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August "Ughust" 2024 Obs/Disco


Torch Tiger
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15 minutes ago, tamarack said:

After dark the lightning can be seen from a long distance.  Years ago, we were heading back from a late meeting in eastern Maine, and as we drove thru Belfast we could see flashes to our west.  The wx radio noted a TS in the Rangeley area, 90-100 miles away.

Rumbles here since one woke me up at 5:55 this morning.  Only light RA here but points 10-25 miles to the northeast are getting hammered.  I posted the GYX flash flood warning on the 8/26 convection thread.

July 4, 2023 we were up here watching fireworks at several points along the horizon.  But the best show was to the northeast, 105 miles away where a thunderstorm was firing up over Albany.  The lighting bouncing off the clouds was phenomenal, and practically nonstop.  

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7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Could be really nasty Tuesday night in the Dacks to  NNE. That has a nasty look to it. 

Of course timing on NAM is such where it's more PA and SE NY state Wednesday aftn.

Big time differences in some of the guidance but I am inclined to side with the NAM in these setups. But convection today/tomorrow across the Plains into the OV is going to be a big player in all this too. 

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9 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Big time differences in some of the guidance but I am inclined to side with the NAM in these setups. But convection today/tomorrow across the Plains into the OV is going to be a big player in all this too. 

The cirrus canopy Wednesday should be epic.

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2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Big day Wednesday south of 90

This is by far and away the best setup of the summer. Still looks like the greatest potential is just southwest but this is close enough to keep an eye on. Talking about mlvl lapse rates 7-7.5 C/KM atop of dews near the mid 70's and 40+ knots of bulk shear. 

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8 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

This is by far and away the best setup of the summer. Still looks like the greatest potential is just southwest but this is close enough to keep an eye on. Talking about mlvl lapse rates 7-7.5 C/KM atop of dews near the mid 70's and 40+ knots of bulk shear. 

And an EML possibly too?

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wouldn't have thunk so and it's obviously the nam and all that but the model's bringing biggest heat since late june in the fous grid  hydrostats approaching or at 580 dm is impressive at any time of year

54000684918 -0195 102220 78272417   54000634818 -1096 142213 78282416
60000746366 -4391 112615 77282215   60000595315 07192 122314 80312518
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