SnoSki14 Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 GFS starting to align with other models, no longer stalls down south 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 11 hours ago, gravitylover said: Yeah CT has been getting hammered this year. There have been some great storms.on the western end that did significant damage. This has been the 7th wettest summer through August 4th at Tweed New Haven just to my SW. Nearly 10.00” here since June 1st. This is even before we start seeing the heavy rainfall from Debby. Time Series Summary for NEW HAVEN TWEED AP, CTClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2009-08-04 16.29 0 2 1972-08-04 15.58 0 3 2006-08-04 10.95 0 4 2013-08-04 10.88 0 5 2023-08-04 10.03 2 6 2008-08-04 10.02 0 7 2024-08-04 9.95 0 8 2003-08-04 9.79 0 9 1953-08-04 9.23 0 10 1971-08-04 9.13 0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 5 Author Share Posted August 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 75 73 warm and humid. Driest and hottest day through Wed (8/14), Mid 90s, some warmer spots may tough upper 90s (97). Warm and humid, but clouds and showers return/begin tomorrow in what will be one of the wettest stretches in August since 2011. As tropical flow along a hung up boundary and then Debby;s remnants push >5 inch totals and as much as 9-10 inches in spots. Overall humid and rainy through Sat (8/10). Beyond Debby near normal and heat capped out west. Beyond mid month to the final 1/3 of the month western heat expanding north. Could be one of the wettest August. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 Aug rain totals so far: LGA: 1.95 EWR: 1.82 JFK: 1.64 NYC: 1.42 ISP: 1.14 TTN: 0.95 PHL: 0.77 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 5 Author Share Posted August 5 Picked up 0.43" of rain for the day yesterday. Three day total of 2.35" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 Has the are in the 5-7 half Tue PM - Fri AM , then Sat-Sun Am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 5 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Has the are in the 5-7 half Tue PM - Fri AM , then Sat-Sun Am Very rare to see a map like that. If that comes close to verifying there's going to be billions in losses from flooding. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 1 minute ago, Brian5671 said: Very rare to see a map like that. If that comes close to verifying there's going to be billions in losses from flooding. 15 - 19 inches in Savannah or between Savannah and Charleston on latest, truly historic tremendous impacts to the large port regions Jacksonville - Savannah - Charleston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 9 minutes ago, SACRUS said: 15 - 19 inches in Savannah or between Savannah and Charleston on latest, truly historic tremendous impacts to the large port regions Jacksonville - Savannah - Charleston Debby would almost certainly be retired if that happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 Anyone able to post the Top 5 wettest Augusts months? EWR, NYC, LGA, TTN, JFK, PHL? For NYC 18 inches in 2011 was number 1 for August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 Debbie over the Pan Hadle - clear and heating up here ahead of a very rainy and cloudy period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 Quickly up to 82 / 70 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 Rainfall last 24 hours here was .04". Three day totals attached. Focus now turns to mid and late week with possible PRE and remnants of Debby. Not rooting for the possible excessive totals. Would be bad if those 5-10" totals came to fruition. Possible though so stay tuned. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 87 / 67 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 Posted yesterday in this thread that worst case is a PRE followed by Debby passing near or just to the east. Moist tropical air would get lifted over frontal boundary into "cooler drier" air mass. Will be interesting to see how remnants interact with upper trof and frontal boundary that will be floundering arcoss our area. My opinion, spatial area of excessive rainfall to be determined but confidence increasing locations in this forum see 5-7"+ totals. Hopefully broken up over several days. Just for reference Ida rains came in a 3-5 hour period. Sort term intense rainfall is by far worse than something spread out over a few days. Regardless, that does little to help river flooding but it does lessen the intense flash flooding that was associated with Ida. Not suggesting this is Ida type event. We'll see how this plays out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Picard Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 We are/were heading to the finger lakes Wednesday - Sunday. I'm in the process of communicating with the B & B owner to try to change the dates to Saturday - Tuesday of next week. I'm hoping they are flexible and understanding. Not only do I not want to vacation in the rain if I can help it, I also would need to keep an eye on our basement if this comes to fruition. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 5 Author Share Posted August 5 Current temp 92/DP 67/RH 45% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 Noon Roundup: 90/62 here EWR: 89 New brnswck: 89 ACY: 88 PHL: 88 NYC: 88 JFK: 88 TEB: 87 TTN: 87 BLM: 87 ISP: 87 LGA: 86 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 91 / 63 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 Latest WPC holding solid on excessive totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 SACRuS, top ten NYC Aug rainfalls 18.95 _ 2011 _ 01 12.36 _ 1990 _ 02 10.86 _ 1955 _ 03 10.32 _ 2021 _ 04 9.83 _ 1927 _ 05 9.56 _ 1873 _ 06 9.37 _ 1919 _ 07 9.28 _ 1911 _ 08 9.08 _ 1942 _ 09 8.97 _ 1875 _ 10 ============================= Also, daily records for NYC follow ... <<<< AUGUST >>>> Date __ high max __ high min ___ low max _ low min _____ 24h rain ___ 48h rain (ending date) Aug 01 __100 1933 ___ 82 1917 _______ 68 1923 ____ 59 1895, 1964 ___ 2.85 1878 ___ 3.99 1889 (2.29+1.70) Aug 02 __100 1955 ___ 83 2006 _______ 67 1875 ____57 1875 __________ 2.49 1973 ___ 2.52 1973 Aug 03 __ 97 2005 ___ 78 1975,2006 __ 66 1921 ___ 55 1886, 1927 ____2.71 1946 ___ 3.11 1885 (0.67+2.44) Aug 04 __100 1944 ___ 78 1908,2005 _ 69 1909 ____56 1886 (69 3rd) __ 3.25 1915 __ 3.66 1915 Aug 05 __101 1944 ___ 81 1908 _______ 68 1903 _____56 1886,1912,51 __ 1.44 1884 ___ 3.05 1884 Aug 06 __ 97 1931,55__80 1906,08,18__ 64 1915 ____56 1869 (67) _____ 3.31 1878 ___ 3.31 1878* Aug 07 __104 1918 ___ 82 1918 _______ 64 1975_____57 1994 (75 6th) __ 2.18 1921 ___ 3.65 1990 (2.30+1.35) ^ Aug 08 __ 99 2001 ___ 80 1980 _______ 69 1903 ___ 54 1903 __________ 2.60 1927 ___ 2.60 1927*__ 2.50 2007 (1d) Aug 09 __103 2001 ___ 82 1896,2001 _ 68 1879 ____57 1919, 89 _______4.10 1942 ___ 4.83 1976 (0.93+3.90) Aug 10 __ 98 1891,1949_ 80 1896 ______ 60 1962 ___ 55 1879 (73) ______4.64 1990 ___ 4.70 1990 __ 2.51 2006 (1d) Aug 11 __102 1944 ___ 81 1891,96 ____ 68 1931,33,62_ 56 1962 _________ 2.90 2018 ___ 6.14 1990 __ 2.79 1983 (1d) Aug 12 __ 97 1944 ___ 80 1988 _______ 64 1979 ___ 55 1889 (73) _____ 3.62 1955 ___ 4.90 1989 (1.90+3.00)^ Aug 13 __ 99 2005 ___ 82 1908 ______68 1873,1934_ 55 1930 (73 12th) _2.70 1955 __ 6.32 1955 __ 4.01 1926 (2d)^ Aug 14 __ 99 1988 ___ 84 1908 ______66 1873,1919_ 54 1964 (77) _____5.81 2011 ___ 5.81 2011*_ 3.10" 2005 (1d) Aug 15 __ 97 1988 ___ 81 1988 _______ 66 1992 ____ 54 1964 (80) _____ 1.52 1911 ___ 6.37 2011 Aug 16 __ 96 1944 ___ 79 1938 _______ 65 1883 ___ 55 1880 (73) ______4.80 1909 ___ 4.83 1909 Aug 17 __ 95 1944,2015_ 78 1978,2015 _ 65 1909 ____56 1881^ 1979 ____ 2.86 1974 ___ 5.15 1909 Aug 18 __ 94 1913,87,2002_78 2002______ 62 1874 ___ 55 1915 (73) ______3.95 1879 ___ 4.59 1879 Aug 19 __ 94 1914,66,2002_ 77 1906,2015 _70 1881,1946_ 55 1924 (73 18th) _2.53 1991 _ 3.95 1879** Aug 20 __ 97 1955 ___ 77 1906,83,2015_ 68 1990,2000_ 55 1949 (76) ____4.80 1873 __ 4.89 1873 _ 3.63 1904 (1d). Aug 21 __ 96 1955 ___ 78 1906 _______ 59 2007 ____ 53 1922 (66 22nd) _4.45 2021^___4.84 1873 Aug 22 __ 95 1916 ___ 78 1906 _______ 65 2007 ____ 52 1895 (71) _____ 2.67 2021^___ 7.12 2021 _ 4.32 1888 (2d) Aug 23 __ 92 1916 ___ 77 1906 _______ 63 1930 ____ 51 1923 (72) _____ 3.03 1930 ___ 3.74 2021 3.29 1933 (1.06+2.23) 5.51" 3d (2.22 21st) Aug 24 __ 94 1972 ___ 76 1891 ______ 64 1937,45 __ 52 1890 (65) _____ 3.61 1893 ___ 3.94 1893 __ 2.81 1891 (1.91+0.90) Aug 25 __ 95 1948 ___ 76 1961,98 ___ 64 1873 _____ 52 1940 (69) _____ 1.86 1982 ___ 3.61 1893** Aug 26 __103 1948 ___ 78 1948,2021__ 61 1940 _____ 53 1887 (67) ____ 3.24 1908 ___ 4.13 1941 (1.83+2.30) Aug 27 __101 1948 ___ 79 1948 _______ 62 1927 ____ 50 1885 (65) _____ 4.16 1971 ___ 4.16 1971*__ 2.88 2011 (1d) Aug 28 __100 1948 ___ 79 2018 _______ 60 1940 ____ 50 1885 (68) ____ 3.99 2011 ___ 6.87 2011 __ 2.79 1983 (1d) ^^ Aug 29 __ 99 1953 ___ 81 2018 _______ 63 1903 ____ 50 1965,82,86 ___ 2.68 2002 ___ 3.99 2011**_ 2.85 1983 (2d) Aug 30 __ 98 1953,73 _ 78 1973,2018 __ 62 1911 ____ 50 1965 (70) _____ 2.18 2008 ___ 2.68 2002**_ 2.37 1872 (2d) Aug 31 __100 1953____ 78 1953 _______ 59 1911 _____ 50 1976 (72,74) ___ 3.76 1911 ___ 4.61 1911 -- - - - - - - - - - - - - -- ^ 6th-7th 2.77" 1978 (1.78+0.99) .. 1878 no additional rain 7th. ^ 12th _ _ 3.34"R 1926 (1d). 4.01" 12th-13th. ^ 17th max for 1881 was 67, for 1979 68 next day ^ 21st rainfall prev record 4.19" 1888 (broken 2021) ^ 22nd rainfall prev record 1.85" 1994 (broken 2021) also prev 2d rain 4.32" 1888 ^^ 27th-28th 2d rain 1971 5.96 (4.16+1.80) ________________________________________________________________ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 5 hours ago, SACRUS said: Anyone able to post the Top 5 wettest Augusts months? EWR, NYC, LGA, TTN, JFK, PHL? For NYC 18 inches in 2011 was number 1 for August. My wettest month was 21.53" in Aug 2011.. The 30 day period from 8/9-9/8, I received 25.02". There was a stalled out deluge of 9" on 8/14 followed by 8" two weeks later from Irene, followed by 5" from Lee during 9/7-9. Truly a remarkable period. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 Hoody weather on Wed (Temps actually fall during the day) 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 92 degrees here right now. It's a hot one today, but the humidity isn't terrible with the dew point at 67 here. After having such a hot summer, it's going to feel strange later in the week with ENE winds and high temps only in the mid 70s. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 To 94 here today and depoint back up to 68 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 Triple M warning Mosquito, Mold and Mildew next 10 days 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 hit 95 today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 Reached 93 here today. Current temp 89/DP 68/RH 50% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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