Torchageddon Posted August 21 Share Posted August 21 The weekend and Monday were cold and windy, mid-afternoon it was 15C and overcast. I'm sure I don't have to state how I feel about that one. Today was better high of 20C with lots of fluffy clouds. Today was the 15th anniversary of the historic Ontario tornado outbreak that had the highest number of tornadoes recorded in one day. One was close to me, the Durham F2 that claimed the life of 1. Most from SON recall the Vaughan tornado which is among the most filmed ON tornado of all time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted August 21 Share Posted August 21 Could be a repeat of last year in that the hottest air temps occur in late August. Looks like a good chance MLI can top the year's hottest (93°) Mon or Tue. Some potential for dews pushing 80° as well, although we are now past peak corn sweat season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted August 21 Share Posted August 21 I feel like I've said this a few times in recent years but what a great stretch of weather upcoming. Counting yesterday, could be 16+ days of no rain and at least partly sunny skies with perfect san diego type weather. (humidity below 70%) Also it's the first summer in awhile where I haven't turned on the sprinklers and the grass is perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted August 21 Share Posted August 21 Back in July I went ahead, and did a work up of MSP area vs rural area annual data. You can find those 2 posts on page 7 of the July thread. I decided to look at 3 other major cities in our sub. Chicago, Detroit, and Indianapolis. This is what I came up with. Just a note, UHE is a big problem in major cities over the many decades of data. Not trying to diminish what goes on in urban environments. Just trying to show the difference in magnitude between more rural, and urban settings over time. And even smaller towns are affected by the UHE, just on a smaller scale, and that needs to be accounted for, as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted August 21 Share Posted August 21 17 minutes ago, Brian D said: Back in July I went ahead, and did a work up of MSP area vs rural area annual data. You can find those 2 posts on page 7 of the July thread. I decided to look at 3 other major cities in our sub. Chicago, Detroit, and Indianapolis. This is what I came up with. Just a note, UHE is a big problem in major cities over the many decades of data. Not trying to diminish what goes on in urban environments. Just trying to show the difference in magnitude between more rural, and urban settings over time. And even smaller towns are affected by the UHE, just on a smaller scale, and that needs to be accounted for, as well. Awesome data as always! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted August 21 Share Posted August 21 A chilly 51F at DTW this morning, but outlying areas well in the 40s, including 44F in Monroe & 43F White Lake. The cold spot was Ann Arbor at 38F. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted August 22 Share Posted August 22 Another cool morning in the UP... had 41 here. Warming trend incoming. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted August 22 Share Posted August 22 Another cool morning. 53 at DTW but 40 ann Arbor, 44 white lake, 45 monroe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted August 22 Share Posted August 22 Stratiform rain this early afternoon. Good slow soak by the looks of it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted August 22 Share Posted August 22 Looks like a warmup next week followed by seasonable temps towards the end of next week. I could get used to these 70s during the day and 50s at night. Fall is quickly approaching. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted August 22 Share Posted August 22 Still looking like 80+ dews for Mon and Tue. Could see some 110+ heat indices with temps in the mid 90s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted August 22 Share Posted August 22 Stayed in the 60s most of the day but the sun came out after the rain cleared and we made it up to a high of 73. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted August 23 Share Posted August 23 On 8/21/2024 at 12:35 PM, michsnowfreak said: Awesome data as always! what's the longest dtw or detroit has gone without a trace of precip in the month of august or september? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted August 23 Share Posted August 23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted August 23 Share Posted August 23 10 hours ago, Stevo6899 said: what's the longest dtw or detroit has gone without a trace of precip in the month of august or september? It would take too much research to figure out that since a trace is the same as 0 when running computed streaks in xmacis. But the record for longest stretch without measurable precip, not just for Aug-Sept but the entire period of record, is 39 days from August 20 - September 27, 1908. A trace fell on 2 of those days (Sept 1 & 24). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted August 24 Share Posted August 24 10 hours ago, michsnowfreak said: It would take too much research to figure out that since a trace is the same as 0 when running computed streaks in xmacis. But the record for longest stretch without measurable precip, not just for Aug-Sept but the entire period of record, is 39 days from August 20 - September 27, 1908. A trace fell on 2 of those days (Sept 1 & 24). Curious if during that stretch there was a prolonged heat wave. 39 days is incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted August 24 Share Posted August 24 A nice stretch of warmth incoming for the next week. I'm looking at REAL heat for Tuesday, as my point n click predicts 97. I suspect an Ohio poster will be on here complaining that he got 99'd. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted August 24 Share Posted August 24 Mid 60's this morning with dp's in the low 60's making it feel a bit humid. Not a bad look for the last week of met summer. The real heat stays south of the UP. With several cool nights in the 30's and low 40's, certain trees are really beginning to show color. This maple is one of the first of the season each year. Last week of September- first of Oct is usually peak here locally. Things should start looking good in another few weeks. Warmer weather could slow things down but it has been pretty dry the last month so trees may be ready to give it up. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted August 24 Share Posted August 24 Today starts what will likely be a 6-day stretch of 90s. Tuesday looks the hottest with 95-97 likely. That could also be the day we see the highest dews, possibly 81-82, so heat index values above 115° are looking possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted August 24 Share Posted August 24 Models say 110+ heat index from Nebraska to Fargo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geoboy645 Posted August 24 Share Posted August 24 Normally a heatwave like this would feel more like a nuisance than anything at this point in the summer, but because we have been so cool for the last like 6 weeks that this is going to be a bit of a shock for a couple days. Cannot complain about the last 6 weeks though, it's been a really pleasant, if boring, stretch of weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted August 24 Share Posted August 24 1 hour ago, weatherbo said: Mid 60's this morning with dp's in the low 60's making it feel a bit humid. Not a bad look for the last week of met summer. The real heat stays south of the UP. With several cool nights in the 30's and low 40's, certain trees are really beginning to show color. This maple is one of the first of the season each year. Last week of September- first of Oct is usually peak here locally. Things should start looking good in another few weeks. Warmer weather could slow things down but it has been pretty dry the last month so trees may be ready to give it up. Maples here have a tint of yellow showing the time of year. The cooler wx has definitely sped things up a bit. Last gasp of summer heat the next few days, then the inevitable. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted August 24 Share Posted August 24 A few random maples are showing color here but I’m attributing that to stress from an urban environment. 2 day heatwave begins tomorrow. Mondays forecast of 94 would be our warmest temperature of the year. Long range looks real nice beyond Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted August 24 Share Posted August 24 1 hour ago, OrdIowPitMsp said: A few random maples are showing color here but I’m attributing that to stress from an urban environment. 2 day heatwave begins tomorrow. Mondays forecast of 94 would be our warmest temperature of the year. Long range looks real nice beyond Tuesday. Usually that happens in late August, but a bit more color is showing here than usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted August 24 Share Posted August 24 8 hours ago, cyclone77 said: Today starts what will likely be a 6-day stretch of 90s. Tuesday looks the hottest with 95-97 likely. That could also be the day we see the highest dews, possibly 81-82, so heat index values above 115° are looking possible. Debris clouds from the Missouri MCS negated today's 90, as 88 was the high at MLI, 89 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bowtie` Posted August 25 Share Posted August 25 3 hours ago, cyclone77 said: Debris clouds from the Missouri MCS negated today's 90, as 88 was the high at MLI, 89 here. Now that is almost a first. KIND made it to 90 and you did not. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted August 25 Share Posted August 25 Hit 90 here today too. Also an interesting tidbit from longtime South Bend meteorologist Bob Werner: We’ve had only 0.85", less than 20% of normal rain since July 17th. That has produced a rainfall deficit of more than 4" during that time. That's the 4th driest time we've ever recorded for those 39 days, and the driest since 1920! No significant chance of rain for at least several more days.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bowtie` Posted August 25 Share Posted August 25 I miss Hoosier keeping us updated on drought conditions. You reminded me to look it up... Looks like you are only up to D0 as of the 20th.Here we are still fine, so they say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted August 25 Share Posted August 25 For days the Euro and HRDPS showed storms blowing up last night over eastern IA/western IL, and then yesterday's runs suddenly dropped them. In reality nothing formed last night, so a major fail for both of them models. DVN all in on the heat, going with 97/98 for highs Mon/Tue and have issued an excessive heat warning. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted August 25 Share Posted August 25 On 8/24/2024 at 10:07 AM, weatherbo said: Mid 60's this morning with dp's in the low 60's making it feel a bit humid. Not a bad look for the last week of met summer. The real heat stays south of the UP. With several cool nights in the 30's and low 40's, certain trees are really beginning to show color. This maple is one of the first of the season each year. Last week of September- first of Oct is usually peak here locally. Things should start looking good in another few weeks. Warmer weather could slow things down but it has been pretty dry the last month so trees may be ready to give it up. I'm going to the Porkies Oct 6-9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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