similar with winter storms...can be impossible to figure out exactly where that narrow band of intense snow/totals will occur until you see the pieces lining up. I get that At a high level but we’ve had flood watches that fail from synoptics events while today is causing loss of property and life without a single word of potential flooding before the rain got going. Not one. I’m not blaming them but to act like this isnt a public bust for a fairly populated zone is also being disingenuous. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I get that At a high level but we’ve had flood watches that fail from synoptics events while today is causing loss of property and life without a single word of potential flooding before the rain got going. Not one. I’m not blaming them but to act like this isnt a public bust for a fairly populated zone is also being disingenuous. I think there have been some discussions in the past on here about flood watches and communication on potential for flooding. I totally get what you're saying. We often see flood watches and here about potential for flooding but 99.999% of the time its really just some poor drainage flooding or a handful of roads with ponding. I think how flooding potential is communicated (prior and during) needs to be heavily revisited. Flood watches/flash flood watches get tossed around way too much and there really is no discriminator between something that may be extremely localized to something which may be more widespread. Even for convective you have PDS wording to discriminate between higher end potential. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 14 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Look at the stuff coming up south of LI ti merge with the CT rains. Long night ahead 8 minutes ago, FXWX said: Go the SPC meso analysis page and scroll through the upper air section and the heavy rainfall section... deep-layered southerly flow with high values of precipitable water converging into southwest and southern CT on into parts of central CT... Note the Precipitation potential placement image... Not sure what’s going to happen here, but I’m definitely watching what’s coming up from the Sound. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 Once in 1000 year event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 Sirens going nuts along 84. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 Housatonic at Stevenson has gone from 2.68ft to just under 17ft (mid flood) in 3.5 hours. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 Rescues starting to happen with people trapped in cars 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 2 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: Rescues starting to happen with people trapped in cars Just dropped my mom off back home and I saw a chicken coop floating down the Nonnewaug. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 Brother in New Britain said lightning hit something close by. Looks like it was between 0.3 and 0.5 miles away per Radarscope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 Absolute pouring with thunder. Looks like More to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 Back building big time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: Back building big time. Yeah, and then that line of storms advancing from the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 1 minute ago, Patrick-02540 said: Yeah, and then that line of storms advancing from the west. Yes sir. And who needs Ernesto…we got our own massive rain event happening out of pretty much nowhere today. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 One of the most colossal busts in CT history . Absolutely mind blowing 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 14 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Yes sir. And who needs Ernesto…we got our own massive rain event happening out of pretty much nowhere today. Yup. Probably wouldn't get this much water with Ernie anyway. Our cars and chicken coops may have washed away, but we still have our homes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cardinalland Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 Lower Naugatuck Fire and EMS radio - reporting a bridge collapse over a stream in Oxford CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted August 18 Share Posted August 18 From Panera's in Southbury looking NNW. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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