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August "Ughust" 2024 Obs/Disco


Torch Tiger
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looking forward to this next week

 

Tuesday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 69. North wind 6 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tuesday Night
A chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 52. North wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Wednesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 69. Northwest wind 5 to 7 mph.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 53. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 71. West wind 3 to 6 mph.
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5 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

looking forward to this next week

 

Tuesday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 69. North wind 6 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tuesday Night
A chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 52. North wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Wednesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 69. Northwest wind 5 to 7 mph.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 53. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 71. West wind 3 to 6 mph.

Looks awesome. But beware, the torch is coming! Or so some say. But they've been saying that since beginning of August...

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4 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

Something coming south from North Worcester County, maybe a hit here if it holds together, seems to be getting stronger.

Yeah they look pretty decent. So weird seeing them coming from the northwest.

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14 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

looking forward to this next week

 

Tuesday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 69. North wind 6 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tuesday Night
A chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 52. North wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Wednesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 69. Northwest wind 5 to 7 mph.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 53. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 71. West wind 3 to 6 mph.

Looks like shit, glad we live here

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1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

More severe storms heading south out of NH. They’ll die soon certainly. What a day though for many folks here who had no idea it was even going to rain 

You had no idea? You really should follow the national weather service. 

"

Still expecting scattered showers and thunderstorms today as a cold pool aloft nudges closer to southern New England. Decent instability in most model outputs with most unstable CAPE
values between 1,000-1,500 J/kg. Shear values of 20-30 kt and
fairly straight hodographs suggest more of wind threat. Wet-bulb
freezing level is projected to be less than 10 kft, which also
suggests that some hail "
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9 minutes ago, kdxken said:

You had no idea? You really should follow the national weather service. 

"

Still expecting scattered showers and thunderstorms today as a cold pool aloft nudges closer to southern New England. Decent instability in most model outputs with most unstable CAPE
values between 1,000-1,500 J/kg. Shear values of 20-30 kt and
fairly straight hodographs suggest more of wind threat. Wet-bulb
freezing level is projected to be less than 10 kft, which also
suggests that some hail "

"

 The lack of a major focus should lead to rapid
weakening near and after sunset.
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Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

ACATT gone wild . They lost this week to dews , rains , and smoke that they thought was CPC below normal . Now they are counting on next week ahead of the late month and Sept torch 

So now the torch is in September? Might be nice since August has been so normal.

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Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

ACATT gone wild . They lost this week to dews , rains , and smoke that they thought was CPC below normal . Now they are counting on next week ahead of the late month and Sept torch 

Is it a stoner thing? I don't know. Cloudy, dark vibes?  Last mild-down had a few nasty days no one wanted

 

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It is that time of year.  The fantasy land blue shading at 850mb.  Occasionally the Day 15 progs start showing the results of decreasing sun angle and southward migration of gradients.

Obviously this outcome isn’t happening, it changes wildly every 6 hours... but it does start to show the seasonal progression as the calendar continues to move forward. 

We are at the warm season's version of "The February sun is starting to warm car interiors” right now.

gfs_T850_neus_63.thumb.png.e9682f6e291080e6879468788f4955d4.png

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3 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

It is that time of year.  The fantasy land blue shading at 850mb.  Occasionally the Day 15 progs start showing the results of decreasing sun angle and southward migration of gradients.  I don't think this outcome happens at all, it changes wildly every 6 hours... but it does start to show the seasonal progression as the calendar progresses. 

We are at the warm season's version of "The February sun is starting to warm car interiors right now."

gfs_T850_neus_63.thumb.png.e9682f6e291080e6879468788f4955d4.png

Well put.

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